Melita vs Sirens• Challenge League, Malta

#71.2:1.019:00Tomorrow1.4:1.8#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05DAFX3.70DAF23.161XBMargin at best7.5%Books6Markets39Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.05	3.70	3.10	8.1%
Betano	2.02	3.50	3.05	10.9%
1xBet	1.98	3.48	3.16	10.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.60	3.00	11.1%
Betfair	2.00	3.60	3.00	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.96	3.48	3.08	12.2%
Best of all books	2.05	3.70	3.16	7.5%
Average	2.00	3.56	3.06	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MelitaSirens

Last 10#7Table position#131.40Points per game0.807Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.846Attack rating5464Defence rating3664Form rating3629H2H rating7127Goals model7344Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 11:01 UTC

Melita

3W 1D 6L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against

23 Oct	A	Zebbug Rangers	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Pietà Hotspurs	0-2	L
11 Oct	A	Attard	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Mgarr United	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Gudja United	3-0	W
3 May	H	Birzebbuga	0-3	L
25 Apr	H	Xewkija Tigers	3-1	W
19 Apr	A	Balzan FC	0-2	L
11 Apr	H	Fgura United	0-1	L
4 Apr	A	Swieqi United	0-5	L

Sirens

3W 1D 6L · goals 18:19 · per match 1.8 for, 1.9 against

24 Oct	H	Tarxien Rainbows	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	Swieqi United	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Naxxar Lions	2-3	L
19 Sep	A	Fgura United	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Zurrieq	1-0	W
19 Apr	A	Birzebbuga	2-3	L
12 Apr	H	Pietà Hotspurs	3-4	L
6 Apr	H	Balzan FC	0-1	L
15 Mar	H	Fgura United	3-2	W
7 Mar	A	St. Andrews	3-0	W

Head to head

1Melita wins

1draws

4Sirens wins

6 meetings · goals 5:12 · last 6: 1W 1D 4L for Melita

22 Feb 2026Challenge League	Challenge League	Melita2-0Sirens
22 Nov 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	Sirens2-1Melita
13 Jan 2018Challenge League	Challenge League	Melita0-2Sirens
9 Sep 2017Challenge League	Challenge League	Sirens4-0Melita
9 Apr 2017Challenge League	Challenge League	Sirens2-2Melita
11 Dec 2016Challenge League	Challenge League	Melita0-2Sirens

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 30 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Melita sit 7th with 7 points from 5 games, while Sirens are 13th with 4 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tarxien Rainbows	6	6	0	0	15:6	+9	18
2	Fgura United	5	3	2	0	10:2	+8	11
3	Naxxar Lions	5	3	1	1	10:7	+3	10
4	Swieqi United	5	3	1	1	11:9	+2	10
5	Pietà Hotspurs	5	3	0	2	10:8	+2	9
6	Mgarr United	5	3	0	2	7:5	+2	9
7	Melita	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
8	Zurrieq	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
9	St. Andrews	5	2	1	2	3:6	-3	7
10	Victoria Hotspurs	6	2	0	4	7:9	-2	6
11	Vittoriosa Stars	6	1	3	2	5:7	-2	6
12	Santa Lucía	5	0	5	0	3:3	0	5
13	Sirens	5	1	1	3	7:9	-2	4
14	Zebbug Rangers	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4
15	Attard	5	0	3	2	6:9	-3	3
16	Gudja United	5	0	0	5	1:9	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.00X25%3.56229%3.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Betano	1.62	2.07	10.0%
Best of all books	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Average	1.62	2.13	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.24	10.0%
Best of all books	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Average	1.53	2.27	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Melita 10%Draw 45%Sirens 45%

The statistical model rates Melita at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sirens at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.56 | 3.07, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Melita are 7th (7 pts, 6-5 goals), Sirens 13th (4 pts, 7-9).

Over their last five matches, Melita averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sirens averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sirens.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.00	3.56	3.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.67	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.53	2.32

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
2.54	2.27	3.56

2nd half

1	X	2
2.31	2.61	3.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.23	13.0	27.5
HT X	5.30	5.85	7.35
HT 2	21.0	13.3	5.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	14.3	2.18

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	13.0
1.5	1.16	4.15
2.5	1.62	2.13
3.5	2.49	1.42
4.5	4.50	1.13
5.5	9.00	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.19	3.75
2	1.25	3.28
2.25	1.42	2.50
2.75	1.75	1.90
3	1.99	1.67
3.25	2.25	1.53
3.75	2.97	1.30
4	3.84	1.18

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.83	1.33
-0.75	2.27	1.52
-0.5	1.93	1.70
-0.25	1.76	1.94
0	1.50	2.34
+0.25	1.37	2.67

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.30	1.03
-2	6.50	1.05
-1.5	3.50	1.22
-1.25	3.20	1.26
+0.75	1.19	3.78
+1	1.08	5.50
+1.5	1.05	6.40

Next Challenge League matches

31 Oct	St. Andrews – Pietà Hotspurs
31 Oct	Zurrieq – Attard
1 Nov	Swieqi United – Santa Lucía
1 Nov	Fgura United – Mgarr United
1 Nov	Naxxar Lions – Gudja United

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

30 Oct	Vittoriosa Stars 1-1 Zebbug Rangers
30 Oct	Tarxien Rainbows 2-1 Victoria Hotspurs
25 Oct	Mgarr United 0-1 Zurrieq
25 Oct	Pietà Hotspurs 2-0 Vittoriosa Stars
25 Oct	Victoria Hotspurs 1-2 Swieqi United
24 Oct	Santa Lucía 1-1 Naxxar Lions