CF Os Belenenses vs SC Covilha• Liga 3, Portugal

#12.8:0.81-1FT25/10 · Lisbon0.4:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44DAFX4.33BFR27.90BTNMargin at best5.2%Books8Markets49Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.42	3.72	9.79	7.5%
Dafabet	1.44	3.95	7.60	7.9%
Betano	1.40	4.05	7.90	8.8%
William Hill	1.36	4.20	7.50	10.7%
1xBet	1.35	4.30	7.35	10.9%
Bet365	1.42	4.00	6.25	11.4%
Betfair	1.33	4.33	7.50	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.34	4.30	6.95	12.3%
Best of all books	1.44	4.33	7.90	5.2%
Average	1.38	4.11	7.61	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CF Os BelenensesSC Covilha

Last 10#1Table position#82.43Points per game1.008Form pts · last 542.8Goals for · last 50.40.8Goals against · last 51.288Attack rating1360Defence rating4081Form rating1980H2H rating20100Goals model076Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

CF Os Belenenses

7W 2D 1L · goals 23:10 · per match 2.3 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	H	SC Covilha	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Arouca	3-4	L
11 Oct	A	Mafra	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Beira-Mar	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Atlético CP	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Vitória de Sernache	3-1	W
30 Aug	A	Lusitano Évora 1911	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	União Santarém	5-0	W
15 Aug	A	Louletano	3-1	W
8 Aug	H	Caldas	1-0	W

SC Covilha

1W 7D 2L · goals 7:9 · per match 0.7 for, 0.9 against

25 Oct	A	CF Os Belenenses	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Oliveirense	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Lusitano Évora 1911	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Mafra	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Mortágua	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Atlético CP	0-3	L
16 Aug	A	Vitória de Sernache	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	União Santarém	2-0	W
1 May	H	Amora	1-1	D
25 Apr	A	Caldas	1-1	D

Head to head

2CF Os Belenenses wins

2draws

0SC Covilha wins

4 meetings · goals 11:4 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for CF Os Belenenses

21 Dec 2025Liga 3	Liga 3	SC Covilha0-4CF Os Belenenses
11 Oct 2025Liga 3	Liga 3	CF Os Belenenses3-0SC Covilha
13 Dec 2024Liga 3	Liga 3	CF Os Belenenses2-2SC Covilha
1 Sep 2024Liga 3	Liga 3	SC Covilha2-2CF Os Belenenses

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 29 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, CF Os Belenenses sit 1st with 17 points from 7 games, while SC Covilha are 8th with 7 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	7	5	1	1	15:7	+8	16
1	CF Os Belenenses	7	5	2	0	16:5	+11	17
2	AD Marco 09	7	3	2	2	6:5	+1	11
2	Atlético CP	7	4	2	1	14:6	+8	14
3	Fafe	7	2	4	1	10:6	+4	10
3	Oliveirense	7	2	4	1	9:9	0	10
4	Leça	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
4	União Santarém	7	3	1	3	8:11	-3	10
5	São João Ver	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	9
5	Mafra	7	2	3	2	14:10	+4	9
6	Vianense	7	2	3	2	10:11	-1	9
6	Louletano	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
7	Varzim	7	3	0	4	11:11	0	9
7	Caldas	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8
8	Pacos Ferreira	7	2	2	3	7:10	-3	8
8	SC Covilha	7	1	4	2	5:7	-2	7
9	Guimaraes B	7	2	2	3	8:8	0	8
9	Lusitano Évora 1911	7	1	3	3	6:10	-4	6
10	Trofense	7	1	2	4	4:13	-9	5
10	Vitória de Sernache	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.38X22%4.12212%7.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.84	1.97	5.1%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betano	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Betfair	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Best of all books	1.85	1.97	4.8%
Average	1.80	1.92	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.75	7.1%
William Hill	2.05	1.70	7.6%
Betano	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.68	9.8%
Best of all books	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Average	2.01	1.71	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CF Os Belenenses 50%Draw 50%SC Covilha 0%

The statistical model rated CF Os Belenenses at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and SC Covilha at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.12 | 7.66, which imply roughly 72.5% for a CF Os Belenenses win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: CF Os Belenenses are 1st (17 pts, 16-5 goals), SC Covilha 8th (7 pts, 5-7).

Over their last five matches, CF Os Belenenses averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; SC Covilha averaged 0.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : CF Os Belenenses.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.38	4.11	7.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.77	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	5.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.01	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
1.86	2.32	7.06

2nd half

1	X	2
1.72	2.66	6.32

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.02	18.3	64.3
HT X	3.95	6.23	14.9
HT 2	21.8	19.6	13.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	11.4	3.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.67
1.5	1.23	3.57
2.5	1.80	1.92
3.5	2.93	1.34
4.5	5.70	1.09
5.5	11.5	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	7.95
1.25	1.15	4.25
1.75	1.28	3.20
2	1.36	2.79
2.25	1.58	2.20
2.75	2.01	1.70
3	2.36	1.49
3.25	2.67	1.40
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	5.00	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.52	1.44
-1.5	2.15	1.61
-1.25	1.91	1.80
-1	1.68	2.06
-0.75	1.47	2.42
-0.5	1.40	2.82

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.01
-3	7.70	1.02
-2.5	4.05	1.16
-2	3.25	1.28
-0.25	1.25	3.43
0	1.08	5.55
+0.25	1.06	6.15

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10	1.82	1.98
10.5	2.01	1.74

Next Liga 3 matches

30 Oct	Fafe – Pacos Ferreira
31 Oct	Leça – Varzim
31 Oct	Mafra – Louletano
31 Oct	Trofense – AD Marco 09
31 Oct	Oliveirense – CF Os Belenenses
1 Nov	SC Covilha – Caldas

All Liga 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 3 results

25 Oct	União Santarém 2-1 Vitória de Sernache
25 Oct	Varzim 2-4 Guimaraes B
25 Oct	Vianense 1-3 São João Ver
25 Oct	Louletano 2-2 Atlético CP
25 Oct	AD Marco 09 0-0 Fafe
24 Oct	Paredes 4-0 Trofense