Swieqi United vs Santa Lucía• Challenge League, Malta

#42.2:1.813:00Tomorrow0.6:0.6#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.74DAFX3.85DAF24.351XBMargin at best6.4%Books6Markets43Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.74	3.85	4.10	7.8%
Betfair	1.65	3.80	4.33	10.0%
1xBet	1.63	3.78	4.35	10.8%
Betano	1.72	3.70	3.85	11.1%
Bet365	1.67	3.80	4.00	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.61	3.78	4.25	12.1%
Best of all books	1.74	3.85	4.35	6.4%
Average	1.67	3.79	4.15	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Swieqi UnitedSanta Lucía

Last 10#4Table position#122.00Points per game1.0010Form pts · last 552.2Goals for · last 50.61.8Goals against · last 50.679Attack rating2125Defence rating7567Form rating3362H2H rating3863Goals model3758Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 10:01 UTC

Swieqi United

6W 3D 1L · goals 21:12 · per match 2.1 for, 1.2 against

25 Oct	A	Victoria Hotspurs	2-1	W
18 Oct	H	Sirens	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Zebbug Rangers	0-1	L
18 Sep	H	Pietà Hotspurs	3-2	W
12 Sep	A	Attard	3-3	D
23 Apr	H	Birzebbuga	1-1	D
19 Apr	H	Fgura United	1-1	D
11 Apr	A	St. Andrews	1-0	W
4 Apr	H	Melita	5-0	W
14 Mar	A	Balzan FC	2-1	W

Santa Lucía

2W 7D 1L · goals 13:7 · per match 1.3 for, 0.7 against

24 Oct	H	Naxxar Lions	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Fgura United	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Zurrieq	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	St. Andrews	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Vittoriosa Stars	0-0	D
19 Apr	A	Mtarfa	5-1	W
12 Apr	H	Zurrieq	3-0	W
6 Apr	A	Mgarr United	1-1	D
14 Mar	H	Marsa	0-1	L
8 Mar	A	Vittoriosa Stars	1-1	D

Head to head

2Swieqi United wins

2draws

1Santa Lucía wins

5 meetings · goals 11:10 · last 5: 2W 2D 1L for Swieqi United

29 Nov 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	Santa Lucía1-3Swieqi United
13 Apr 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	Swieqi United2-2Santa Lucía
21 Sep 2024Challenge League	Challenge League	Swieqi United3-2Santa Lucía
14 Apr 2019Challenge League	Challenge League	Santa Lucía3-1Swieqi United
15 Dec 2018Challenge League	Challenge League	Swieqi United2-2Santa Lucía

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 30 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Swieqi United sit 4th with 10 points from 5 games, while Santa Lucía are 12th with 5 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tarxien Rainbows	6	6	0	0	15:6	+9	18
2	Fgura United	5	3	2	0	10:2	+8	11
3	Naxxar Lions	5	3	1	1	10:7	+3	10
4	Swieqi United	5	3	1	1	11:9	+2	10
5	Pietà Hotspurs	5	3	0	2	10:8	+2	9
6	Mgarr United	5	3	0	2	7:5	+2	9
7	Melita	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
8	Zurrieq	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
9	St. Andrews	5	2	1	2	3:6	-3	7
10	Victoria Hotspurs	6	2	0	4	7:9	-2	6
11	Vittoriosa Stars	6	1	3	2	5:7	-2	6
12	Santa Lucía	5	0	5	0	3:3	0	5
13	Sirens	5	1	1	3	7:9	-2	4
14	Zebbug Rangers	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4
15	Attard	5	0	3	2	6:9	-3	3
16	Gudja United	5	0	0	5	1:9	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.67X24%3.79222%4.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
1xBet	1.62	2.11	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.11	9.1%
Betano	1.65	2.02	10.1%
Best of all books	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Average	1.64	2.11	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.09	10.0%
Best of all books	1.61	2.20	7.6%
Average	1.61	2.14	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Swieqi United 45%Draw 45%Santa Lucía 10%

The statistical model rates Swieqi United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Santa Lucía at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 3.79 | 4.15, which imply roughly 59.9% for a Swieqi United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Swieqi United are 4th (10 pts, 11-9 goals), Santa Lucía 12th (5 pts, 3-3).

Over their last five matches, Swieqi United averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Santa Lucía averaged 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Swieqi United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.67	3.79	4.15

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.00	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.32	3.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
2.21	2.29	4.46

2nd half

1	X	2
1.98	2.66	4.18

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.58	14.2	35.0
HT X	4.58	6.30	9.42
HT 2	19.7	14.8	6.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	15.5	2.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	13.0
1.5	1.15	4.20
2.5	1.64	2.11
3.5	2.56	1.40
4.5	4.75	1.12
5.5	9.00	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.19	3.74
2	1.25	3.28
2.25	1.44	2.47
2.75	1.78	1.86
3	2.02	1.64
3.25	2.30	1.50
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	4.00	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.74	1.35
-1.25	2.43	1.44
-1	2.15	1.59
-0.75	1.82	1.86
-0.5	1.67	1.95
-0.25	1.44	2.43

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.0	1.01
-2.5	5.50	1.08
-2	4.70	1.12
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.26	3.20
+0.25	1.20	3.72
+1.5	1.03	8.20

Next Challenge League matches

31 Oct	St. Andrews – Pietà Hotspurs
31 Oct	Zurrieq – Attard
1 Nov	Fgura United – Mgarr United
1 Nov	Naxxar Lions – Gudja United
1 Nov	Melita – Sirens

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

30 Oct	Vittoriosa Stars 1-1 Zebbug Rangers
30 Oct	Tarxien Rainbows 2-1 Victoria Hotspurs
25 Oct	Mgarr United 0-1 Zurrieq
25 Oct	Pietà Hotspurs 2-0 Vittoriosa Stars
25 Oct	Victoria Hotspurs 1-2 Swieqi United
24 Oct	Santa Lucía 1-1 Naxxar Lions