Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#150.7:1.013:15Today0.3:1.0#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.97DAFX3.05DAF24.33B365Margin at best6.6%Books5Markets38Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.97	3.05	4.10	7.9%
1xBet	1.88	2.97	4.18	10.8%
Bet365	1.83	3.00	4.33	11.1%
Betano	1.95	2.92	3.90	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.86	2.97	4.05	12.1%
Best of all books	1.97	3.05	4.33	6.6%
Average	1.90	2.98	4.11	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Kenya PoliceUlinzi Stars

Last 10#15Table position#170.67Points per game0.674Form pts · last 580.7Goals for · last 50.31.0Goals against · last 51.067Attack rating3350Defence rating5050Form rating5036H2H rating6429Goals model7144Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 09:01 UTC

Kenya Police

2W 7D 1L · goals 10:7 · per match 1.0 for, 0.7 against

25 Oct	A	Mombasa Elite	0-0	D
20 Oct	H	AFC Leopards	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Migori Youth	1-1	D
31 May	H	Homeboyz	1-1	D
27 May	H	Kariobangi Sharks	1-1	D
24 May	A	Nairobi United	0-0	D
10 May	A	GOR Mahia	1-1	D
6 May	H	Murang'a SEAL	2-1	W
25 Apr	A	Shabana	0-0	D
18 Apr	A	AFC Leopards	3-0	W

Ulinzi Stars

4W 3D 3L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	H	Mara Sugar	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Homeboyz	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Tusker	0-2	L
31 May	A	Posta Rangers FC	1-0	W
27 May	H	Tusker	2-0	W
23 May	H	Mathare United	2-1	W
13 May	H	AFC Leopards	0-2	L
9 May	A	Shabana	0-0	D
3 May	H	Tusker	1-2	L
25 Apr	A	Bandari	2-1	W

Head to head

1Kenya Police wins

8draws

1Ulinzi Stars wins

10 meetings · goals 6:5 · last 10: 1W 8D 1L for Kenya Police

15 Feb 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars1-1Kenya Police
1 Oct 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Kenya Police0-0Ulinzi Stars
18 Apr 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Kenya Police0-1Ulinzi Stars
20 Oct 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars0-0Kenya Police
4 Mar 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars0-0Kenya Police
10 Nov 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Kenya Police2-0Ulinzi Stars
26 May 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars1-1Kenya Police
14 Jan 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Kenya Police0-0Ulinzi Stars
23 Jan 2022FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars2-2Kenya Police
19 Jan 2022FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars0-0Kenya Police

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 28 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Kenya Police sit 15th with 2 points from 3 games, while Ulinzi Stars are 17th with 2 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	4	4	0	0	7:2	+5	12
2	KCB	4	2	1	1	6:4	+2	7
3	Murang'a SEAL	4	2	0	2	11:9	+2	6
4	Mara Sugar	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
5	AFC Leopards	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
6	APS Bomet	4	1	2	1	4:2	+2	5
7	Shabana	3	1	2	0	1:0	+1	5
8	3K	4	1	2	1	5:7	-2	5
9	Homeboyz	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
10	Posta Rangers FC	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
11	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
12	Nairobi United	4	0	3	1	5:6	-1	3
13	Bandari	4	0	3	1	1:2	-1	3
14	Migori Youth	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
15	Kenya Police	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2
16	Mathare United	3	0	2	1	0:1	-1	2
17	Ulinzi Stars	3	0	2	1	1:3	-2	2
18	Mombasa Elite	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.90X30%2.98222%4.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.93 → 1.90 -1.6%X2.95 → 2.98 +1.0%23.98 → 4.11 +3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.62	1.44	7.6%
1xBet	2.49	1.42	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.49	1.42	10.6%
Best of all books	2.62	1.44	7.6%
Average	2.53	1.43	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.55	10.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Average	2.20	1.56	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kenya Police 10%Draw 45%Ulinzi Stars 45%

The statistical model rates Kenya Police at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ulinzi Stars at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 2.98 | 4.11, which imply roughly 33.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Kenya Police are 15th (2 pts, 2-3 goals), Ulinzi Stars 17th (2 pts, 1-3).

Over their last five matches, Kenya Police averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Ulinzi Stars averaged 0.3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ulinzi Stars.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.90	2.98	4.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.71	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.95

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.20	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
2.62	1.87	5.00

2nd half

1	X	2
2.32	2.14	4.47

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.15	16.0	48.0
HT X	4.43	3.93	7.90
HT 2	34.5	17.8	6.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.70	5.70	2.85

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	5.90
1.5	1.52	2.30
2.5	2.53	1.43
3.5	4.85	1.11
4.5	9.10	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.09	5.30
1	1.12	4.70
1.25	1.32	2.93
1.75	1.65	2.03
2	1.90	1.73
2.25	2.20	1.55
2.75	3.04	1.29
3	4.10	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.20	1.26
-1	2.83	1.33
-0.75	2.16	1.57
-0.5	1.89	1.81
-0.25	1.61	2.09
0	1.34	2.88

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.00	1.02
-2	7.20	1.03
-1.5	3.68	1.20
+0.25	1.25	3.35
+0.75	1.10	5.15
+1	1.01	8.60
+1.5	1.01	9.40

Next FKF Premier League matches

29 Oct	Shabana – Migori Youth
29 Oct	Mathare United – Tusker

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

28 Oct	Mara Sugar 0-0 AFC Leopards
28 Oct	Murang'a SEAL 3-2 Nairobi United
28 Oct	KCB 3-1 Mombasa Elite
28 Oct	APS Bomet 3-0 3K
28 Oct	Homeboyz 0-1 GOR Mahia
28 Oct	Bandari 0-0 Posta Rangers FC