Jong AZ vs Almere City FC• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#102.8:2.419:0006/11 · AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer1.8:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.85DAFX4.22PIN22.16DAFMargin at best5.1%Books8Markets55Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.85	4.20	2.16	5.2%
Pinnacle	2.78	4.22	2.15	6.2%
Betfair	2.75	4.20	2.15	6.7%
Betano	2.72	4.15	2.15	7.4%
1xBet	2.78	4.00	2.13	7.9%
Marathonbet	2.76	4.00	2.11	8.6%
Bet365	2.80	3.90	2.10	9.0%
William Hill	2.75	3.90	2.10	9.6%
Best of all books	2.85	4.22	2.16	5.1%
Average	2.77	4.07	2.13	7.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Jong AZAlmere City FC

Last 10#10Table position#31.31Points per game1.927Form pts · last 592.8Goals for · last 51.82.4Goals against · last 51.261Attack rating3933Defence rating6744Form rating5640H2H rating6032Goals model6843Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 00:01 UTC

Jong AZ

4W 2D 4L · goals 26:22 · per match 2.6 for, 2.2 against

30 Oct	A	Roda	1-2	L
23 Oct	H	Helmond Sport	5-4	W
16 Oct	A	VVV Venlo	4-4	D
9 Oct	H	Den Bosch	0-1	L
18 Sep	H	FC Volendam	4-1	W
14 Sep	A	Jong PSV U21	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Heracles	2-3	L
5 Sep	A	Dordrecht	6-3	W
31 Aug	H	Jong Utrecht	2-1	W
28 Aug	H	MVV	1-2	L

Almere City FC

6W 0D 4L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

30 Oct	A	Waalwijk	2-1	W
27 Oct	A	Telstar	2-0	W
23 Oct	H	Roda	2-3	L
17 Oct	A	Emmen	1-2	L
9 Oct	H	FC Eindhoven	3-0	W
3 Oct	H	FC Volendam	1-0	W
25 Sep	A	Dordrecht	2-3	L
18 Sep	H	Heracles	1-0	W
11 Sep	A	MVV	4-0	W
4 Sep	H	Jong Ajax	0-1	L

Head to head

6Jong AZ wins

0draws

9Almere City FC wins

15 meetings · goals 30:32 · last 10: 5W 0D 5L for Jong AZ

26 Jan 2026Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ3-4Almere City FC
24 Oct 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC1-3Jong AZ
7 Apr 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC2-1Jong AZ
22 Aug 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ3-2Almere City FC
2 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Jong AZ1-3Almere City FC
6 May 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC0-3Jong AZ
9 Aug 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ2-1Almere City FC
15 Jan 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ2-5Almere City FC
6 Nov 2020Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC2-0Jong AZ
2 Mar 2020Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ3-1Almere City FC

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 4 Nov 00:10 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Jong AZ sit 10th with 17 points from 13 games, while Almere City FC are 3rd with 25 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	13	10	2	1	39:14	+25	32
2	VVV Venlo	13	9	1	3	36:21	+15	28
3	Almere City FC	13	8	1	4	27:13	+14	25
4	Roda	13	7	4	2	17:12	+5	25
5	Emmen	13	8	1	4	26:24	+2	25
6	NAC Breda	13	7	3	3	25:20	+5	24
7	FC Volendam	13	6	1	6	30:22	+8	19
8	Den Bosch	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18
9	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17:18	-1	18
10	Jong AZ	13	5	2	6	32:28	+4	17
11	MVV	13	5	2	6	17:29	-12	17
12	Waalwijk	13	3	7	3	22:19	+3	16
13	Jong PSV U21	13	4	4	5	17:21	-4	16
14	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17:27	-10	15
15	FC OSS	13	4	1	8	19:22	-3	13
16	Jong Ajax	13	3	4	6	19:30	-11	13
17	Helmond Sport	13	3	3	7	23:28	-5	12
18	FC Eindhoven	13	3	2	8	18:28	-10	11
19	Dordrecht	13	3	2	8	18:34	-16	11
20	Jong Utrecht	13	3	1	9	22:33	-11	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.77X23%4.07244%2.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.50	5.5%
Betfair	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Betano	1.31	3.25	7.1%
Pinnacle	1.30	3.31	7.1%
1xBet	1.26	3.20	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.26	3.20	10.6%
Best of all books	1.31	3.50	4.9%
Average	1.29	3.31	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.28	3.50	6.7%
William Hill	1.30	3.25	7.7%
1xBet	1.28	3.34	8.1%
Betano	1.31	3.15	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.28	3.26	8.8%
Best of all books	1.31	3.50	4.9%
Average	1.29	3.30	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jong AZ 10%Draw 45%Almere City FC 45%

The statistical model rates Jong AZ at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Almere City FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.77 | 4.07 | 2.13, which imply roughly 24.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Jong AZ are 10th (17 pts, 32-28 goals), Almere City FC 3rd (25 pts, 27-13).

Over their last five matches, Jong AZ averaged 2.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Almere City FC averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Almere City FC and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.77	4.07	2.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.67	1.41	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
2.13	1.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.29	3.30

1st half

1	X	2
3.07	2.65	2.54

2nd half

1	X	2
2.86	2.98	2.37

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.32	13.4	18.8
HT X	7.45	7.68	6.18
HT 2	22.5	13.4	3.24

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.00	33.0	1.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	22.8
1.5	1.06	7.15
2.5	1.29	3.31
3.5	1.76	2.00
4.5	2.61	1.42
5.5	4.39	1.17
6.5	8.27	1.07
7.5	14.7	1.02
8.5	29.0	1.01
9.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	14.5
1.75	1.05	6.60
2	1.06	6.15
2.25	1.16	4.16
2.75	1.32	2.94
3	1.38	2.64
3.25	1.58	2.23
3.75	1.92	1.80
4	2.17	1.61
4.25	2.41	1.49
4.75	3.06	1.29
5	3.82	1.19
5.25	4.10	1.16
6	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.75	1.42
-0.25	2.40	1.51
0	2.14	1.67
+0.25	1.86	1.88
+0.5	1.69	2.14
+0.75	1.51	2.39

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.15	1.03
-2	9.00	1.01
-1.75	6.30	1.08
-1.5	4.95	1.13
-1.25	4.54	1.15
-1	4.22	1.17
-0.75	3.22	1.30
+1	1.35	2.91
+1.25	1.30	3.23
+1.5	1.24	3.51
+1.75	1.16	4.33
+2	1.09	6.02
+2.25	1.11	6.60
+2.5	1.06	6.53
+3.5	1.02	11.0

Next Eerste Divisie matches

6 Nov	FC OSS – Waalwijk
6 Nov	VVV Venlo – Jong PSV U21
6 Nov	Dordrecht – NAC Breda
6 Nov	FC Eindhoven – Jong Ajax
6 Nov	Helmond Sport – FC Volendam
6 Nov	Heracles – Roda

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

2 Nov	Heracles 2-0 FC OSS
2 Nov	Jong Ajax 1-1 Vitesse
2 Nov	Jong PSV U21 0-2 NAC Breda
2 Nov	Jong Utrecht 3-2 Dordrecht
1 Nov	Emmen 0-5 Den Bosch
31 Oct	MVV 1-2 VVV Venlo