Migori Youth vs Mombasa Elite• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#1411:00Today#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.10B365X3.10BTN24.43PINMargin at best2.5%Books5Markets38Rating37 · 63

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 07:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.82	3.05	4.32	10.9%
Betano	1.80	3.10	4.30	11.1%
Bet365	2.10	2.90	3.40	11.5%
Pinnacle	1.77	3.05	4.43	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.80	3.05	4.20	12.2%
Best of all books	2.10	3.10	4.43	2.5%
Average	1.86	3.03	4.13	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Migori YouthMombasa Elite

Last 10#14Table position#181.00Points per game0.257Form pts · last 540Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating038H2H rating620Goals model037Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 07:50 UTC

Migori Youth

5W 4D 1L · goals 10:6 · per match 1.0 for, 0.6 against

29 Oct	A	Shabana	1-1	D
24 Oct	H	Mathare United	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Kenya Police	1-1	D
13 Jun	A	3K	1-1	D
7 Jun	H	Equity Bank	2-1	W
1 Jun	A	Kisumu All Stars	1-0	W
27 May	H	MCF	2-1	W
23 May	H	Kibera Black Stars	1-0	W
17 May	A	Fortune Sacco	0-1	L
10 May	H	MOFA	1-0	W

Mombasa Elite

3W 3D 4L · goals 8:9 · per match 0.8 for, 0.9 against

28 Oct	A	KCB	1-3	L
25 Oct	H	Kenya Police	0-0	D
19 Oct	A	Mara Sugar	1-2	L
14 Oct	H	Homeboyz	0-1	L
6 Oct	A	Kariobangi Sharks	2-0	W
1 Oct	H	Kariobangi Sharks	2-1	W
13 Jun	A	Naivas	1-1	D
7 Jun	H	Nzoia Sugar	1-0	W
1 Jun	A	Luanda Villa	0-1	L
27 May	H	3K	0-0	D

Head to head

4Migori Youth wins

3draws

3Mombasa Elite wins

10 meetings · goals 16:13 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Migori Youth

3 May 2026Super League	Super League	Mombasa Elite0-0Migori Youth
12 Dec 2025Super League	Super League	Migori Youth3-2Mombasa Elite
19 Apr 2025Super League	Super League	Mombasa Elite4-1Migori Youth
26 Jan 2025Super League	Super League	Migori Youth0-1Mombasa Elite
10 Mar 2024Super League	Super League	Migori Youth0-0Mombasa Elite
19 Nov 2023Super League	Super League	Mombasa Elite2-4Migori Youth
30 Apr 2023Super League	Super League	Migori Youth2-1Mombasa Elite
7 Jan 2023Super League	Super League	Mombasa Elite1-1Migori Youth
2 Jul 2022Super League	Super League	Migori Youth4-0Mombasa Elite
2 Mar 2022Super League	Super League	Mombasa Elite2-1Migori Youth

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 31 Oct 15:03 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Migori Youth sit 14th with 3 points from 3 games, while Mombasa Elite are 18th with 1 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	4	4	0	0	7:2	+5	12
2	KCB	4	2	1	1	6:4	+2	7
3	Murang'a SEAL	4	2	0	2	11:9	+2	6
4	Mara Sugar	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
5	AFC Leopards	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
6	Shabana	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
7	APS Bomet	4	1	2	1	4:2	+2	5
8	Kenya Police	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
9	Mathare United	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
10	3K	4	1	2	1	5:7	-2	5
11	Homeboyz	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
12	Posta Rangers FC	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
13	Tusker	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3
14	Migori Youth	3	0	3	0	2:2	0	3
15	Nairobi United	4	0	3	1	5:6	-1	3
16	Bandari	4	0	3	1	1:2	-1	3
17	Ulinzi Stars	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2
18	Mombasa Elite	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.86X30%3.03222%4.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	2.44	1.46	9.5%
Betano	2.37	1.47	10.2%
1xBet	2.41	1.45	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.41	1.45	10.5%
Best of all books	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Average	2.43	1.47	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.16	1.59	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.16	1.57	10.0%
Best of all books	2.16	1.59	9.2%
Average	2.16	1.58	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Migori Youth 0%Draw 50%Mombasa Elite 50%

The statistical model rates Migori Youth at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Mombasa Elite at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.03 | 4.13, which imply roughly 33% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Migori Youth are 14th (3 pts, 2-2 goals), Mombasa Elite 18th (1 pts, 2-6).

Over their last five matches, Migori Youth averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Mombasa Elite averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Mombasa Elite.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.86	3.03	4.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.74	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.41	2.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.16	1.58

1st half

1	X	2
2.49	1.91	5.13

2nd half

1	X	2
2.23	2.18	4.70

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.85	15.5	60.0
HT X	4.25	4.15	8.75
HT 2	32.0	16.0	7.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.63	6.15	2.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.15
1.5	1.47	2.42
2.5	2.43	1.47
3.5	4.60	1.13
4.5	8.45	1.04

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.60
1	1.11	4.95
1.25	1.29	3.09
1.75	1.60	2.13
2	1.83	1.82
2.25	2.12	1.60
2.75	2.89	1.32
3	3.84	1.18

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.02	1.29
-1	2.59	1.39
-0.75	2.06	1.64
-0.5	1.76	1.90
-0.25	1.62	2.16
0	1.30	3.09

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.40	1.03
-2	6.60	1.05
-1.5	3.42	1.23
+0.25	1.21	3.59
+0.75	1.09	5.35
+1	1.01	8.90
+1.5	1.04	9.30

Next FKF Premier League matches

1 Nov	AFC Leopards – Homeboyz
1 Nov	APS Bomet – Murang'a SEAL
1 Nov	Nairobi United – Bandari
1 Nov	GOR Mahia – KCB
2 Nov	Ulinzi Stars – Mathare United
2 Nov	Posta Rangers FC – 3K

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

29 Oct	Kenya Police 1-0 Ulinzi Stars
29 Oct	Mathare United 2-1 Tusker
29 Oct	Shabana 1-1 Migori Youth
28 Oct	Mara Sugar 0-0 AFC Leopards
28 Oct	Murang'a SEAL 3-2 Nairobi United
28 Oct	KCB 3-1 Mombasa Elite