Shabana vs Migori Youth• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#50.3:0.011:00Tomorrow0.5:0.5#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.17DAFX2.90DAF23.60BFRMargin at best8.3%Books5Markets36Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L50.7

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 01:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.17	2.90	3.60	8.3%
Betfair	2.10	2.88	3.60	10.1%
1xBet	2.12	2.80	3.56	11.0%
Bet365	2.15	2.75	3.50	11.4%
Marathonbet	2.10	2.80	3.46	12.2%
Best of all books	2.17	2.90	3.60	8.3%
Average	2.13	2.83	3.54	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ShabanaMigori Youth

Last 10#5Table position#121.67Points per game1.006Form pts · last 590.3Goals for · last 50.50.0Goals against · last 50.550Attack rating50100Defence rating071Form rating2967H2H rating330Goals model064Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 21:01 UTC

Shabana

2W 5D 3L · goals 4:5 · per match 0.4 for, 0.5 against

25 Oct	A	AFC Leopards	0-0	D
18 Oct	H	Nairobi United	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Posta Rangers FC	1-0	W
31 May	H	KCB	1-2	L
24 May	A	Sofapaka	1-1	D
17 May	A	Bidco United	1-0	W
13 May	A	Mara Sugar	0-1	L
9 May	H	Ulinzi Stars	0-0	D
2 May	H	Police	0-1	L
25 Apr	H	Kenya Police	0-0	D

Migori Youth

5W 4D 1L · goals 9:5 · per match 0.9 for, 0.5 against

24 Oct	H	Mathare United	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Kenya Police	1-1	D
13 Jun	A	3K	1-1	D
7 Jun	H	Equity Bank	2-1	W
1 Jun	A	Kisumu All Stars	1-0	W
27 May	H	MCF	2-1	W
23 May	H	Kibera Black Stars	1-0	W
17 May	A	Fortune Sacco	0-1	L
10 May	H	MOFA	1-0	W
3 May	A	Mombasa Elite	0-0	D

Head to head

1Shabana wins

3draws

0Migori Youth wins

4 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 4: 1W 3D 0L for Shabana

18 Jun 2023Super League	Super League	Shabana1-0Migori Youth
25 Feb 2023Super League	Super League	Migori Youth0-0Shabana
18 Jun 2022Super League	Super League	Shabana0-0Migori Youth
26 Feb 2022Super League	Super League	Migori Youth1-1Shabana

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Shabana sit 5th with 5 points from 3 games, while Migori Youth are 12th with 2 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	3	3	0	0	6:2	+4	9
2	3K	3	1	2	0	5:4	+1	5
3	Mara Sugar	3	1	2	0	4:3	+1	5
4	AFC Leopards	3	1	2	0	2:1	+1	5
5	Shabana	3	1	2	0	1:0	+1	5
6	Homeboyz	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
7	KCB	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
8	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
9	Murang'a SEAL	3	1	0	2	8:7	+1	3
10	Nairobi United	3	0	3	0	3:3	0	3
11	Posta Rangers FC	3	1	0	2	2:6	-4	3
12	Migori Youth	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
13	Kenya Police	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2
14	Bandari	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2
15	APS Bomet	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2
16	Mathare United	3	0	2	1	0:1	-1	2
17	Ulinzi Stars	3	0	2	1	1:3	-2	2
18	Mombasa Elite	3	0	1	2	1:3	-2	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.13X32%2.83226%3.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.14 → 2.13 -0.5%X2.79 → 2.83 +1.4%23.48 → 3.54 +1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
1xBet	2.62	1.38	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.62	1.38	10.6%
Best of all books	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Average	2.66	1.39	9.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.55	10.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Average	2.20	1.56	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shabana 45%Draw 45%Migori Youth 10%

The statistical model rates Shabana at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Migori Youth at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.13 | 2.83 | 3.54, which imply roughly 46.9% for a Shabana win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Shabana are 5th (5 pts, 1-0 goals), Migori Youth 12th (2 pts, 1-1).

Over their last five matches, Shabana averaged 0.3 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Migori Youth averaged 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Shabana or draw and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.13	2.83	3.54

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.57	1.34

Draw no bet

1	2
1.50	2.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.20	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
2.90	1.82	4.47

2nd half

1	X	2
2.55	2.07	4.14

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.60	14.0	41.0
HT X	5.00	4.00	7.25
HT 2	30.0	16.0	6.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	5.23	2.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	5.45
1.5	1.55	2.24
2.5	2.66	1.39
3.5	5.20	1.10
4.5	11.0	1.01

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.11	4.90
1	1.15	4.30
1.25	1.36	2.75
1.75	1.71	1.95
2	1.99	1.66
2.25	2.34	1.48
2.75	3.20	1.26
3	4.45	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.92	1.18
-1	3.42	1.23
-0.75	2.50	1.42
-0.25	1.80	1.89
0	1.47	2.41
+0.25	1.32	2.89

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.5	4.40	1.14
+0.75	1.14	4.45
+1	1.03	7.20
+1.5	1.02	8.20

Next FKF Premier League matches

28 Oct	Bandari – Posta Rangers FC
28 Oct	Homeboyz – GOR Mahia
28 Oct	KCB – Mombasa Elite
28 Oct	Murang'a SEAL – Nairobi United
28 Oct	APS Bomet – 3K
28 Oct	Mara Sugar – AFC Leopards

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

25 Oct	AFC Leopards 0-0 Shabana
25 Oct	Nairobi United 1-1 APS Bomet
25 Oct	Mombasa Elite 0-0 Police
25 Oct	3K 2-1 Murang'a SEAL
24 Oct	GOR Mahia 1-0 Bandari
24 Oct	Migori Youth 0-0 Mathare United