Fazendense vs Nazarenos• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, Portugal

#140.8:3.615:00Today0.8:1.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.88B365X3.45BTN22.60DAFMargin at best2.2%Books7Markets40Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.65	3.45	2.60	5.2%
Betano	2.47	3.45	2.42	10.8%
Bet365	2.88	3.40	2.10	11.8%
Pinnacle	2.40	3.20	2.57	11.8%
1xBet	2.44	3.32	2.43	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.44	3.32	2.43	12.3%
William Hill	2.45	3.00	2.50	14.1%
Best of all books	2.88	3.45	2.60	2.2%
Average	2.53	3.31	2.44	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FazendenseNazarenos

Last 10#14Table position#130.14Points per game0.710Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 50.83.6Goals against · last 51.650Attack rating5031Defence rating690Form rating1000H2H rating051Goals model4944Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 06:01 UTC

Fazendense

2W 1D 7L · goals 16:26 · per match 1.6 for, 2.6 against

1 Nov	A	Fátima	1-6	L
25 Oct	H	Os Marialvas	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Estrela	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Atlético Malveira	1-3	L
27 Sep	A	FC Alverca II	0-5	L
20 Sep	H	Ginásio Figueirense	6-1	W
13 Sep	H	O Elvas	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Mortágua	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Mocarriense	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	AD Nogueirense	3-3	D

Nazarenos

2W 2D 6L · goals 6:16 · per match 0.6 for, 1.6 against

1 Nov	H	Sertanense	0-0	D
25 Oct	H	Oliveira Hospital	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Fátima	3-1	W
13 Sep	H	Os Marialvas	0-3	L
6 Sep	A	Atlético Malveira	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Vitória de Sernache	0-3	L
23 Aug	H	O Elvas	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Mortágua	1-3	L
21 Sep	H	Pacos Ferreira	0-1	L
31 Aug	H	Sourense	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Fazendense and Nazarenos on record.

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C tableII Divisao: Group Cupdated 8 Nov 03:20 UTC

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table, Fazendense sit 14th with 1 points from 7 games, while Nazarenos are 13th with 5 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Os Marialvas	7	5	1	1	12:4	+8	16
2	O Elvas	7	5	1	1	13:6	+7	16
3	Mortágua	7	4	2	1	11:5	+6	14
4	Oliveira Hospital	7	4	2	1	13:9	+4	14
5	UD da Serra	7	3	3	1	10:8	+2	12
6	Benfica Castelo Branco	7	3	1	3	11:14	-3	10
7	Atlético Malveira	7	2	3	2	10:11	-1	9
8	Fátima	7	2	2	3	15:11	+4	8
9	AD Nogueirense	7	1	5	1	11:13	-2	8
10	Naval 1893	7	2	1	4	7:9	-2	7
11	FC Alverca II	7	2	1	4	10:7	+3	7
12	Sertanense	7	0	5	2	5:9	-4	5
13	Nazarenos	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5
14	Fazendense	7	0	1	6	8:23	-15	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.53X27%3.31237%2.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.92 → 2.53 -13.4%X3.35 → 3.31 -1.2%22.11 → 2.44 +15.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.07	8.9%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Betano	1.67	1.98	10.4%
Best of all books	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Average	1.69	2.02	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.16	10.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Average	1.57	2.19	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fazendense 10%Draw 45%Nazarenos 45%

The statistical model rates Fazendense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nazarenos at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.53 | 3.31 | 2.44, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table: Fazendense are 14th (1 pts, 8-23 goals), Nazarenos 13th (5 pts, 5-12).

Over their last five matches, Fazendense averaged 0.8 goals scored and 3.6 conceded per game; Nazarenos averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nazarenos and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.53	3.31	2.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.46	1.41	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.02	1.71

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
3.03	2.22	2.96

2nd half

1	X	2
2.74	2.51	2.77

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.13	14.3	24.0
HT X	6.37	5.63	6.00
HT 2	25.0	14.5	3.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.06	11.6	1.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	10.6
1.5	1.19	3.74
2.5	1.69	2.02
3.5	2.68	1.37
4.5	4.80	1.13
5.5	10.0	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.00
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.29	3.07
2.25	1.49	2.35
2.75	1.85	1.81
3	2.14	1.58
3.25	2.41	1.45
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.25	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.85	1.33
-0.5	2.35	1.49
-0.25	2.10	1.62
0	1.82	1.86
+0.25	1.66	2.09
+0.5	1.52	2.28

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.10	1.02
-2	9.00	1.01
-1.5	4.75	1.12
-1	3.92	1.18
+0.75	1.32	2.92
+1	1.18	3.90
+1.25	1.14	4.30
+1.5	1.12	4.70
+2	1.01	8.90
+2.5	1.01	9.25

Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C matches

8 Nov	FC Alverca II – O Elvas
8 Nov	Naval 1893 – Atlético Malveira
8 Nov	UD da Serra – Fátima
8 Nov	Sertanense – Oliveira Hospital
8 Nov	Benfica Castelo Branco – Os Marialvas
8 Nov	AD Nogueirense – Mortágua

All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C fixtures and the table

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C results

1 Nov	Atlético Malveira 2-2 Benfica Castelo Branco
1 Nov	Fátima 6-1 Fazendense
1 Nov	Nazarenos 0-0 Sertanense
1 Nov	Oliveira Hospital 3-3 AD Nogueirense
25 Oct	Nazarenos 1-1 Oliveira Hospital
25 Oct	Fazendense 1-2 Os Marialvas