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Benfica Castelo Branco vs Os Marialvas• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, Portugal

#61.4:1.615:00Today2.0:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.80DAFX3.35DAF22.06DAFMargin at best4.7%Books7Markets41Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.803.352.064.7%
1xBet3.683.141.9310.8%
Betano3.403.301.9511.0%
Pinnacle3.743.051.9111.9%
Marathonbet3.583.141.9112.1%
Bet3653.103.202.0512.3%
William Hill3.403.101.9513.0%
Best of all books3.803.352.064.7%
Average3.533.181.9710.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Benfica Castelo BrancoOs Marialvas
Last 10#6Table position#11.43Points per game2.297Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 52.01.6Goals against · last 50.441Attack rating5920Defence rating8035Form rating650H2H rating1005Goals model9525Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 06:01 UTC

Benfica Castelo Branco

3W 1D 6L · goals 14:23 · per match 1.4 for, 2.3 against

1 NovAAtlético Malveira2-2D
25 OctHO Elvas1-3L
11 OctAMortágua1-0W
13 SepHAD Nogueirense2-3L
6 SepAFC Alverca II1-0W
29 AugAFátima1-3L
23 AugHNaval 18931-4L
16 AugAOliveira Hospital3-2W
18 AprAFátima1-4L
12 AprHSamora Correir1-2L

Os Marialvas

7W 1D 2L · goals 18:6 · per match 1.8 for, 0.6 against

1 NovHUD da Serra2-1W
25 OctAFazendense2-1W
16 OctAChaves1-2L
11 OctHSertanense0-0D
20 SepAOvarense1-0W
13 SepANazarenos3-0W
6 SepHFátima3-0W
30 AugAAD Fornos Algodres4-0W
23 AugHOliveira Hospital1-2L
16 AugAAtlético Malveira1-0W

Head to head

0Benfica Castelo Branco wins
0draws
4Os Marialvas wins

4 meetings · goals 2:6 · last 4: 0W 0D 4L for Benfica Castelo Branco

25 Jan 2026Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CBenfica Castelo Branco0-1Os Marialvas
24 Aug 2025Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group COs Marialvas2-1Benfica Castelo Branco
23 Feb 2025Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group COs Marialvas1-0Benfica Castelo Branco
27 Oct 2024Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CBenfica Castelo Branco1-2Os Marialvas

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C tableII Divisao: Group Cupdated 8 Nov 03:20 UTC

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table, Benfica Castelo Branco sit 6th with 10 points from 7 games, while Os Marialvas are 1st with 16 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Os Marialvas751112:4+816
2O Elvas751113:6+716
3Mortágua742111:5+614
4Oliveira Hospital742113:9+414
5UD da Serra733110:8+212
6Benfica Castelo Branco731311:14-310
7Atlético Malveira723210:11-19
8Fátima722315:11+48
9AD Nogueirense715111:13-28
10Naval 189372147:9-27
11FC Alverca II721410:7+37
12Sertanense70525:9-45
13Nazarenos71245:12-75
14Fazendense70168:23-151

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.53X28%3.18246%1.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 06:018 Nov 07:001 3.53X 3.182 1.97
13.21 → 3.53 +10.0%X3.26 → 3.18 -2.5%22.08 → 1.97 -5.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.051.755.9%
Pinnacle1.981.757.6%
1xBet1.951.739.1%
Marathonbet1.951.739.1%
Betano1.951.7010.1%
Best of all books2.051.755.9%
Average1.981.738.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.781.899.1%
William Hill1.751.919.5%
Marathonbet1.781.869.9%
Best of all books1.781.918.5%
Average1.771.899.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Benfica Castelo Branco 0%Draw 50%Os Marialvas 50%

The statistical model rates Benfica Castelo Branco at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Os Marialvas at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.53 | 3.18 | 1.97, which imply roughly 31.4% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table: Benfica Castelo Branco are 6th (10 pts, 11-14 goals), Os Marialvas 1st (16 pts, 12-4).

Over their last five matches, Benfica Castelo Branco averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Os Marialvas averaged 2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Os Marialvas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.533.181.97

Double chance

1XX212
1.681.231.27

Draw no bet

12
2.401.49

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.771.89

1st half

1X2
4.152.042.59

2nd half

1X2
3.752.362.32

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.4015.025.3
HT X7.334.975.20
HT 236.015.23.28

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.388.651.74

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.038.30
1.51.273.14
2.51.981.73
3.53.341.24
4.56.501.08
5.515.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.037.40
1.251.154.25
1.751.362.76
21.462.39
2.251.711.96
2.752.221.54
32.691.37
3.253.031.29
3.754.301.15
46.001.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.253.101.28
02.651.39
+0.252.011.71
+0.51.761.90
+0.751.552.21
+11.352.79
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.701.01
-17.501.03
-0.754.701.12
+1.251.273.21
+1.51.203.68
+21.047.10
+2.51.028.10

Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C matches

8 NovFC Alverca II – O Elvas
8 NovNaval 1893 – Atlético Malveira
8 NovUD da Serra – Fátima
8 NovSertanense – Oliveira Hospital
8 NovFazendense – Nazarenos
8 NovAD Nogueirense – Mortágua

All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C fixtures and the table

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C results

1 NovAtlético Malveira 2-2 Benfica Castelo Branco
1 NovFátima 6-1 Fazendense
1 NovNazarenos 0-0 Sertanense
1 NovOliveira Hospital 3-3 AD Nogueirense
25 OctNazarenos 1-1 Oliveira Hospital
25 OctFazendense 1-2 Os Marialvas