Nazarenos vs Sertanense• Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, Portugal

#130.8:1.815:00Today0.8:1.6#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.00B365X3.25BTN22.55DAFMargin at best3.3%Books7Markets42Rating48 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.85	3.25	2.55	5.1%
Betano	2.67	3.25	2.35	10.8%
Bet365	3.00	3.20	2.15	11.1%
Pinnacle	2.60	3.20	2.38	11.7%
1xBet	2.65	3.15	2.34	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.65	3.15	2.34	12.2%
William Hill	2.70	2.90	2.40	13.2%
Best of all books	3.00	3.25	2.55	3.3%
Average	2.73	3.16	2.36	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NazarenosSertanense

Last 10#13Table position#120.67Points per game0.674Form pts · last 530.8Goals for · last 50.81.8Goals against · last 51.650Attack rating5047Defence rating5357Form rating430H2H rating036Goals model6448Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:50 UTC

Nazarenos

2W 1D 6L · goals 6:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.8 against

25 Oct	H	Oliveira Hospital	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Fátima	3-1	W
13 Sep	H	Os Marialvas	0-3	L
6 Sep	A	Atlético Malveira	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Vitória de Sernache	0-3	L
23 Aug	H	O Elvas	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Mortágua	1-3	L
21 Sep	H	Pacos Ferreira	0-1	L
31 Aug	H	Sourense	1-0	W

Sertanense

1W 4D 5L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

25 Oct	H	Fátima	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Os Marialvas	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	O Elvas	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Atlético Malveira	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Alcains	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Mortágua	1-3	L
16 Aug	A	AD Nogueirense	1-1	D
13 Apr	A	Benfica Castelo Branco	0-1	L
6 Apr	H	Alcains	3-1	W
29 Mar	A	Os Marialvas	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Nazarenos and Sertanense on record.

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C tableII Divisao: Group Cupdated 31 Oct 19:02 UTC

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table, Nazarenos sit 13th with 4 points from 6 games, while Sertanense are 12th with 4 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Oliveira Hospital	6	4	1	1	10:6	+4	13
2	Mortágua	6	4	1	1	11:5	+6	13
3	O Elvas	6	4	1	1	10:5	+5	13
4	Os Marialvas	6	4	1	1	10:3	+7	13
5	UD da Serra	6	3	3	0	9:6	+3	12
6	Benfica Castelo Branco	6	3	0	3	9:12	-3	9
7	Atlético Malveira	6	2	2	2	8:9	-1	8
8	Naval 1893	6	2	1	3	6:6	0	7
9	AD Nogueirense	6	1	4	1	8:10	-2	7
10	FC Alverca II	6	2	0	4	10:7	+3	6
11	Fátima	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5
12	Sertanense	6	0	4	2	5:9	-4	4
13	Nazarenos	6	1	1	4	5:12	-7	4
14	Fazendense	6	0	1	5	7:17	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.73X29%3.16238%2.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.00 → 2.73 -9.0%X3.20 → 3.16 -1.3%22.18 → 2.36 +8.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.87	1.84	7.8%
1xBet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Betano	1.95	1.70	10.1%
Best of all books	2.15	1.84	0.9%
Average	1.95	1.75	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
William Hill	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
Best of all books	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Average	1.68	2.00	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nazarenos 10%Draw 45%Sertanense 45%

The statistical model rates Nazarenos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sertanense at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.73 | 3.16 | 2.36, which imply roughly 31.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C table: Nazarenos are 13th (4 pts, 5-12 goals), Sertanense 12th (4 pts, 5-9).

Over their last five matches, Nazarenos averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Sertanense averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sertanense and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.73	3.16	2.36

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.36	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.07	1.67

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
3.34	2.06	2.94

2nd half

1	X	2
3.00	2.36	2.70

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.62	15.5	28.0
HT X	6.37	4.87	5.67
HT 2	31.0	15.5	3.82

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.17	8.20	1.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.30
1.5	1.29	3.07
2.5	1.95	1.75
3.5	3.20	1.26
4.5	6.10	1.08
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.20
1.25	1.20	3.68
1.75	1.32	2.88
2	1.43	2.50
2.25	1.65	2.03
2.75	2.13	1.60
3	2.56	1.41
3.25	2.86	1.33
3.75	3.92	1.18
4	5.35	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.54	1.42
-0.25	2.26	1.53
0	1.94	1.75
+0.25	1.71	2.01
+0.5	1.55	2.20
+0.75	1.35	2.78

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.40	1.09
-1	4.55	1.13
-0.75	3.12	1.28
+1	1.19	3.80
+1.25	1.15	4.20
+1.5	1.12	4.65
+2	1.01	8.90
+2.5	1.01	9.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.92	1.81

Next Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C matches

1 Nov	Atlético Malveira – Benfica Castelo Branco
1 Nov	Fátima – Fazendense
1 Nov	Oliveira Hospital – AD Nogueirense

All Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C fixtures and the table

Latest Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C results

25 Oct	Nazarenos 1-1 Oliveira Hospital
25 Oct	Sertanense 2-2 Fátima
25 Oct	Benfica Castelo Branco 1-3 O Elvas
25 Oct	Fazendense 1-2 Os Marialvas
11 Oct	Mortágua 0-1 Benfica Castelo Branco
11 Oct	Os Marialvas 0-0 Sertanense