Mathare United vs Tusker• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#160.0:0.312:00Today2.0:0.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.75DAFX2.85DAF22.75DAFMargin at best7.8%Books5Markets32Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L51.1

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 21:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.75	2.85	2.75	7.8%
Bet365	2.70	2.80	2.60	11.2%
Betano	2.67	2.72	2.70	11.3%
1xBet	2.65	2.72	2.65	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.65	2.72	2.65	12.2%
Best of all books	2.75	2.85	2.75	7.8%
Average	2.68	2.76	2.67	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mathare UnitedTusker

Last 10#16Table position#110.67Points per game3.005Form pts · last 580.0Goals for · last 52.00.3Goals against · last 50.00Attack rating1000Defence rating10040Form rating6050H2H rating500Goals model045Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 09:01 UTC

Mathare United

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	A	Migori Youth	0-0	D
17 Oct	A	KCB	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	APS Bomet	0-0	D
31 May	H	Bandari	1-0	W
23 May	A	Ulinzi Stars	1-2	L
16 May	A	Mara Sugar	1-0	W
10 May	H	APS Bomet	0-2	L
2 May	A	Sofapaka	2-2	D
25 Apr	H	Nairobi United	1-2	L
18 Apr	H	Bidco United	3-0	W

Tusker

4W 2D 3L · goals 10:8 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

25 Oct	A	Singida Black Stars	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Singida Black Stars	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Ulinzi Stars	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Al Ahli Wad Medani	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Al Ahli Wad Medani	2-2	D
1 Aug	H	KVZ	2-0	W
29 Jul	H	Rayon Sports	0-1	L
26 Jul	A	Al Hilal Omdurman	0-2	L
14 Jun	H	Police	2-1	W

Head to head

7Mathare United wins

9draws

10Tusker wins

26 meetings · goals 22:32 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Mathare United

14 Feb 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Mathare United3-1Tusker
1 Oct 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Tusker0-0Mathare United
27 Apr 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Mathare United2-1Tusker
7 Dec 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Tusker2-0Mathare United
12 Apr 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Mathare United0-2Tusker
18 Feb 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Tusker2-1Mathare United
30 Dec 2021FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Tusker4-1Mathare United
20 Jul 2021FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Mathare United0-0Tusker
31 Jan 2021FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Tusker1-0Mathare United
14 Sep 2019FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Tusker1-1Mathare United

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 28 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Mathare United sit 16th with 2 points from 3 games, while Tusker are 11th with 3 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	4	4	0	0	7:2	+5	12
2	KCB	4	2	1	1	6:4	+2	7
3	Murang'a SEAL	4	2	0	2	11:9	+2	6
4	Mara Sugar	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
5	AFC Leopards	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
6	APS Bomet	4	1	2	1	4:2	+2	5
7	Shabana	3	1	2	0	1:0	+1	5
8	3K	4	1	2	1	5:7	-2	5
9	Homeboyz	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
10	Posta Rangers FC	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
11	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
12	Nairobi United	4	0	3	1	5:6	-1	3
13	Bandari	4	0	3	1	1:2	-1	3
14	Migori Youth	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
15	Kenya Police	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2
16	Mathare United	3	0	2	1	0:1	-1	2
17	Ulinzi Stars	3	0	2	1	1:3	-2	2
18	Mombasa Elite	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.68X33%2.76234%2.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.00	1.36	6.9%
1xBet	2.88	1.32	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.88	1.32	10.5%
Best of all books	3.00	1.36	6.9%
Average	2.92	1.33	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.51	9.9%
Best of all books	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Average	2.29	1.52	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mathare United 10%Draw 45%Tusker 45%

The statistical model rates Mathare United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tusker at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.68 | 2.76 | 2.67, which imply roughly 36.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Mathare United are 16th (2 pts, 0-1 goals), Tusker 11th (3 pts, 2-0).

Over their last five matches, Mathare United averaged 0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Tusker averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Tusker and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.68	2.76	2.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.36	1.34

Draw no bet

1	2
1.83	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.29	1.52

1st half

1	X	2
3.62	1.77	3.60

2nd half

1	X	2
3.18	2.02	3.18

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.68	17.0	43.0
HT X	5.75	3.65	5.55
HT 2	43.0	17.3	4.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.19	5.23	2.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	5.45
1.5	1.62	2.10
2.5	2.92	1.33
3.5	6.05	1.06
4.5	10.0	1.02

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.12	4.80
1	1.16	4.10
1.25	1.38	2.63
1.75	1.81	1.83
2	2.15	1.56
2.25	2.53	1.42
2.75	3.58	1.21
3	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	5.25	1.09
-0.75	3.34	1.24
-0.25	2.23	1.54
0	1.85	1.85
+0.25	1.54	2.22
+0.75	1.24	3.34

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.40	1.05
+1	1.09	5.25
+1.25	1.07	5.80
+1.5	1.05	6.40

Next FKF Premier League matches

29 Oct	Shabana – Migori Youth
29 Oct	Kenya Police – Ulinzi Stars

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

28 Oct	Mara Sugar 0-0 AFC Leopards
28 Oct	APS Bomet 3-0 3K
28 Oct	KCB 3-1 Mombasa Elite
28 Oct	Murang'a SEAL 3-2 Nairobi United
28 Oct	Homeboyz 0-1 GOR Mahia
28 Oct	Bandari 0-0 Posta Rangers FC