APS Bomet vs Murang'a SEAL• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#71.0:0.512:00Today2.8:2.3#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.28DAFX3.00B36523.25DAFMargin at best8.0%Books9Markets39Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 07:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.28	3.00	3.25	8.0%
1xBet	2.22	3.00	3.08	10.8%
Bet365	2.20	3.00	3.10	11.0%
Betano	2.22	2.95	3.10	11.2%
Pinnacle	2.19	2.90	3.17	11.7%
Betfair	2.20	3.00	3.00	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	3.00	2.99	12.2%
William Hill	2.25	2.80	3.10	12.4%
BetVictor	2.10	2.75	2.80	19.7%
Best of all books	2.28	3.00	3.25	8.0%
Average	2.21	2.93	3.07	12.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

APS BometMurang'a SEAL

Last 10#7Table position#31.25Points per game1.506Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 52.80.5Goals against · last 52.327Attack rating7382Defence rating1845Form rating5525H2H rating7580Goals model2048Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 21:01 UTC

APS Bomet

6W 3D 1L · goals 13:4 · per match 1.3 for, 0.4 against

28 Oct	H	3K	3-0	W
25 Oct	A	Nairobi United	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	GOR Mahia	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Mathare United	0-0	D
31 May	A	Tusker	1-1	D
24 May	H	AFC Leopards	2-1	W
20 May	A	Bandari	2-0	W
10 May	A	Mathare United	2-0	W
6 May	H	KCB	1-0	W
26 Apr	H	Sofapaka	1-0	W

Murang'a SEAL

5W 0D 5L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

28 Oct	H	Nairobi United	3-2	W
25 Oct	A	3K	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Posta Rangers FC	5-1	W
13 Oct	A	GOR Mahia	2-4	L
31 May	H	Mara Sugar	2-1	W
24 May	A	Bidco United	2-0	W
17 May	H	GOR Mahia	1-3	L
10 May	H	Homeboyz	1-0	W
6 May	A	Kenya Police	1-2	L
25 Apr	A	Kariobangi Sharks	0-1	L

Head to head

1APS Bomet wins

1draws

2Murang'a SEAL wins

4 meetings · goals 4:6 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for APS Bomet

1 Feb 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Murang'a SEAL2-1APS Bomet
28 Sep 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	APS Bomet0-2Murang'a SEAL
24 Jul 2022Super League	Super League	APS Bomet1-1Murang'a SEAL
5 Feb 2022Super League	Super League	Murang'a SEAL1-2APS Bomet

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 31 Oct 15:03 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, APS Bomet sit 7th with 5 points from 4 games, while Murang'a SEAL are 3rd with 6 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	4	4	0	0	7:2	+5	12
2	KCB	4	2	1	1	6:4	+2	7
3	Murang'a SEAL	4	2	0	2	11:9	+2	6
4	Mara Sugar	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
5	AFC Leopards	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
6	Shabana	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
7	APS Bomet	4	1	2	1	4:2	+2	5
8	Kenya Police	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
9	Mathare United	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
10	3K	4	1	2	1	5:7	-2	5
11	Homeboyz	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
12	Posta Rangers FC	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
13	Tusker	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3
14	Migori Youth	3	0	3	0	2:2	0	3
15	Nairobi United	4	0	3	1	5:6	-1	3
16	Bandari	4	0	3	1	1:2	-1	3
17	Ulinzi Stars	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2
18	Mombasa Elite	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.21X30%2.93229%3.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.23 → 2.21 -0.9%X3.02 → 2.93 -3.0%23.05 → 3.07 +0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
1xBet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.30	1.52	9.3%
Betano	2.22	1.53	10.4%
BetVictor	1.98	1.44	19.9%
Best of all books	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Average	2.23	1.52	10.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.72	10.0%
BetVictor	1.78	1.57	19.9%
Best of all books	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Average	1.90	1.70	11.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

APS Bomet 10%Draw 45%Murang'a SEAL 45%

The statistical model rates APS Bomet at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Murang'a SEAL at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.21 | 2.93 | 3.07, which imply roughly 34.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: APS Bomet are 7th (5 pts, 4-2 goals), Murang'a SEAL 3rd (6 pts, 11-9).

Over their last five matches, APS Bomet averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Murang'a SEAL averaged 2.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Murang'a SEAL and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.21	2.93	3.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.53	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.55	2.09

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.70

1st half

1	X	2
2.90	1.92	3.74

2nd half

1	X	2
2.65	2.18	3.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.73	14.0	35.0
HT X	5.33	4.47	6.50
HT 2	29.0	14.8	5.13

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	6.65	2.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	5.34
1.5	1.39	2.48
2.5	2.23	1.52
3.5	3.87	1.15
4.5	7.05	1.04
5.5	23.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.55
1.25	1.24	3.34
1.75	1.50	2.21
2	1.69	1.92
2.25	1.94	1.65
2.75	2.65	1.38
3	3.42	1.23
3.25	3.82	1.19
4	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.52	1.38
-0.5	2.08	1.54
-0.25	1.87	1.76
0	1.55	2.13
+0.25	1.38	2.49
+0.5	1.29	3.08

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-1.5	4.55	1.13
-1.25	4.10	1.16
-1	3.52	1.22
+0.75	1.20	3.72
+1	1.08	5.70
+1.5	1.05	6.65

Next FKF Premier League matches

1 Nov	AFC Leopards – Homeboyz
1 Nov	Migori Youth – Mombasa Elite
1 Nov	Nairobi United – Bandari
1 Nov	GOR Mahia – KCB
2 Nov	Ulinzi Stars – Mathare United
2 Nov	Posta Rangers FC – 3K

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

29 Oct	Kenya Police 1-0 Ulinzi Stars
29 Oct	Mathare United 2-1 Tusker
29 Oct	Shabana 1-1 Migori Youth
28 Oct	Mara Sugar 0-0 AFC Leopards
28 Oct	Murang'a SEAL 3-2 Nairobi United
28 Oct	KCB 3-1 Mombasa Elite