Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#170.3:1.010:00Tomorrow0.5:0.5#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.46DAFX2.90DAF23.05DAFMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets32Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L51.1

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 23:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.46	2.90	3.05	7.9%
1xBet	2.40	2.79	3.00	10.8%
Betano	2.42	2.80	2.95	10.9%
Betfair	2.38	2.80	3.00	11.1%
Bet365	2.40	2.75	3.00	11.4%
Marathonbet	2.38	2.79	2.92	12.1%
Best of all books	2.46	2.90	3.05	7.9%
Average	2.41	2.80	2.99	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ulinzi StarsMathare United

Last 10#17Table position#90.50Points per game1.255Form pts · last 580.3Goals for · last 50.51.0Goals against · last 50.533Attack rating6733Defence rating6729Form rating7138H2H rating620Goals model035Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 15:03 UTC

Ulinzi Stars

3W 3D 4L · goals 7:9 · per match 0.7 for, 0.9 against

29 Oct	A	Kenya Police	0-1	L
24 Oct	H	Mara Sugar	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Homeboyz	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Tusker	0-2	L
31 May	A	Posta Rangers FC	1-0	W
27 May	H	Tusker	2-0	W
23 May	H	Mathare United	2-1	W
13 May	H	AFC Leopards	0-2	L
9 May	A	Shabana	0-0	D
3 May	H	Tusker	1-2	L

Mathare United

3W 3D 4L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

29 Oct	H	Tusker	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Migori Youth	0-0	D
17 Oct	A	KCB	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	APS Bomet	0-0	D
31 May	H	Bandari	1-0	W
23 May	A	Ulinzi Stars	1-2	L
16 May	A	Mara Sugar	1-0	W
10 May	H	APS Bomet	0-2	L
2 May	A	Sofapaka	2-2	D
25 Apr	H	Nairobi United	1-2	L

Head to head

10Ulinzi Stars wins

8draws

8Mathare United wins

26 meetings · goals 29:21 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Ulinzi Stars

23 May 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars2-1Mathare United
16 Jan 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Mathare United1-0Ulinzi Stars
17 May 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Mathare United1-0Ulinzi Stars
1 Dec 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars0-0Mathare United
21 Jun 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Mathare United1-1Ulinzi Stars
4 Jan 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars3-1Mathare United
30 Apr 2022FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars2-0Mathare United
16 Oct 2021FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Mathare United0-1Ulinzi Stars
18 Aug 2021FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Mathare United1-0Ulinzi Stars
21 Sep 2019FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Mathare United2-1Ulinzi Stars

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 31 Oct 15:03 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Ulinzi Stars sit 17th with 2 points from 4 games, while Mathare United are 9th with 5 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	4	4	0	0	7:2	+5	12
2	KCB	4	2	1	1	6:4	+2	7
3	Murang'a SEAL	4	2	0	2	11:9	+2	6
4	Mara Sugar	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
5	AFC Leopards	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
6	Shabana	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
7	APS Bomet	4	1	2	1	4:2	+2	5
8	Kenya Police	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
9	Mathare United	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
10	3K	4	1	2	1	5:7	-2	5
11	Homeboyz	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
12	Posta Rangers FC	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
13	Tusker	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3
14	Migori Youth	3	0	3	0	2:2	0	3
15	Nairobi United	4	0	3	1	5:6	-1	3
16	Bandari	4	0	3	1	1:2	-1	3
17	Ulinzi Stars	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2
18	Mombasa Elite	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.41X32%2.81230%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
1xBet	2.66	1.37	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.66	1.37	10.6%
Best of all books	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Average	2.69	1.38	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.18	1.56	10.0%
Best of all books	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Average	2.18	1.57	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ulinzi Stars 10%Draw 45%Mathare United 45%

The statistical model rates Ulinzi Stars at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mathare United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.41 | 2.81 | 2.99, which imply roughly 35.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Ulinzi Stars are 17th (2 pts, 1-4 goals), Mathare United 9th (5 pts, 2-2).

Over their last five matches, Ulinzi Stars averaged 0.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Mathare United averaged 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mathare United and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.41	2.81	2.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.46	1.34

Draw no bet

1	2
1.67	2.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.18	1.57

1st half

1	X	2
3.21	1.81	3.86

2nd half

1	X	2
2.86	2.07	3.48

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.03	14.2	42.3
HT X	5.37	3.92	6.37
HT 2	33.3	15.8	5.03

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.99	5.40	2.32

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	5.80
1.5	1.56	2.22
2.5	2.69	1.38
3.5	5.45	1.08
4.5	11.0	1.01

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.10	5.15
1	1.14	4.45
1.25	1.34	2.82
1.75	1.71	1.95
2	2.00	1.66
2.25	2.34	1.49
2.75	3.28	1.25
3	4.60	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	4.33	1.14
-0.75	2.93	1.32
-0.25	2.03	1.69
0	1.66	2.03
+0.25	1.44	2.44
+0.75	1.19	3.75

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.40	1.09
-1.25	4.90	1.11
+1	1.07	5.95
+1.5	1.04	7.10

Next FKF Premier League matches

1 Nov	AFC Leopards – Homeboyz
1 Nov	APS Bomet – Murang'a SEAL
1 Nov	Nairobi United – Bandari
1 Nov	GOR Mahia – KCB
2 Nov	Posta Rangers FC – 3K
2 Nov	Shabana – Kenya Police

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

29 Oct	Kenya Police 1-0 Ulinzi Stars
29 Oct	Mathare United 2-1 Tusker
29 Oct	Shabana 1-1 Migori Youth
28 Oct	Mara Sugar 0-0 AFC Leopards
28 Oct	Murang'a SEAL 3-2 Nairobi United
28 Oct	KCB 3-1 Mombasa Elite