Shabana vs Kenya Police• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#60.5:0.313:15Tomorrow0.8:0.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.65DAFX2.80BFR22.80B365Margin at best9.2%Books6Markets31Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L51.2

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 23:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.70	2.80	2.85	7.8%
Betfair	2.60	2.75	2.80	10.5%
Betano	2.62	2.72	2.77	11.0%
Bet365	2.55	2.70	2.80	12.0%
1xBet	2.59	2.71	2.72	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.59	2.71	2.72	12.3%
Best of all books	2.70	2.80	2.85	7.8%
Average	2.61	2.73	2.78	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ShabanaKenya Police

Last 10#6Table position#81.50Points per game1.256Form pts · last 550.5Goals for · last 50.80.3Goals against · last 50.840Attack rating6075Defence rating2555Form rating4550H2H rating5041Goals model5952Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 15:03 UTC

Shabana

2W 5D 3L · goals 5:6 · per match 0.5 for, 0.6 against

29 Oct	H	Migori Youth	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	AFC Leopards	0-0	D
18 Oct	H	Nairobi United	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Posta Rangers FC	1-0	W
31 May	H	KCB	1-2	L
24 May	A	Sofapaka	1-1	D
17 May	A	Bidco United	1-0	W
13 May	A	Mara Sugar	0-1	L
9 May	H	Ulinzi Stars	0-0	D
2 May	H	Kenya Police	0-1	L

Kenya Police

1W 7D 2L · goals 7:8 · per match 0.7 for, 0.8 against

29 Oct	H	Ulinzi Stars	1-0	W
25 Oct	A	Mombasa Elite	0-0	D
20 Oct	H	AFC Leopards	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Migori Youth	1-1	D
14 Jun	A	Tusker	1-2	L
31 May	H	Homeboyz	1-1	D
27 May	H	Kariobangi Sharks	1-1	D
24 May	A	Nairobi United	0-0	D
16 May	H	Bandari	0-0	D
10 May	A	GOR Mahia	1-1	D

Head to head

2Shabana wins

2draws

3Kenya Police wins

7 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for Shabana

2 May 2026Shield Cup	Shield Cup	Shabana0-1Kenya Police
25 Apr 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Shabana0-0Kenya Police
30 Nov 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Kenya Police0-1Shabana
15 Jun 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Kenya Police1-0Shabana
10 Nov 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Shabana1-0Kenya Police
17 Feb 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Kenya Police1-0Shabana
16 Sep 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Shabana1-1Kenya Police

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 31 Oct 15:03 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Shabana sit 6th with 6 points from 4 games, while Kenya Police are 8th with 5 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	4	4	0	0	7:2	+5	12
2	KCB	4	2	1	1	6:4	+2	7
3	Murang'a SEAL	4	2	0	2	11:9	+2	6
4	Mara Sugar	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
5	AFC Leopards	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
6	Shabana	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
7	APS Bomet	4	1	2	1	4:2	+2	5
8	Kenya Police	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
9	Mathare United	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
10	3K	4	1	2	1	5:7	-2	5
11	Homeboyz	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
12	Posta Rangers FC	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
13	Tusker	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3
14	Migori Youth	3	0	3	0	2:2	0	3
15	Nairobi United	4	0	3	1	5:6	-1	3
16	Bandari	4	0	3	1	1:2	-1	3
17	Ulinzi Stars	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2
18	Mombasa Elite	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.59X33%2.73232%2.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.00	1.36	6.9%
1xBet	2.88	1.32	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.88	1.32	10.5%
Best of all books	3.00	1.36	6.9%
Average	2.92	1.33	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.51	9.9%
Best of all books	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Average	2.29	1.52	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shabana 10%Draw 45%Kenya Police 45%

The statistical model rates Shabana at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Kenya Police at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.59 | 2.73 | 2.77, which imply roughly 36.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Shabana are 6th (6 pts, 2-1 goals), Kenya Police 8th (5 pts, 3-3).

Over their last five matches, Shabana averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Kenya Police averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kenya Police and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.61	2.73	2.78

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.40	1.36

Draw no bet

1	2
1.79	1.89

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.29	1.52

1st half

1	X	2
3.46	1.78	3.71

2nd half

1	X	2
3.08	2.02	3.28

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.42	14.8	43.0
HT X	5.45	3.65	5.85
HT 2	39.5	17.5	4.78

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.10	5.18	2.24

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.09	5.35
1.5	1.62	2.10
2.5	2.92	1.33
3.5	6.00	1.06

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.12	4.75
1	1.16	4.05
1.25	1.38	2.63
1.75	1.81	1.83
2	2.15	1.56
2.25	2.53	1.42
2.75	3.58	1.21
3	5.15	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	5.05	1.10
-0.75	3.20	1.26
-0.25	2.16	1.57
0	1.79	1.92
+0.25	1.51	2.29
+0.75	1.22	3.48

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.15	1.06
-1.25	5.60	1.08
+1	1.08	5.50
+1.5	1.05	6.70

Next FKF Premier League matches

1 Nov	AFC Leopards – Homeboyz
1 Nov	APS Bomet – Murang'a SEAL
1 Nov	Nairobi United – Bandari
1 Nov	GOR Mahia – KCB
2 Nov	Ulinzi Stars – Mathare United
2 Nov	Posta Rangers FC – 3K

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

29 Oct	Kenya Police 1-0 Ulinzi Stars
29 Oct	Mathare United 2-1 Tusker
29 Oct	Shabana 1-1 Migori Youth
28 Oct	Mara Sugar 0-0 AFC Leopards
28 Oct	Murang'a SEAL 3-2 Nairobi United
28 Oct	KCB 3-1 Mombasa Elite