Vianense vs São João Ver• Liga 3, Portugal

#61.8:1.61-3FT25/100.8:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.56PINX3.20B36522.80B365Margin at best6.0%Books8Markets43Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.56	3.03	2.80	7.8%
Dafabet	2.46	3.15	2.80	8.1%
Betano	2.47	3.05	2.77	9.4%
Betfair	2.40	3.10	2.70	11.0%
William Hill	2.50	2.88	2.75	11.1%
Bet365	2.25	3.20	2.80	11.4%
1xBet	2.33	3.08	2.71	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.33	3.08	2.71	12.3%
Best of all books	2.56	3.20	2.80	6.0%
Average	2.41	3.07	2.76	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VianenseSão João Ver

Last 10#6Table position#51.29Points per game1.2911Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 51.269Attack rating3143Defence rating5762Form rating380H2H rating062Goals model3859Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 12:41 UTC

Vianense

5W 3D 2L · goals 21:12 · per match 2.1 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	H	Leixoes	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Paredes	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	Estrela Calheta	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Varzim	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Pacos Ferreira	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Minas de Argozelo	8-0	W
23 Aug	A	AD Marco 09	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Trofense	2-0	W
9 Aug	A	Fafe	0-0	D
29 Jul	A	AVS	0-3	L

São João Ver

2W 5D 3L · goals 7:9 · per match 0.7 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	H	Varzim	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Pacos Ferreira	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	AD Marco 09	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Florgrade	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Trofense	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Fafe	1-3	L
9 Aug	A	Leça	1-1	D
29 Jul	A	Tondela	1-1	D
18 Jul	A	União Lamas	1-0	W
3 Jul	A	SC Braga	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Vianense and São João Ver on record.

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 25 Oct 21:20 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Vianense sit 6th with 9 points from 7 games, while São João Ver are 5th with 9 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	7	5	1	1	15:7	+8	16
1	CF Os Belenenses	7	5	2	0	16:5	+11	17
2	AD Marco 09	7	3	2	2	6:5	+1	11
2	Atlético CP	7	4	2	1	14:6	+8	14
3	Fafe	7	2	4	1	10:6	+4	10
3	Oliveirense	7	2	4	1	9:9	0	10
4	Leça	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
4	Mafra	7	2	3	2	14:10	+4	9
5	São João Ver	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	9
5	Louletano	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
6	Vianense	7	2	3	2	10:11	-1	9
6	Caldas	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8
7	Varzim	7	3	0	4	11:11	0	9
7	SC Covilha	7	1	4	2	5:7	-2	7
8	Pacos Ferreira	7	2	2	3	7:10	-3	8
8	União Santarém	6	2	1	3	6:10	-4	7
9	Guimaraes B	7	2	2	3	8:8	0	8
9	Lusitano Évora 1911	7	1	3	3	6:10	-4	6
10	Trofense	7	1	2	4	4:13	-9	5
10	Vitória de Sernache	6	1	1	4	4:13	-9	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.36X30%3.06232%2.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.22	1.64	6.0%
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Betano	2.12	1.65	7.8%
1xBet	2.11	1.62	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.11	1.62	9.1%
Best of all books	2.22	1.65	5.7%
Average	2.15	1.64	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Betano	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.81	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Average	1.83	1.84	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vianense 45%Draw 45%São João Ver 10%

The statistical model rated Vianense at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and São João Ver at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.36 | 3.06 | 2.84, which imply roughly 42.4% for a Vianense win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Vianense are 6th (9 pts, 10-11 goals), São João Ver 5th (9 pts, 8-8).

Over their last five matches, Vianense averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; São João Ver averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Vianense or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.41	3.07	2.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.47	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.71	2.02

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
3.08	2.01	3.45

2nd half

1	X	2
2.76	2.27	3.17

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.90	15.7	31.7
HT X	5.70	4.58	6.40
HT 2	29.3	15.3	4.63

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	8.25	2.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.93
1.5	1.35	2.84
2.5	2.15	1.64
3.5	3.78	1.20
4.5	7.30	1.08
5.5	19.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.90
1.25	1.18	3.85
1.75	1.44	2.52
2	1.59	2.16
2.25	1.87	1.82
2.75	2.48	1.45
3	3.14	1.29
3.25	3.50	1.22
4	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.92	1.34
-0.5	2.51	1.50
-0.25	2.06	1.68
0	1.76	1.99
+0.25	1.52	2.36
+0.5	1.43	2.75

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.50	1.01
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.5	5.10	1.10
-1.25	4.60	1.13
-1	4.06	1.18
+0.75	1.25	3.42
+1	1.10	5.20
+1.5	1.06	6.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.67	2.10
9	1.90	1.90
9.5	2.09	1.69

Latest Liga 3 results

25 Oct	União Santarém 2-1 Vitória de Sernache
25 Oct	Varzim 2-4 Guimaraes B
25 Oct	CF Os Belenenses 1-1 SC Covilha
25 Oct	Louletano 2-2 Atlético CP
25 Oct	AD Marco 09 0-0 Fafe
24 Oct	Paredes 4-0 Trofense