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AFC Leopards vs Homeboyz• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#50.5:0.311:00Today0.7:0.7#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.68PINX2.90DAF22.88B365Margin at best6.5%Books9Markets34Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L51.1

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 07:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.652.902.758.6%
Betfair2.632.802.7010.8%
Betano2.652.822.6510.9%
Bet3652.552.702.8811.0%
Pinnacle2.682.832.5611.7%
1xBet2.622.762.6412.3%
Marathonbet2.622.762.6412.3%
William Hill2.622.622.7013.4%
BetVictor2.452.502.5520.0%
Best of all books2.682.902.886.5%
Average2.612.742.6712.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC LeopardsHomeboyz
Last 10#5Table position#111.50Points per game1.336Form pts · last 560.5Goals for · last 50.70.3Goals against · last 50.750Attack rating5067Defence rating3360Form rating4038H2H rating620Goals model052Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 21:01 UTC

AFC Leopards

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:8 · per match 1.0 for, 0.8 against

28 OctAMara Sugar0-0D
25 OctHShabana0-0D
20 OctAKenya Police2-1W
14 OctHBandari0-0D
31 MayHBidco United1-2L
24 MayAAPS Bomet1-2L
16 MayAHomeboyz2-1W
13 MayAUlinzi Stars2-0W
9 MayHMara Sugar2-1W
26 AprHGOR Mahia0-1L

Homeboyz

1W 4D 5L · goals 7:11 · per match 0.7 for, 1.1 against

28 OctHGOR Mahia0-1L
18 OctHUlinzi Stars1-1D
14 OctAMombasa Elite1-0W
31 MayAKenya Police1-1D
23 MayAKariobangi Sharks2-2D
16 MayHAFC Leopards1-2L
10 MayAMurang'a SEAL0-1L
3 MayHGOR Mahia0-1L
26 AprAKCB1-1D
18 AprAShabana0-1L

Head to head

8AFC Leopards wins
6draws
10Homeboyz wins

24 meetings · goals 26:31 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for AFC Leopards

16 May 2026FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueHomeboyz1-2AFC Leopards
4 Jan 2026FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueAFC Leopards0-1Homeboyz
5 Apr 2025FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueAFC Leopards1-2Homeboyz
7 Dec 2024FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueHomeboyz1-1AFC Leopards
18 Feb 2024FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueHomeboyz0-0AFC Leopards
17 Dec 2023FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueAFC Leopards2-0Homeboyz
20 May 2023Shield CupShield CupHomeboyz2-1AFC Leopards
16 Apr 2023FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueHomeboyz2-0AFC Leopards
21 Dec 2022FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueAFC Leopards0-0Homeboyz
29 May 2022FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueHomeboyz0-2AFC Leopards

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 31 Oct 15:03 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, AFC Leopards sit 5th with 6 points from 4 games, while Homeboyz are 11th with 4 points from 3.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1GOR Mahia44007:2+512
2KCB42116:4+27
3Murang'a SEAL420211:9+26
4Mara Sugar41304:3+16
5AFC Leopards41302:1+16
6Shabana41302:1+16
7APS Bomet41214:2+25
8Kenya Police41213:305
9Mathare United41212:205
103K41215:7-25
11Homeboyz31112:204
12Posta Rangers FC41122:6-44
13Tusker21013:2+13
14Migori Youth30302:203
15Nairobi United40315:6-13
16Bandari40311:2-13
17Ulinzi Stars40221:4-32
18Mombasa Elite40132:6-41

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.61X33%2.74233%2.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

31 Oct 21:011 Nov 07:501 2.61X 2.742 2.67
12.30 → 2.61 +13.5%X2.79 → 2.74 -1.8%23.18 → 2.67 -16.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.751.407.8%
Pinnacle2.831.359.4%
1xBet2.811.3310.8%
Marathonbet2.811.3310.8%
BetVictor2.381.2919.5%
Best of all books2.831.406.8%
Average2.721.3411.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill2.201.579.1%
1xBet2.241.559.2%
Marathonbet2.241.5310.0%
BetVictor1.951.4420.7%
Best of all books2.241.578.3%
Average2.161.5212.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Leopards 45%Draw 45%Homeboyz 10%

The statistical model rates AFC Leopards at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Homeboyz at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.61 | 2.74 | 2.67, which imply roughly 38.3% for a AFC Leopards win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: AFC Leopards are 5th (6 pts, 2-1 goals), Homeboyz 11th (4 pts, 2-2).

Over their last five matches, AFC Leopards averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Homeboyz averaged 0.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : AFC Leopards or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.612.742.67

Double chance

1XX212
1.361.411.32

Draw no bet

12
1.701.91

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.161.52

1st half

1X2
3.381.803.59

2nd half

1X2
3.192.023.16

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.2914.540.7
HT X5.533.906.00
HT 236.715.84.67

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.055.432.26

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.075.15
1.51.572.11
2.52.721.34
3.55.331.06
4.513.01.03
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.105.15
11.154.29
1.251.362.60
1.751.741.85
22.051.58
2.252.361.43
2.753.501.22
35.101.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.091.26
-0.52.421.37
-0.252.131.58
01.801.84
+0.251.522.16
+0.51.372.41
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.551.05
-1.255.951.07
-15.301.09
+0.751.263.27
+11.095.35
+1.251.075.95
+1.51.056.65

Next FKF Premier League matches

1 NovMigori Youth – Mombasa Elite
1 NovAPS Bomet – Murang'a SEAL
1 NovNairobi United – Bandari
1 NovGOR Mahia – KCB
2 NovUlinzi Stars – Mathare United
2 NovPosta Rangers FC – 3K

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

29 OctKenya Police 1-0 Ulinzi Stars
29 OctMathare United 2-1 Tusker
29 OctShabana 1-1 Migori Youth
28 OctMara Sugar 0-0 AFC Leopards
28 OctMurang'a SEAL 3-2 Nairobi United
28 OctKCB 3-1 Mombasa Elite