Mara Sugar vs 
AFC Leopards• FKF Premier League, Kenya
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 06:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.65 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 2.75 | 2.80 | 2.60 | 10.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.60 | 11.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.69 | 2.79 | 2.55 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.69 | 2.79 | 2.55 | 12.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 2.63 | 2.38 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.65 | 7.9% |
| Average | 2.69 | 2.78 | 2.55 | 12.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC
Mara Sugar
4W 3D 3L · goals 9:8 · per match 0.9 for, 0.8 against
| 24 Oct | A | Ulinzi Stars | 0-0 | D |
| 19 Oct | H | Mombasa Elite | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | 3K | 2-2 | D |
| 31 May | A | Murang'a SEAL | 1-2 | L |
| 27 May | H | GOR Mahia | 0-0 | D |
| 16 May | H | Mathare United | 0-1 | L |
| 13 May | H | Shabana | 1-0 | W |
| 9 May | A | AFC Leopards | 1-2 | L |
| 24 Apr | A | Tusker | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | Kariobangi Sharks | 1-0 | W |
AFC Leopards
4W 2D 4L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against
| 25 Oct | H | Shabana | 0-0 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Kenya Police | 2-1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Bandari | 0-0 | D |
| 31 May | H | Bidco United | 1-2 | L |
| 24 May | A | APS Bomet | 1-2 | L |
| 16 May | A | Homeboyz | 2-1 | W |
| 13 May | A | Ulinzi Stars | 2-0 | W |
| 9 May | H | Mara Sugar | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | GOR Mahia | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | Kenya Police | 0-3 | L |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 5:5 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Mara Sugar
| 9 May 2026FKF Premier League | FKF Premier League | AFC Leopards2-1Mara Sugar |
| 8 Nov 2025FKF Premier League | FKF Premier League | Mara Sugar2-0AFC Leopards |
| 15 Feb 2025FKF Premier League | FKF Premier League | Mara Sugar1-2AFC Leopards |
| 10 Nov 2024FKF Premier League | FKF Premier League | AFC Leopards1-1Mara Sugar |
FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC
In the FKF Premier League table, Mara Sugar sit 3rd with 5 points from 3 games, while AFC Leopards are 4th with 5 points from 3.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 | 3K | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 | Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 | AFC Leopards | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 5 | Shabana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 | Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | KCB | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Murang'a SEAL | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Posta Rangers FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Kenya Police | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | APS Bomet | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa Elite | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.49 | 1.42 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 2.49 | 1.42 | 10.6% |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 1.38 | 20.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| Average | 2.43 | 1.41 | 11.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 1.65 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 1.63 | 9.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 1.50 | 20.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.06 | 1.65 | 9.1% |
| Average | 1.99 | 1.59 | 13.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Mara Sugar at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and AFC Leopards at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.69 | 2.78 | 2.56, which imply roughly 36% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Mara Sugar are 3rd (5 pts, 4-3 goals), AFC Leopards 4th (5 pts, 2-1).
Over their last five matches, Mara Sugar averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; AFC Leopards averaged 0.7 scored and 0.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Leopards.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.69 | 2.78 | 2.56 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | 1.36 | 1.29 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.83 | 1.74 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.99 | 1.59 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 1.83 | 3.33 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.17 | 2.12 | 2.98 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.75 | 15.5 | 35.5 |
| HT X | 5.85 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| HT 2 | 37.0 | 15.8 | 4.39 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | 5.83 | 2.05 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.06 | 5.43 |
| 1.5 | 1.47 | 2.28 |
| 2.5 | 2.43 | 1.42 |
| 3.5 | 4.47 | 1.10 |
| 4.5 | 6.60 | 1.02 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.08 | 5.50 |
| 1 | 1.11 | 4.85 |
| 1.25 | 1.31 | 2.98 |
| 1.75 | 1.59 | 1.99 |
| 2 | 1.82 | 1.73 |
| 2.25 | 2.09 | 1.53 |
| 2.75 | 3.04 | 1.29 |
| 3 | 4.10 | 1.16 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.29 | 1.31 |
| -0.25 | 2.18 | 1.48 |
| 0 | 1.86 | 1.76 |
| +0.25 | 1.54 | 2.07 |
| +0.5 | 1.34 | 2.20 |
| +0.75 | 1.27 | 3.15 |
6 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6.20 | 1.06 |
| -1 | 5.15 | 1.10 |
| -0.75 | 3.34 | 1.24 |
| +1 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| +1.25 | 1.09 | 5.25 |
| +1.5 | 1.07 | 5.75 |
Next FKF Premier League matches
| 28 Oct | Bandari – Posta Rangers FC |
| 28 Oct | Homeboyz – GOR Mahia |
| 28 Oct | KCB – Mombasa Elite |
| 28 Oct | Murang'a SEAL – Nairobi United |
| 28 Oct | APS Bomet – 3K |
| 29 Oct | Shabana – Migori Youth |
Latest FKF Premier League results
| 25 Oct | AFC Leopards 0-0 Shabana |
| 25 Oct | Nairobi United 1-1 APS Bomet |
| 25 Oct | Mombasa Elite 0-0 Police |
| 25 Oct | 3K 2-1 Murang'a SEAL |
| 24 Oct | GOR Mahia 1-0 Bandari |
| 24 Oct | Migori Youth 0-0 Mathare United |