UD da Serra vs Fátima• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, Portugal

#51.2:1.20-2LiveToday · Campo da Portela1.8:2.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.65DAFX3.35DAF22.90B365Margin at best2.1%Books7Markets42Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.65	3.35	2.65	5.3%
Betano	2.45	3.30	2.52	10.8%
Bet365	2.15	3.25	2.90	11.8%
Pinnacle	2.59	3.03	2.49	11.8%
1xBet	2.45	3.18	2.51	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.45	3.18	2.51	12.1%
William Hill	2.50	2.90	2.50	14.5%
Best of all books	2.65	3.35	2.90	2.1%
Average	2.46	3.17	2.58	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UD da SerraFátima

Last 10#5Table position#81.71Points per game1.148Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 52.040Attack rating6063Defence rating3860Form rating4080H2H rating2069Goals model3162Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 13:11 UTC

UD da Serra

5W 4D 1L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	A	Os Marialvas	1-2	L
25 Oct	H	Atlético Malveira	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Vitoria Setubal	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	O Elvas	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Amora	4-3	W
13 Sep	H	Mortágua	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	AD Nogueirense	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Uniao de Pombal	5-0	W
23 Aug	H	FC Alverca II	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Naval 1893	2-1	W

Fátima

5W 2D 3L · goals 23:13 · per match 2.3 for, 1.3 against

1 Nov	H	Fazendense	6-1	W
25 Oct	A	Sertanense	2-2	D
18 Oct	H	Academico Viseu	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Nazarenos	1-3	L
20 Sep	H	Vinhais	4-1	W
13 Sep	H	Oliveira Hospital	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Os Marialvas	0-3	L
29 Aug	H	Benfica Castelo Branco	3-1	W
23 Aug	H	Atlético Malveira	5-0	W
16 Aug	A	O Elvas	1-1	D

Head to head

1UD da Serra wins

1draws

0Fátima wins

2 meetings · goals 2:0 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for UD da Serra

10 Jan 2026Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C	UD da Serra0-0Fátima
10 Aug 2025Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C	Fátima0-2UD da Serra

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C tableII Divisao: Group Cupdated 8 Nov 03:20 UTC

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table, UD da Serra sit 5th with 12 points from 7 games, while Fátima are 8th with 8 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Os Marialvas	7	5	1	1	12:4	+8	16
2	O Elvas	7	5	1	1	13:6	+7	16
3	Mortágua	7	4	2	1	11:5	+6	14
4	Oliveira Hospital	7	4	2	1	13:9	+4	14
5	UD da Serra	7	3	3	1	10:8	+2	12
6	Benfica Castelo Branco	7	3	1	3	11:14	-3	10
7	Atlético Malveira	7	2	3	2	10:11	-1	9
8	Fátima	7	2	2	3	15:11	+4	8
9	AD Nogueirense	7	1	5	1	11:13	-2	8
10	Naval 1893	7	2	1	4	7:9	-2	7
11	FC Alverca II	7	2	1	4	10:7	+3	7
12	Sertanense	7	0	5	2	5:9	-4	5
13	Nazarenos	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5
14	Fazendense	7	0	1	6	8:23	-15	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.46X28%3.17235%2.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.97	1.72	8.9%
1xBet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Betano	1.93	1.72	10.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.96	1.74	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.92	9.9%
Best of all books	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Average	1.74	1.94	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

UD da Serra 45%Draw 45%Fátima 10%

The statistical model rates UD da Serra at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fátima at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.46 | 3.17 | 2.58, which imply roughly 40.7% for a UD da Serra win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table: UD da Serra are 5th (12 pts, 10-8 goals), Fátima 8th (8 pts, 15-11).

Over their last five matches, UD da Serra averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Fátima averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : UD da Serra or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.46	3.17	2.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.46	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.70	2.03

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
3.03	2.08	3.23

2nd half

1	X	2
2.83	2.34	2.89

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.93	14.3	28.7
HT X	5.83	4.97	6.37
HT 2	28.0	15.7	4.37

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.87	9.88	2.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.15
1.5	1.28	3.13
2.5	1.96	1.74
3.5	3.42	1.23
4.5	7.00	1.08
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.90
1.25	1.14	4.30
1.75	1.36	2.75
2	1.47	2.39
2.25	1.72	1.96
2.75	2.22	1.54
3	2.73	1.36
3.25	3.08	1.28
3.75	4.30	1.15
4	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.01	1.30
-0.5	2.30	1.52
-0.25	2.09	1.66
0	1.84	1.84
+0.25	1.58	2.15
+0.5	1.46	2.44

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.02
-1.5	5.30	1.09
-1.25	4.85	1.11
-1	4.30	1.14
+0.75	1.29	3.04
+1	1.13	4.50
+1.5	1.08	5.55
+2.5	1.01	9.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.74	2.01
9	1.98	1.82

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C results

1 Nov	Atlético Malveira 2-2 Benfica Castelo Branco
1 Nov	Fátima 6-1 Fazendense
1 Nov	Nazarenos 0-0 Sertanense
1 Nov	Oliveira Hospital 3-3 AD Nogueirense
25 Oct	Nazarenos 1-1 Oliveira Hospital
25 Oct	Fazendense 1-2 Os Marialvas