Heracles vs FC OSS• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#12.6:0.819:0002/11 · Asito Stadium, Almelo2.2:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.19BTNX8.14PIN213.0BVCMargin at best4.0%Books9Markets70Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 20:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.19	8.00	12.0	4.9%
William Hill	1.17	7.50	12.0	7.1%
Bet365	1.18	7.00	12.0	7.4%
Betano	1.19	6.70	11.8	7.5%
Pinnacle	1.16	8.14	11.1	7.5%
1xBet	1.17	7.20	11.9	7.8%
Betfair	1.15	8.00	12.0	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.16	7.20	12.0	8.4%
BetVictor	1.15	7.00	13.0	8.9%
Best of all books	1.19	8.14	13.0	4.0%
Average	1.17	7.42	12.0	7.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HeraclesFC OSS

Last 10#1Table position#142.42Points per game1.088Form pts · last 5102.6Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 51.654Attack rating4667Defence rating3361Form rating39100H2H rating093Goals model773Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

Heracles

6W 2D 2L · goals 24:9 · per match 2.4 for, 0.9 against

29 Oct	A	De Treffers	0-1	L
23 Oct	A	NAC Breda	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	MVV	5-1	W
9 Oct	H	Waalwijk	3-0	W
2 Oct	A	Helmond Sport	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	Vitesse	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Almere City FC	0-1	L
11 Sep	H	Jong AZ	3-2	W
4 Sep	H	De Graafschap	5-0	W
30 Aug	A	FC Eindhoven	3-1	W

FC OSS

5W 1D 4L · goals 20:15 · per match 2.0 for, 1.5 against

28 Oct	A	PEC Zwolle	2-1	W
23 Oct	H	Jong Ajax	3-3	D
16 Oct	A	Den Bosch	1-2	L
9 Oct	H	Helmond Sport	3-1	W
3 Oct	H	MVV	4-1	W
26 Sep	A	Emmen	0-1	L
18 Sep	H	Dordrecht	3-0	W
11 Sep	A	VVV Venlo	1-3	L
4 Sep	A	Vitesse	1-2	L
28 Aug	H	Jong Utrecht	2-1	W

Head to head

2Heracles wins

0draws

0FC OSS wins

2 meetings · goals 8:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Heracles

17 Mar 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	FC OSS1-5Heracles
19 Nov 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Heracles3-0FC OSS

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Heracles sit 1st with 29 points from 12 games, while FC OSS are 14th with 13 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	12	9	2	1	37:14	+23	29
2	VVV Venlo	12	8	1	3	34:20	+14	25
3	Emmen	12	8	1	3	26:19	+7	25
4	Almere City FC	12	7	1	4	25:12	+13	22
5	Roda	12	6	4	2	15:11	+4	22
6	NAC Breda	12	6	3	3	23:20	+3	21
7	FC Volendam	12	6	1	5	29:20	+9	19
8	Jong AZ	12	5	2	5	31:26	+5	17
9	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	16:17	-1	17
10	MVV	12	5	2	5	16:27	-11	17
11	Waalwijk	12	3	7	2	21:17	+4	16
12	Jong PSV U21	12	4	4	4	17:19	-2	16
13	Den Bosch	12	4	3	5	18:21	-3	15
14	FC OSS	12	4	1	7	19:20	-1	13
15	Jong Ajax	12	3	3	6	18:29	-11	12
16	De Graafschap	12	3	3	6	15:26	-11	12
17	FC Eindhoven	12	3	2	7	16:25	-9	11
18	Dordrecht	12	3	2	7	16:31	-15	11
19	Helmond Sport	12	2	3	7	20:26	-6	9
20	Jong Utrecht	12	2	1	9	19:31	-12	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg180%1.17X13%7.4228%12.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.50	5.5%
Betano	1.30	3.35	6.8%
Pinnacle	1.26	3.55	7.5%
BetVictor	1.25	3.60	7.8%
1xBet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.30	3.60	4.7%
Average	1.27	3.43	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
1xBet	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.97	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.73	1.99	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Heracles 45%Draw 45%FC OSS 10%

The statistical model rates Heracles at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and FC OSS at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.17 | 7.42 | 11.97, which imply roughly 85.5% for a Heracles win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Heracles are 1st (29 pts, 37-14 goals), FC OSS 14th (13 pts, 19-20).

Over their last five matches, Heracles averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; FC OSS averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Heracles or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.17	7.42	12.0

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	4.63	1.08

Draw no bet

1	2
1.05	9.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
1.49	3.19	8.69

2nd half

1	X	2
1.38	3.76	8.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.54	22.5	63.5
HT X	4.16	11.8	25.3
HT 2	17.8	24.3	21.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.23	32.0	3.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	25.5
1.5	1.06	7.28
2.5	1.27	3.43
3.5	1.73	2.02
4.5	2.58	1.44
5.5	4.38	1.17
6.5	8.23	1.08
7.5	14.7	1.02
8.5	29.0	1.01
9.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.05	6.55
2	1.06	6.10
2.25	1.15	4.21
2.75	1.31	3.00
3	1.36	2.71
3.25	1.55	2.28
3.75	1.87	1.83
4	2.12	1.64
4.25	2.34	1.51
4.75	2.89	1.32
5	3.58	1.21
5.25	3.85	1.18
6	6.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.47	1.47
-2.5	2.19	1.60
-2.25	1.96	1.75
-2	1.76	1.99
-1.75	1.58	2.21
-1.5	1.49	2.45

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-5.5	8.50	1.01
-5	8.45	1.02
-4.5	5.95	1.07
-4	5.57	1.10
-3.75	4.20	1.17
-3.5	3.40	1.26
-3.25	3.31	1.28
-3	2.92	1.36
-1.25	1.35	2.90
-1	1.22	3.70
-0.75	1.18	4.08
-0.5	1.19	4.50
-0.25	1.09	5.83
0	1.02	8.20

Next Eerste Divisie matches

30 Oct	Helmond Sport – FC Eindhoven
30 Oct	FC Volendam – De Graafschap
30 Oct	Waalwijk – Almere City FC
30 Oct	Roda – Jong AZ
31 Oct	MVV – VVV Venlo
1 Nov	Emmen – Den Bosch

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

24 Oct	Dordrecht 2-4 VVV Venlo
23 Oct	Almere City FC 2-3 Roda
23 Oct	Vitesse 0-2 Emmen
23 Oct	FC Volendam 6-2 Jong Utrecht
23 Oct	FC Eindhoven 1-2 Jong PSV U21
23 Oct	NAC Breda 1-1 Heracles