Gresford Athletic vs 
Porthmadog• FAW Championship, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:42 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.97 | 4.07 | 1.65 | 10.4% |
| Best of all books | 3.97 | 4.07 | 1.65 | 10.4% |
| Average | 3.97 | 4.07 | 1.65 | 10.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC
Gresford Athletic
2W 1D 7L · goals 6:22 · per match 0.6 for, 2.2 against
| 10 Oct | H | Porthmadog | 0-1 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Penrhyncoch | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Rhyl | 3-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Guilsfield | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Mold Alexandra | 1-5 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Llanuwchllyn | 0-2 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | Bala Town | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | Brickfield Rangers | 0-5 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | Caersws | 0-1 | L |
| 2 Aug | H | Newtown AFC | 0-3 | L |
Porthmadog
5W 2D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against
| 16 Oct | A | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 0-4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Gresford Athletic | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Bangor City 1876 FC | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Newtown AFC | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Ruthin Town | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Bala Town | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Holyhead Hotspur | 2-2 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Caersws | 1-3 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | Denbigh Town | 3-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Buckley Town | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
7 meetings · goals 18:12 · last 7: 4W 1D 2L for Gresford Athletic
| 2 Mar 2024FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Porthmadog0-1Gresford Athletic |
| 9 Sep 2023FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Gresford Athletic2-3Porthmadog |
| 7 Apr 2023FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Gresford Athletic3-1Porthmadog |
| 2 Aug 2022FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Porthmadog0-1Gresford Athletic |
| 1 Feb 2020FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Gresford Athletic7-1Porthmadog |
| 9 Nov 2019Welsh Cup | Welsh Cup | Porthmadog4-1Gresford Athletic |
| 5 Nov 2016Welsh Cup | Welsh Cup | Porthmadog3-3Gresford Athletic |
FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 23 Oct 03:10 UTC
In the FAW Championship table, Gresford Athletic sit 15th with 7 points from 10 games, while Porthmadog are 3rd with 23 points from 11.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:3 | +15 | 23 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 21 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:15 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5:34 | -29 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 2.48 | 8.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.47 | 2.48 | 8.3% |
| Average | 1.47 | 2.48 | 8.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Gresford Athletic at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Porthmadog at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.17 | 4.00 | 1.62, which imply roughly 25% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the FAW Championship table: Gresford Athletic are 15th (7 pts, 6-22 goals), Porthmadog 3rd (23 pts, 18-11).
Over their last five matches, Gresford Athletic averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Porthmadog averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Porthmadog.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.97 | 4.07 | 1.65 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.47 | 2.48 |
| 2.75 | 1.58 | 2.23 |
| 3 | 1.75 | 1.99 |
| 3.25 | 2.00 | 1.77 |
| 3.5 | 2.22 | 1.61 |
| 3.75 | 2.52 | 1.46 |
| 4 | 3.08 | 1.32 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.17 | 1.30 |
| +0.25 | 2.50 | 1.47 |
| +0.5 | 2.16 | 1.64 |
| +0.75 | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| +1 | 1.69 | 2.07 |
| +1.25 | 1.53 | 2.32 |
| +1.5 | 1.43 | 2.59 |