Pietà Hotspurs vs Zurrieq• Challenge League, Malta

#52.0:1.219:45Today0.8:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.56DAFX4.20DAF25.00BFRMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets42Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 14:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.58	4.10	4.90	8.1%
Betfair	1.53	4.00	5.00	10.4%
1xBet	1.51	3.98	5.12	10.9%
Betano	1.57	3.85	4.60	11.4%
Bet365	1.55	4.00	4.50	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.53	3.80	4.85	12.3%
Best of all books	1.58	4.10	5.12	7.2%
Average	1.54	3.96	4.83	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pietà HotspursZurrieq

Last 10#5Table position#82.00Points per game1.179Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 51.271Attack rating2950Defence rating5056Form rating4450H2H rating5057Goals model4356Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

Pietà Hotspurs

6W 1D 3L · goals 23:14 · per match 2.3 for, 1.4 against

31 Oct	A	St. Andrews	3-0	W
25 Oct	H	Vittoriosa Stars	2-0	W
17 Oct	A	Melita	2-0	W
11 Oct	H	Tarxien Rainbows	1-3	L
18 Sep	A	Swieqi United	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Naxxar Lions	3-2	W
19 Apr	H	St. Andrews	2-2	D
12 Apr	A	Sirens	4-3	W
4 Apr	A	Fgura United	4-0	W
17 Mar	H	Melita	0-1	L

Zurrieq

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

31 Oct	H	Attard	0-3	L
25 Oct	A	Mgarr United	1-0	W
17 Oct	H	Gudja United	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Santa Lucía	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Victoria Hotspurs	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Sirens	0-1	L
18 Apr	H	Mgarr United	4-2	W
12 Apr	A	Santa Lucía	0-3	L
1 Apr	H	Marsa	2-1	W
15 Mar	H	Zebbug Rangers	3-3	D

Head to head

3Pietà Hotspurs wins

1draws

2Zurrieq wins

6 meetings · goals 9:7 · last 6: 3W 1D 2L for Pietà Hotspurs

14 Feb 2026Challenge League	Challenge League	Pietà Hotspurs3-1Zurrieq
13 Apr 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	Zurrieq1-1Pietà Hotspurs
22 Sep 2024Challenge League	Challenge League	Pietà Hotspurs1-2Zurrieq
16 Mar 2024Challenge League	Challenge League	Zurrieq3-0Pietà Hotspurs
10 Feb 2024Challenge League	Challenge League	Pietà Hotspurs2-0Zurrieq
3 Feb 2024Challenge League	Challenge League	Pietà Hotspurs2-0Zurrieq

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Pietà Hotspurs sit 5th with 12 points from 6 games, while Zurrieq are 8th with 7 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tarxien Rainbows	6	6	0	0	15:6	+9	18
2	Swieqi United	6	4	1	1	13:9	+4	13
3	Naxxar Lions	6	4	1	1	12:8	+4	13
4	Fgura United	6	3	3	0	12:4	+8	12
5	Pietà Hotspurs	6	4	0	2	13:8	+5	12
6	Melita	6	3	1	2	9:5	+4	10
7	Mgarr United	6	3	1	2	9:7	+2	10
8	Zurrieq	6	2	1	3	4:7	-3	7
9	St. Andrews	6	2	1	3	3:9	-6	7
10	Attard	6	1	3	2	9:9	0	6
11	Victoria Hotspurs	6	2	0	4	7:9	-2	6
12	Vittoriosa Stars	6	1	3	2	5:7	-2	6
13	Santa Lucía	6	0	5	1	3:5	-2	5
14	Sirens	6	1	1	4	7:12	-5	4
15	Zebbug Rangers	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4
16	Gudja United	6	0	0	6	2:11	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.54X23%4.00219%4.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Betano	1.62	2.07	10.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.17	4.9%
Average	1.64	2.10	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.06	9.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.06	7.4%
Average	1.67	2.02	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pietà Hotspurs 45%Draw 45%Zurrieq 10%

The statistical model rates Pietà Hotspurs at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Zurrieq at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 4.00 | 4.82, which imply roughly 64.9% for a Pietà Hotspurs win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Pietà Hotspurs are 5th (12 pts, 13-8 goals), Zurrieq 8th (7 pts, 4-7).

Over their last five matches, Pietà Hotspurs averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Zurrieq averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Pietà Hotspurs or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.55	3.96	4.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.20	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
2.06	2.31	5.02

2nd half

1	X	2
1.86	2.71	4.66

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.36	15.0	42.3
HT X	4.40	6.33	10.3
HT 2	19.7	16.0	8.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	13.5	2.76

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.0
1.5	1.15	4.18
2.5	1.64	2.10
3.5	2.56	1.40
4.5	4.72	1.12
5.5	9.00	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.19	3.73
2	1.25	3.28
2.25	1.43	2.49
2.75	1.78	1.87
3	2.02	1.65
3.25	2.30	1.50
3.75	3.06	1.29
4	4.01	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	3.01	1.29
-1.5	2.51	1.42
-1.25	2.21	1.53
-1	1.94	1.76
-0.75	1.67	1.97
-0.25	1.36	2.72

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.70	1.01
-2.5	4.85	1.12
-2	4.04	1.17
0	1.19	3.80
+0.25	1.14	4.30
+1.5	1.02	9.20

Next Challenge League matches

6 Nov

Zebbug Rangers – St. Andrews

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

1 Nov	Melita 3-0 Sirens
1 Nov	Naxxar Lions 2-1 Gudja United
1 Nov	Fgura United 2-2 Mgarr United
1 Nov	Swieqi United 2-0 Santa Lucía
31 Oct	Zurrieq 0-3 Attard
31 Oct	St. Andrews 0-3 Pietà Hotspurs