Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira• Liga 3, Portugal

#31.4:1.020:00Today · Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe, Fafe1.2:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.93PINX3.35DAF24.011XBMargin at best6.6%Books8Markets45Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.93	3.33	3.95	7.2%
Dafabet	1.96	3.25	3.80	8.1%
Betano	1.91	3.30	3.75	9.3%
Betfair	1.85	3.30	3.80	10.7%
1xBet	1.81	3.25	4.01	11.0%
Bet365	1.90	3.25	3.50	12.0%
William Hill	1.91	3.00	3.80	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.79	3.25	3.90	12.3%
Best of all books	1.96	3.33	4.01	6.0%
Average	1.88	3.24	3.81	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FafePacos Ferreira

Last 10#3Table position#81.43Points per game1.145Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.454Attack rating4658Defence rating4243Form rating5780H2H rating2045Goals model5558Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 19:30 UTC

Fafe

4W 4D 2L · goals 15:7 · per match 1.5 for, 0.7 against

25 Oct	A	AD Marco 09	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Felgueiras 1932	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Trofense	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Lajense	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Paredes	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Leça	3-0	W
29 Aug	A	Pacos Ferreira	1-0	W
21 Aug	H	Guimaraes B	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	São João Ver	3-1	W
9 Aug	H	Vianense	0-0	D

Pacos Ferreira

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:13 · per match 0.7 for, 1.3 against

23 Oct	H	Leça	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Guimaraes B	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	São João Ver	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Vianense	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Fafe	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Varzim	1-4	L
15 Aug	H	Paredes	0-1	L
9 Aug	A	AD Marco 09	1-2	L
29 Jul	H	Felgueiras 1932	0-0	D
25 Jul	H	AVS	0-2	L

Head to head

1Fafe wins

1draws

0Pacos Ferreira wins

2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Fafe

29 Aug 2026Taça de Portugal	Taça de Portugal	Pacos Ferreira0-1Fafe
2 Aug 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Fafe1-1Pacos Ferreira

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 29 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Fafe sit 3rd with 10 points from 7 games, while Pacos Ferreira are 8th with 8 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	7	5	1	1	15:7	+8	16
1	CF Os Belenenses	7	5	2	0	16:5	+11	17
2	AD Marco 09	7	3	2	2	6:5	+1	11
2	Atlético CP	7	4	2	1	14:6	+8	14
3	Fafe	7	2	4	1	10:6	+4	10
3	Oliveirense	7	2	4	1	9:9	0	10
4	Leça	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
4	União Santarém	7	3	1	3	8:11	-3	10
5	São João Ver	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	9
5	Mafra	7	2	3	2	14:10	+4	9
6	Vianense	7	2	3	2	10:11	-1	9
6	Louletano	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
7	Varzim	7	3	0	4	11:11	0	9
7	Caldas	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8
8	Pacos Ferreira	7	2	2	3	7:10	-3	8
8	SC Covilha	7	1	4	2	5:7	-2	7
9	Guimaraes B	7	2	2	3	8:8	0	8
9	Lusitano Évora 1911	7	1	3	3	6:10	-4	6
10	Trofense	7	1	2	4	4:13	-9	5
10	Vitória de Sernache	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.87X28%3.24224%3.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.12	1.70	6.0%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Betano	2.02	1.70	8.3%
1xBet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.12	1.75	4.3%
Average	2.05	1.69	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Betano	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.80	9.9%
Best of all books	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Average	1.85	1.83	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fafe 45%Draw 45%Pacos Ferreira 10%

The statistical model rates Fafe at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Pacos Ferreira at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.24 | 3.85, which imply roughly 53.5% for a Fafe win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Fafe are 3rd (10 pts, 10-6 goals), Pacos Ferreira 8th (8 pts, 7-10).

Over their last five matches, Fafe averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Pacos Ferreira averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Fafe or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.88	3.24	3.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.81	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.42	2.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.51	2.07	4.41

2nd half

1	X	2
2.26	2.34	4.06

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.04	14.9	38.8
HT X	4.88	4.83	8.18
HT 2	24.0	15.3	6.35

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	8.60	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.70
1.5	1.32	3.07
2.5	2.05	1.69
3.5	3.59	1.23
4.5	7.10	1.08
5.5	16.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.39	2.69
2	1.52	2.31
2.25	1.79	1.91
2.75	2.35	1.50
3	2.94	1.33
3.25	3.20	1.26
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	6.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.07	1.31
-1	2.66	1.41
-0.75	2.12	1.63
-0.5	1.90	1.87
-0.25	1.60	2.16
0	1.35	2.84

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.50	1.03
-2	6.55	1.05
-1.75	4.40	1.14
-1.5	3.42	1.23
+0.25	1.26	3.34
+1	1.01	8.70
+1.5	1.03	8.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.67	2.10
10	1.90	1.90

Next Liga 3 matches

31 Oct	Leça – Varzim
31 Oct	Mafra – Louletano
31 Oct	Trofense – AD Marco 09
31 Oct	Oliveirense – CF Os Belenenses
1 Nov	SC Covilha – Caldas
1 Nov	Lusitano Évora 1911 – Vitória de Sernache

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

25 Oct	União Santarém 2-1 Vitória de Sernache
25 Oct	Varzim 2-4 Guimaraes B
25 Oct	Vianense 1-3 São João Ver
25 Oct	CF Os Belenenses 1-1 SC Covilha
25 Oct	Louletano 2-2 Atlético CP
25 Oct	AD Marco 09 0-0 Fafe