Fazendense vs Os Marialvas• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, Portugal

#141.2:3.01-2FT25/101.6:0.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.671XBX3.95DAF21.62DAFMargin at best4.7%Books7Markets44Rating21 · 79Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.60	3.95	1.62	4.9%
1xBet	5.67	3.76	1.50	10.9%
Betano	4.90	3.70	1.57	11.1%
Bet365	4.75	3.70	1.57	11.8%
Marathonbet	5.40	3.76	1.49	12.2%
Pinnacle	5.10	3.49	1.55	12.8%
William Hill	5.00	3.40	1.55	13.9%
Best of all books	5.67	3.95	1.62	4.7%
Average	5.20	3.68	1.55	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FazendenseOs Marialvas

Last 10#14Table position#40.17Points per game2.173Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.63.0Goals against · last 50.443Attack rating5712Defence rating889Form rating910H2H rating00Goals model10021Overall rating79

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:50 UTC

Fazendense

2W 1D 7L · goals 16:22 · per match 1.6 for, 2.2 against

25 Oct	H	Os Marialvas	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Estrela	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Atlético Malveira	1-3	L
27 Sep	A	FC Alverca II	0-5	L
20 Sep	H	Ginásio Figueirense	6-1	W
13 Sep	H	O Elvas	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Mortágua	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Mocarriense	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	AD Nogueirense	3-3	D
21 Sep	H	Mirandela	1-2	L

Os Marialvas

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:5 · per match 1.4 for, 0.5 against

16 Oct	A	Chaves	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Sertanense	0-0	D
20 Sep	A	Ovarense	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Nazarenos	3-0	W
6 Sep	H	Fátima	3-0	W
30 Aug	A	AD Fornos Algodres	4-0	W
23 Aug	H	Oliveira Hospital	1-2	L
16 Aug	A	Atlético Malveira	1-0	W
22 Jul	A	União Lamas	0-0	D
18 Apr	A	Lajense	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Fazendense and Os Marialvas on record.

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C tableII Divisao: Group Cupdated 31 Oct 19:02 UTC

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table, Fazendense sit 14th with 1 points from 6 games, while Os Marialvas are 4th with 13 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Oliveira Hospital	6	4	1	1	10:6	+4	13
2	Mortágua	6	4	1	1	11:5	+6	13
3	O Elvas	6	4	1	1	10:5	+5	13
4	Os Marialvas	6	4	1	1	10:3	+7	13
5	UD da Serra	6	3	3	0	9:6	+3	12
6	Benfica Castelo Branco	6	3	0	3	9:12	-3	9
7	Atlético Malveira	6	2	2	2	8:9	-1	8
8	Naval 1893	6	2	1	3	6:6	0	7
9	AD Nogueirense	6	1	4	1	8:10	-2	7
10	FC Alverca II	6	2	0	4	10:7	+3	6
11	Fátima	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5
12	Sertanense	6	0	4	2	5:9	-4	4
13	Nazarenos	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4
14	Fazendense	6	0	1	5	7:17	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.20X24%3.68258%1.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.92	1.79	7.9%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Betano	1.87	1.78	9.7%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.90	1.80	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
Best of all books	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Average	1.92	1.74	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fazendense 10%Draw 45%Os Marialvas 45%

The statistical model rated Fazendense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Os Marialvas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.20 | 3.68 | 1.55, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table: Fazendense are 14th (1 pts, 7-17 goals), Os Marialvas 4th (13 pts, 10-3).

Over their last five matches, Fazendense averaged 1.2 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Os Marialvas averaged 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Os Marialvas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.20	3.68	1.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.20	1.11	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
3.63	1.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
5.58	2.17	2.09

2nd half

1	X	2
5.13	2.50	1.90

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	8.40	17.8	22.7
HT X	10.4	5.53	4.31
HT 2	47.0	17.0	2.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.99	10.4	1.46

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	8.65
1.5	1.25	3.28
2.5	1.90	1.80
3.5	3.28	1.25
4.5	6.30	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.50
1.75	1.33	2.86
2	1.43	2.48
2.25	1.66	2.01
2.75	2.16	1.59
3	2.59	1.40
3.25	2.92	1.32
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.75	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.81	1.34
+0.5	2.25	1.54
+0.75	2.00	1.67
+1	1.73	1.96
+1.25	1.52	2.26
+1.5	1.41	2.55

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.80	1.01
-0.25	4.70	1.12
0	4.15	1.16
+1.75	1.28	3.10
+2	1.14	4.35
+2.5	1.09	5.25

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.82	1.98
9.5	2.00	1.74

Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C matches

1 Nov	Atlético Malveira – Benfica Castelo Branco
1 Nov	Fátima – Fazendense
1 Nov	Nazarenos – Sertanense
1 Nov	Oliveira Hospital – AD Nogueirense

All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C fixtures and the table

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C results

25 Oct	Nazarenos 1-1 Oliveira Hospital
25 Oct	Benfica Castelo Branco 1-3 O Elvas
25 Oct	Sertanense 2-2 Fátima
11 Oct	Mortágua 0-1 Benfica Castelo Branco
11 Oct	Os Marialvas 0-0 Sertanense
11 Oct	Atlético Malveira 3-1 Fazendense