GOR Mahia vs KCB• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#11.8:0.513:15Today1.5:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07BTNX3.25DAF24.50DAFMargin at best1.3%Books6Markets41Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 07:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.81	3.25	4.50	8.2%
Betfair	1.85	3.00	4.33	10.5%
1xBet	1.97	2.92	3.86	10.9%
Betano	2.07	2.87	3.60	10.9%
Bet365	1.80	3.10	4.20	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.97	2.90	3.70	12.3%
Best of all books	2.07	3.25	4.50	1.3%
Average	1.91	3.01	4.03	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GOR MahiaKCB

Last 10#1Table position#23.00Points per game1.7512Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.50.5Goals against · last 51.054Attack rating4667Defence rating3363Form rating3785H2H rating1572Goals model2868Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 21:01 UTC

GOR Mahia

5W 1D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

28 Oct	A	Homeboyz	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	Bandari	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	APS Bomet	1-0	W
13 Oct	H	Murang'a SEAL	4-2	W
13 Sep	A	Pyramids FC	1-5	L
6 Sep	H	Pyramids FC	0-2	L
7 Aug	A	Rayon Sports	1-2	L
4 Aug	H	Al Hilal Omdurman	1-1	D
30 Jul	H	Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri	1-0	W
27 Jul	H	Vipers	0-1	L

KCB

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

28 Oct	H	Mombasa Elite	3-1	W
23 Oct	A	Posta Rangers FC	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Mathare United	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Nairobi United	2-2	D
14 Jun	H	Bandari	0-2	L
31 May	A	Shabana	2-1	W
27 May	A	Sofapaka	2-1	W
23 May	H	Posta Rangers FC	0-1	L
16 May	A	Tusker	0-0	D
10 May	H	Bandari	2-2	D

Head to head

12GOR Mahia wins

7draws

4KCB wins

23 meetings · goals 34:20 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for GOR Mahia

22 Feb 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	GOR Mahia3-0KCB
5 Oct 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	KCB0-1GOR Mahia
7 Apr 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	KCB0-1GOR Mahia
23 Oct 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	GOR Mahia0-0KCB
16 May 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	KCB0-0GOR Mahia
1 Oct 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	GOR Mahia1-1KCB
17 Mar 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	KCB0-0GOR Mahia
4 Jan 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	GOR Mahia0-1KCB
23 Apr 2022FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	KCB0-1GOR Mahia
25 Sep 2021FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	GOR Mahia2-1KCB

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 31 Oct 15:03 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, GOR Mahia sit 1st with 12 points from 4 games, while KCB are 2nd with 7 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	4	4	0	0	7:2	+5	12
2	KCB	4	2	1	1	6:4	+2	7
3	Murang'a SEAL	4	2	0	2	11:9	+2	6
4	Mara Sugar	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
5	AFC Leopards	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
6	Shabana	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
7	APS Bomet	4	1	2	1	4:2	+2	5
8	Kenya Police	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
9	Mathare United	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
10	3K	4	1	2	1	5:7	-2	5
11	Homeboyz	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
12	Posta Rangers FC	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
13	Tusker	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3
14	Migori Youth	3	0	3	0	2:2	0	3
15	Nairobi United	4	0	3	1	5:6	-1	3
16	Bandari	4	0	3	1	1:2	-1	3
17	Ulinzi Stars	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2
18	Mombasa Elite	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.91X30%3.01222%4.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.79 → 1.91 +6.7%X3.13 → 3.01 -3.8%24.50 → 4.03 -10.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Marathonbet	2.69	1.39	9.1%
1xBet	2.65	1.40	9.2%
Betano	2.37	1.47	10.2%
Best of all books	2.69	1.50	3.8%
Average	2.55	1.44	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.53	10.0%
Best of all books	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Average	2.24	1.54	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

GOR Mahia 45%Draw 45%KCB 10%

The statistical model rates GOR Mahia at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and KCB at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.91 | 3.01 | 4.03, which imply roughly 52.4% for a GOR Mahia win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: GOR Mahia are 1st (12 pts, 7-2 goals), KCB 2nd (7 pts, 6-4).

Over their last five matches, GOR Mahia averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; KCB averaged 1.5 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : GOR Mahia or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.91	3.01	4.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.71	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.37	2.98

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.24	1.54

1st half

1	X	2
2.66	1.87	4.83

2nd half

1	X	2
2.44	2.11	4.23

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.01	15.8	48.7
HT X	4.46	4.21	8.57
HT 2	29.0	16.2	7.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	5.83	2.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	5.68
1.5	1.54	2.21
2.5	2.55	1.44
3.5	5.25	1.10
4.5	11.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.14	4.43
1.25	1.34	2.80
1.75	1.69	1.94
2	1.98	1.67
2.25	2.32	1.49
2.75	3.20	1.26
3	4.47	1.13
3.25	4.88	1.11
4	8.60	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.14	1.29
-0.75	2.30	1.49
-0.5	1.88	1.84
-0.25	1.67	1.98
0	1.38	2.61
+0.25	1.28	3.08

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.01
-2	8.20	1.02
-1.75	5.28	1.09
-1.5	4.05	1.17
-1.25	3.54	1.21
+1	1.02	8.00
+1.5	1.01	8.95

Next FKF Premier League matches

1 Nov	AFC Leopards – Homeboyz
1 Nov	Migori Youth – Mombasa Elite
1 Nov	APS Bomet – Murang'a SEAL
1 Nov	Nairobi United – Bandari
2 Nov	Ulinzi Stars – Mathare United
2 Nov	Posta Rangers FC – 3K

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

29 Oct	Kenya Police 1-0 Ulinzi Stars
29 Oct	Mathare United 2-1 Tusker
29 Oct	Shabana 1-1 Migori Youth
28 Oct	Mara Sugar 0-0 AFC Leopards
28 Oct	Murang'a SEAL 3-2 Nairobi United
28 Oct	KCB 3-1 Mombasa Elite