Naxxar Lions vs Gudja United• Challenge League, Malta

#32.0:1.416:30Tomorrow0.2:1.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.36B365X4.90DAF28.351XBMargin at best5.9%Books6Markets45Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.34	4.90	7.80	7.9%
Betano	1.35	4.45	7.00	10.8%
1xBet	1.30	4.55	8.35	10.9%
Betfair	1.30	4.75	7.50	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.29	4.55	7.90	12.2%
Bet365	1.36	4.50	6.00	12.4%
Best of all books	1.36	4.90	8.35	5.9%
Average	1.32	4.62	7.42	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Naxxar LionsGudja United

Last 10#3Table position#162.00Points per game0.0010Form pts · last 502.0Goals for · last 50.21.4Goals against · last 51.891Attack rating956Defence rating44100Form rating040H2H rating60100Goals model058Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 11:01 UTC

Naxxar Lions

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

24 Oct	A	Santa Lucía	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Victoria Hotspurs	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Sirens	3-2	W
20 Sep	H	Zebbug Rangers	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Pietà Hotspurs	2-3	L
10 May	H	Mosta	0-1	L
2 May	A	Marsaxlokk	2-3	L
26 Apr	A	Gzira United	0-0	D
19 Apr	A	Hamrun Spartans	0-3	L
15 Apr	H	Valletta FC	1-1	D

Gudja United

3W 0D 7L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

24 Oct	H	Fgura United	1-2	L
17 Oct	A	Zurrieq	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	St. Andrews	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Vittoriosa Stars	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Melita	0-3	L
18 Apr	A	Vittoriosa Stars	3-2	W
12 Apr	A	Mgarr United	2-0	W
4 Apr	H	Zebbug Rangers	1-2	L
19 Mar	H	Xewkija Tigers	2-3	L
15 Mar	H	Mtarfa	3-0	W

Head to head

2Naxxar Lions wins

0draws

3Gudja United wins

5 meetings · goals 9:11 · last 5: 2W 0D 3L for Naxxar Lions

6 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Gudja United2-4Naxxar Lions
3 Dec 2023Premier League	Premier League	Naxxar Lions2-1Gudja United
15 Jan 2023FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Gudja United2-1Naxxar Lions
7 Apr 2019Challenge League	Challenge League	Gudja United3-1Naxxar Lions
9 Dec 2018Challenge League	Challenge League	Naxxar Lions1-3Gudja United

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 30 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Naxxar Lions sit 3rd with 10 points from 5 games, while Gudja United are 16th with 0 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tarxien Rainbows	6	6	0	0	15:6	+9	18
2	Fgura United	5	3	2	0	10:2	+8	11
3	Naxxar Lions	5	3	1	1	10:7	+3	10
4	Swieqi United	5	3	1	1	11:9	+2	10
5	Pietà Hotspurs	5	3	0	2	10:8	+2	9
6	Mgarr United	5	3	0	2	7:5	+2	9
7	Melita	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
8	Zurrieq	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
9	St. Andrews	5	2	1	2	3:6	-3	7
10	Victoria Hotspurs	6	2	0	4	7:9	-2	6
11	Vittoriosa Stars	6	1	3	2	5:7	-2	6
12	Santa Lucía	5	0	5	0	3:3	0	5
13	Sirens	5	1	1	3	7:9	-2	4
14	Zebbug Rangers	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4
15	Attard	5	0	3	2	6:9	-3	3
16	Gudja United	5	0	0	5	1:9	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.32X20%4.62212%7.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.55	2.30	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
Best of all books	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Average	1.81	1.85	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Naxxar Lions 45%Draw 45%Gudja United 10%

The statistical model rates Naxxar Lions at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gudja United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.32 | 4.62 | 7.43, which imply roughly 75.8% for a Naxxar Lions win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Naxxar Lions are 3rd (10 pts, 10-7 goals), Gudja United 16th (0 pts, 1-9).

Over their last five matches, Naxxar Lions averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Gudja United averaged 0.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Naxxar Lions.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.32	4.62	7.43

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.87	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	4.93

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
1.80	2.46	6.56

2nd half

1	X	2
1.58	3.01	6.38

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.95	16.8	53.7
HT X	4.13	7.50	13.8
HT 2	18.3	17.3	11.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.28	15.8	3.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	13.0
1.5	1.13	4.55
2.5	1.55	2.30
3.5	2.28	1.50
4.5	4.15	1.16
5.5	8.00	1.05

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.16	4.10
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.37	2.70
2.75	1.67	2.01
3	1.83	1.80
3.25	2.11	1.60
3.75	2.74	1.35
4	3.42	1.23

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.62	1.38
-1.75	2.17	1.56
-1.5	1.91	1.77
-1.25	1.75	1.95
-1	1.49	2.30
-0.75	1.38	2.63

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.35	1.06
-3	5.55	1.08
-2.5	3.20	1.26
-2.25	2.92	1.31
-0.25	1.18	3.90
0	1.06	6.30

Next Challenge League matches

31 Oct	St. Andrews – Pietà Hotspurs
31 Oct	Zurrieq – Attard
1 Nov	Swieqi United – Santa Lucía
1 Nov	Fgura United – Mgarr United
1 Nov	Melita – Sirens

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

30 Oct	Vittoriosa Stars 1-1 Zebbug Rangers
30 Oct	Tarxien Rainbows 2-1 Victoria Hotspurs
25 Oct	Mgarr United 0-1 Zurrieq
25 Oct	Pietà Hotspurs 2-0 Vittoriosa Stars
25 Oct	Victoria Hotspurs 1-2 Swieqi United
24 Oct	Santa Lucía 1-1 Naxxar Lions