Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#92.7:2.312:00Today1.0:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.55B365X3.00B36522.60B365Margin at best11.0%Books7Markets35Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.65	3.10	2.65	7.7%
Betfair	2.60	3.00	2.60	10.3%
Bet365	2.55	3.00	2.60	11.0%
Betano	2.60	2.92	2.60	11.2%
1xBet	2.55	2.96	2.55	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.55	2.96	2.55	12.2%
BetVictor	2.38	2.70	2.45	19.9%
Best of all books	2.65	3.10	2.65	7.7%
Average	2.55	2.95	2.57	12.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Murang'a SEALNairobi United

Last 10#9Table position#101.00Points per game1.009Form pts · last 572.7Goals for · last 51.02.3Goals against · last 51.073Attack rating2730Defence rating7050Form rating5020H2H rating800Goals model042Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC

Murang'a SEAL

4W 0D 6L · goals 17:18 · per match 1.7 for, 1.8 against

25 Oct	A	3K	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Posta Rangers FC	5-1	W
13 Oct	A	GOR Mahia	2-4	L
31 May	H	Mara Sugar	2-1	W
24 May	A	Bidco United	2-0	W
17 May	H	GOR Mahia	1-3	L
10 May	H	Homeboyz	1-0	W
6 May	A	Kenya Police	1-2	L
25 Apr	A	Kariobangi Sharks	0-1	L
19 Apr	H	Nairobi United	2-4	L

Nairobi United

3W 5D 2L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

25 Oct	H	APS Bomet	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Shabana	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	KCB	2-2	D
31 May	A	GOR Mahia	1-0	W
24 May	H	Kenya Police	0-0	D
16 May	H	Posta Rangers FC	2-2	D
10 May	A	Kariobangi Sharks	0-2	L
6 May	H	Tusker	1-0	W
3 May	H	KCB	0-1	L
25 Apr	A	Mathare United	2-1	W

Head to head

0Murang'a SEAL wins

1draws

1Nairobi United wins

2 meetings · goals 3:5 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Murang'a SEAL

19 Apr 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Murang'a SEAL2-4Nairobi United
12 Dec 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Nairobi United1-1Murang'a SEAL

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 27 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Murang'a SEAL sit 9th with 3 points from 3 games, while Nairobi United are 10th with 3 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	3	3	0	0	6:2	+4	9
2	3K	3	1	2	0	5:4	+1	5
3	Mara Sugar	3	1	2	0	4:3	+1	5
4	AFC Leopards	3	1	2	0	2:1	+1	5
5	Shabana	3	1	2	0	1:0	+1	5
6	Homeboyz	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
7	KCB	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
8	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
9	Murang'a SEAL	3	1	0	2	8:7	+1	3
10	Nairobi United	3	0	3	0	3:3	0	3
11	Posta Rangers FC	3	1	0	2	2:6	-4	3
12	Migori Youth	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
13	Kenya Police	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2
14	Bandari	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2
15	APS Bomet	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2
16	Mathare United	3	0	2	1	0:1	-1	2
17	Ulinzi Stars	3	0	2	1	1:3	-2	2
18	Mombasa Elite	3	0	1	2	1:3	-2	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.55X30%3.00235%2.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
1xBet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Betano	2.22	1.53	10.4%
BetVictor	1.97	1.44	20.2%
Best of all books	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Average	2.22	1.52	10.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
BetVictor	1.75	1.60	19.6%
Best of all books	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Average	1.86	1.69	12.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Murang'a SEAL 10%Draw 45%Nairobi United 45%

The statistical model rates Murang'a SEAL at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nairobi United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.55 | 3.00 | 2.60, which imply roughly 33.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Murang'a SEAL are 9th (3 pts, 8-7 goals), Nairobi United 10th (3 pts, 3-3).

Over their last five matches, Murang'a SEAL averaged 2.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game; Nairobi United averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nairobi United.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.55	2.95	2.57

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.41	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.77	1.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
3.24	1.92	3.31

2nd half

1	X	2
2.97	2.21	2.97

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.37	13.8	31.7
HT X	5.87	4.45	5.90
HT 2	32.3	14.8	4.35

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	6.65	2.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	5.85
1.5	1.38	2.45
2.5	2.22	1.52
3.5	3.83	1.15
4.5	6.80	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.60
1.25	1.24	3.34
1.75	1.49	2.17
2	1.67	1.90
2.25	1.91	1.64
2.75	2.63	1.38
3	3.42	1.23
3.25	3.80	1.19
4	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.08	1.28
-0.5	2.20	1.34
-0.25	2.09	1.54
0	1.79	1.82
+0.25	1.52	2.10
+0.5	1.33	2.23

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.45	1.08
-1	4.50	1.13
+0.75	1.28	3.09
+1	1.13	4.50
+1.25	1.10	5.00
+1.5	1.08	5.45

Next FKF Premier League matches

28 Oct	Bandari – Posta Rangers FC
28 Oct	Homeboyz – GOR Mahia
28 Oct	KCB – Mombasa Elite
28 Oct	APS Bomet – 3K
28 Oct	Mara Sugar – AFC Leopards
29 Oct	Shabana – Migori Youth

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

25 Oct	AFC Leopards 0-0 Shabana
25 Oct	Nairobi United 1-1 APS Bomet
25 Oct	Mombasa Elite 0-0 Police
25 Oct	3K 2-1 Murang'a SEAL
24 Oct	GOR Mahia 1-0 Bandari
24 Oct	Migori Youth 0-0 Mathare United