Sertanense vs Oliveira Hospital• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, Portugal

#120.6:1.015:00Today1.8:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.10DAFX3.40DAF21.96DAFMargin at best4.8%Books7Markets40Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.10	3.40	1.96	4.8%
1xBet	3.78	3.20	1.88	10.9%
Betano	3.90	3.20	1.85	10.9%
Pinnacle	3.99	3.10	1.83	12.0%
Marathonbet	3.68	3.20	1.86	12.2%
William Hill	3.75	2.90	1.95	12.4%
Bet365	3.60	3.30	1.83	12.7%
Best of all books	4.10	3.40	1.96	4.8%
Average	3.83	3.19	1.88	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SertanenseOliveira Hospital

Last 10#12Table position#40.71Points per game2.004Form pts · last 590.6Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.025Attack rating7550Defence rating5027Form rating7367H2H rating3322Goals model7842Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:01 UTC

Sertanense

1W 5D 4L · goals 8:12 · per match 0.8 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	A	Nazarenos	0-0	D
25 Oct	H	Fátima	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Os Marialvas	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	O Elvas	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Atlético Malveira	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Alcains	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Mortágua	1-3	L
16 Aug	A	AD Nogueirense	1-1	D
13 Apr	A	Benfica Castelo Branco	0-1	L
6 Apr	H	Alcains	3-1	W

Oliveira Hospital

6W 3D 1L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	H	AD Nogueirense	3-3	D
25 Oct	A	Nazarenos	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Olhanense	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	FC Alverca II	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Juventude Évora	3-2	W
13 Sep	A	Fátima	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Naval 1893	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Sourense	1-0	W
23 Aug	A	Os Marialvas	2-1	W
16 Aug	H	Benfica Castelo Branco	2-3	L

Head to head

1Sertanense wins

2draws

0Oliveira Hospital wins

3 meetings · goals 5:3 · last 3: 1W 2D 0L for Sertanense

16 Feb 2021Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group E	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group E	Sertanense1-1Oliveira Hospital
4 Oct 2020Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group E	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group E	Oliveira Hospital1-3Sertanense
12 Jan 2020Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C	Oliveira Hospital1-1Sertanense

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C tableII Divisao: Group Cupdated 8 Nov 03:20 UTC

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table, Sertanense sit 12th with 5 points from 7 games, while Oliveira Hospital are 4th with 14 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Os Marialvas	7	5	1	1	12:4	+8	16
2	O Elvas	7	5	1	1	13:6	+7	16
3	Mortágua	7	4	2	1	11:5	+6	14
4	Oliveira Hospital	7	4	2	1	13:9	+4	14
5	UD da Serra	7	3	3	1	10:8	+2	12
6	Benfica Castelo Branco	7	3	1	3	11:14	-3	10
7	Atlético Malveira	7	2	3	2	10:11	-1	9
8	Fátima	7	2	2	3	15:11	+4	8
9	AD Nogueirense	7	1	5	1	11:13	-2	8
10	Naval 1893	7	2	1	4	7:9	-2	7
11	FC Alverca II	7	2	1	4	10:7	+3	7
12	Sertanense	7	0	5	2	5:9	-4	5
13	Nazarenos	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5
14	Fazendense	7	0	1	6	8:23	-15	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.83X28%3.19248%1.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.99 → 3.83 +28.1%X3.26 → 3.19 -2.1%22.18 → 1.88 -13.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.12	1.63	8.5%
1xBet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Betano	2.00	1.67	9.9%
Best of all books	2.12	1.73	5.0%
Average	2.07	1.66	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.77	10.0%
Best of all books	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Average	1.86	1.79	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sertanense 10%Draw 45%Oliveira Hospital 45%

The statistical model rates Sertanense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Oliveira Hospital at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.83 | 3.19 | 1.88, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table: Sertanense are 12th (5 pts, 5-9 goals), Oliveira Hospital 4th (14 pts, 13-9).

Over their last five matches, Sertanense averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Oliveira Hospital averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Oliveira Hospital.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.83	3.19	1.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.71	1.22	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.48	1.49

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
4.43	2.02	2.50

2nd half

1	X	2
4.00	2.32	2.27

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.28	16.8	26.3
HT X	7.98	4.67	4.85
HT 2	39.7	16.2	3.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.37	8.50	1.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.26
1.5	1.33	2.87
2.5	2.07	1.66
3.5	3.80	1.19
4.5	8.00	1.06
5.5	19.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.00
1.25	1.18	3.92
1.75	1.42	2.52
2	1.56	2.18
2.25	1.83	1.82
2.75	2.43	1.46
3	3.04	1.29
3.25	3.42	1.23
4	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.78	1.36
+0.25	2.05	1.70
+0.5	1.87	1.84
+0.75	1.59	2.14
+1	1.37	2.70
+1.25	1.28	3.09

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.95	1.03
-1	8.20	1.02
-0.75	4.90	1.11
-0.25	3.23	1.26
+1.5	1.21	3.58
+2	1.03	7.20
+2.5	1.02	8.30

Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C matches

8 Nov	FC Alverca II – O Elvas
8 Nov	Naval 1893 – Atlético Malveira
8 Nov	UD da Serra – Fátima
8 Nov	Fazendense – Nazarenos
8 Nov	Benfica Castelo Branco – Os Marialvas
8 Nov	AD Nogueirense – Mortágua

All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C fixtures and the table

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C results

1 Nov	Oliveira Hospital 3-3 AD Nogueirense
1 Nov	Nazarenos 0-0 Sertanense
1 Nov	Atlético Malveira 2-2 Benfica Castelo Branco
1 Nov	Fátima 6-1 Fazendense
25 Oct	Fazendense 1-2 Os Marialvas
25 Oct	Sertanense 2-2 Fátima