Mafra vs 
Louletano• Liga 3, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 05:45 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 3.65 | 4.50 | 7.8% |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.56 | 4.85 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.70 | 8.7% |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.75 | 9.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 3.48 | 4.66 | 10.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 11.4% |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.30 | 4.60 | 11.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.48 | 4.55 | 12.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.72 | 3.70 | 4.85 | 5.8% |
| Average | 1.67 | 3.52 | 4.64 | 10.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC
Mafra
4W 4D 2L · goals 22:16 · per match 2.2 for, 1.6 against
| 24 Oct | A | Caldas | 3-3 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Santa Clara | 3-2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | CF Os Belenenses | 2-2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Tirsense | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Oliveirense | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | SC Covilha | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Atlético Malveira | 3-2 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 1-2 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Atlético CP | 1-1 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Vitória de Sernache | 5-0 | W |
Louletano
4W 2D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against
| 25 Oct | H | Atlético CP | 2-2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Rio Ave | 0-1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Vitória de Sernache | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | FC Serpa | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | União Santarém | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Castrense | 1-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Caldas | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | CF Os Belenenses | 1-3 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | Oliveirense | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Mafra and Louletano on record.
Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 29 Oct 19:31 UTC
In the Liga 3 table, Mafra sit 5th with 9 points from 7 games, while Louletano are 6th with 8 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | +8 | 16 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:5 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 11 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 14 |
| 3 | Fafe | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | União Santarém | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | São João Ver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Vianense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Louletano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Guimaraes B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 1.78 | 5.7% |
| Betano | 1.93 | 1.78 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 1.75 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 1.75 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.02 | 1.80 | 5.1% |
| Average | 1.96 | 1.77 | 7.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.83 | 8.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 1.82 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.87 | 1.80 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 1.79 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.87 | 1.83 | 8.1% |
| Average | 1.85 | 1.81 | 9.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Mafra at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Louletano at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 3.52 | 4.64, which imply roughly 59.9% for a Mafra win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga 3 table: Mafra are 5th (9 pts, 14-10 goals), Louletano 6th (8 pts, 9-10).
Over their last five matches, Mafra averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Louletano averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Mafra or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 3.52 | 4.64 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | 2.05 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.27 | 3.40 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.86 | 1.81 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.24 | 2.15 | 5.09 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.03 | 2.43 | 4.61 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.52 | 16.8 | 47.0 |
| HT X | 4.42 | 5.30 | 10.3 |
| HT 2 | 22.3 | 17.3 | 8.18 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | 8.95 | 2.82 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 7.68 |
| 1.5 | 1.28 | 3.11 |
| 2.5 | 1.96 | 1.77 |
| 3.5 | 3.24 | 1.26 |
| 4.5 | 5.57 | 1.09 |
| 5.5 | 15.0 | 1.02 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 7.50 |
| 1.75 | 1.35 | 2.81 |
| 2 | 1.46 | 2.44 |
| 2.25 | 1.71 | 1.99 |
| 2.75 | 2.22 | 1.56 |
| 3 | 2.70 | 1.38 |
| 3.25 | 3.02 | 1.31 |
| 3.75 | 4.10 | 1.16 |
| 4 | 5.70 | 1.08 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.88 | 1.34 |
| -1.25 | 2.56 | 1.42 |
| -1 | 2.23 | 1.58 |
| -0.75 | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| -0.5 | 1.76 | 2.03 |
| -0.25 | 1.45 | 2.48 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5.90 | 1.07 |
| -2 | 5.10 | 1.10 |
| -1.75 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 0 | 1.25 | 3.43 |
| +0.25 | 1.18 | 3.88 |
| +0.75 | 1.17 | 3.98 |
| +1.5 | 1.04 | 6.85 |
Next Liga 3 matches
| 30 Oct | Fafe – Pacos Ferreira |
| 31 Oct | Leça – Varzim |
| 31 Oct | Trofense – AD Marco 09 |
| 31 Oct | Oliveirense – CF Os Belenenses |
| 1 Nov | SC Covilha – Caldas |
| 1 Nov | Lusitano Évora 1911 – Vitória de Sernache |
Latest Liga 3 results
| 25 Oct | União Santarém 2-1 Vitória de Sernache |
| 25 Oct | Varzim 2-4 Guimaraes B |
| 25 Oct | Vianense 1-3 São João Ver |
| 25 Oct | CF Os Belenenses 1-1 SC Covilha |
| 25 Oct | Louletano 2-2 Atlético CP |
| 25 Oct | AD Marco 09 0-0 Fafe |