Jong PSV U21 vs NAC Breda• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#111.0:1.419:00Today · De Herdgang, Eindhoven2.0:1.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.00DAFX4.75PIN21.57B365Margin at best4.7%Books10Markets80Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 08:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	5.00	4.70	1.57	5.0%
Pinnacle	4.94	4.75	1.57	5.0%
Bet365	4.75	4.50	1.57	7.0%
Betano	4.70	4.45	1.57	7.4%
Betfair	4.75	4.40	1.57	7.5%
1xBet	4.81	4.50	1.54	7.9%
BetVictor	4.80	4.50	1.53	8.4%
William Hill	4.80	4.33	1.55	8.4%
Marathonbet	4.85	4.50	1.52	8.6%
SBO	4.22	4.09	1.50	14.8%
Best of all books	5.00	4.75	1.57	4.7%
Average	4.76	4.47	1.55	7.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Jong PSV U21NAC Breda

Last 10#11Table position#61.33Points per game1.757Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 51.033Attack rating6742Defence rating5831Form rating690H2H rating10051Goals model4935Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:10 UTC

Jong PSV U21

3W 4D 3L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

27 Oct	A	Ipswich Town U21	7-0	W
23 Oct	A	FC Eindhoven	2-1	W
19 Oct	H	Dordrecht	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	Roda	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Vitesse	1-3	L
14 Sep	H	Jong AZ	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Helmond Sport	1-3	L
7 Sep	H	Den Bosch	3-1	W
31 Aug	H	Jong Ajax	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Waalwijk	2-2	D

NAC Breda

5W 3D 2L · goals 21:16 · per match 2.1 for, 1.6 against

28 Oct	A	JOS Watergraafsmeer	3-1	W
23 Oct	H	Heracles	1-1	D
16 Oct	A	Helmond Sport	2-0	W
9 Oct	H	MVV	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Vitesse	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	FC Eindhoven	4-2	W
20 Sep	A	De Graafschap	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Jong Utrecht	2-3	L
4 Sep	A	Waalwijk	2-4	L
28 Aug	A	Roda	2-2	D

Head to head

1Jong PSV U21 wins

3draws

7NAC Breda wins

11 meetings · goals 9:21 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Jong PSV U21

28 Apr 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	NAC Breda2-0Jong PSV U21
4 Dec 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong PSV U210-5NAC Breda
6 Mar 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong PSV U211-2NAC Breda
6 Jan 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	NAC Breda2-1Jong PSV U21
25 Feb 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	NAC Breda3-1Jong PSV U21
22 Nov 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong PSV U210-0NAC Breda
18 Jan 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong PSV U211-1NAC Breda
26 Sep 2020Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	NAC Breda2-1Jong PSV U21
25 Nov 2019Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong PSV U211-3NAC Breda
20 Feb 2017Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong PSV U212-0NAC Breda

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 1 Nov 17:40 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Jong PSV U21 sit 11th with 16 points from 12 games, while NAC Breda are 6th with 21 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	12	9	2	1	37:14	+23	29
2	VVV Venlo	13	9	1	3	36:21	+15	28
3	Emmen	12	8	1	3	26:19	+7	25
4	Almere City FC	13	8	1	4	27:13	+14	25
5	Roda	13	7	4	2	17:12	+5	25
6	NAC Breda	12	6	3	3	23:20	+3	21
7	FC Volendam	13	6	1	6	30:22	+8	19
8	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	16:17	-1	17
9	Jong AZ	13	5	2	6	32:28	+4	17
10	MVV	13	5	2	6	17:29	-12	17
11	Jong PSV U21	12	4	4	4	17:19	-2	16
12	Waalwijk	13	3	7	3	22:19	+3	16
13	Den Bosch	12	4	3	5	18:21	-3	15
14	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17:27	-10	15
15	FC OSS	12	4	1	7	19:20	-1	13
16	Jong Ajax	12	3	3	6	18:29	-11	12
17	Helmond Sport	13	3	3	7	23:28	-5	12
18	Dordrecht	12	3	2	7	16:31	-15	11
19	FC Eindhoven	13	3	2	8	18:28	-10	11
20	Jong Utrecht	12	2	1	9	19:31	-12	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.76X21%4.47260%1.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.70 → 4.76 +1.3%X4.51 → 4.47 -0.9%21.56 → 1.55 -0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.37	3.07	5.6%
Bet365	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Betfair	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Betano	1.37	2.95	6.9%
BetVictor	1.33	3.10	7.4%
1xBet	1.32	2.88	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.32	2.88	10.5%
Best of all books	1.40	3.40	0.8%
Average	1.34	3.02	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.44	2.62	7.6%
William Hill	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.42	2.66	8.0%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.61	8.7%
Best of all books	1.44	3.10	1.7%
Average	1.42	2.70	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jong PSV U21 10%Draw 45%NAC Breda 45%

The statistical model rates Jong PSV U21 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and NAC Breda at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.76 | 4.47 | 1.55, which imply roughly 22.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Jong PSV U21 are 11th (16 pts, 17-19 goals), NAC Breda 6th (21 pts, 23-20).

Over their last five matches, Jong PSV U21 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; NAC Breda averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or NAC Breda.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.76	4.47	1.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.34	1.17	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
3.71	1.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.70

1st half

1	X	2
4.52	2.65	1.97

2nd half

1	X	2
4.26	3.07	1.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.66	14.9	16.8
HT X	11.3	8.03	4.80
HT 2	35.4	14.4	2.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.58	26.5	1.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.08	6.72
2.5	1.34	3.02
3.5	1.90	1.86
4.5	3.04	1.34
5.5	5.40	1.13
6.5	9.53	1.06
7.5	17.4	1.02
8.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	13.5
1.75	1.07	5.95
2	1.08	5.45
2.25	1.20	3.71
2.75	1.42	2.58
3	1.51	2.38
3.25	1.72	2.01
3.75	2.14	1.65
4	2.47	1.48
4.25	2.72	1.37
4.75	3.51	1.23
5	4.65	1.12
5.25	4.95	1.11
6	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.39	1.55
+0.75	2.11	1.65
+1	1.88	1.88
+1.25	1.66	2.09
+1.5	1.53	2.37
+1.75	1.40	2.74

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.80	1.04
-1	8.10	1.05
-0.75	6.12	1.08
-0.5	4.65	1.18
-0.25	4.07	1.20
0	3.81	1.22
+0.25	2.84	1.37
+2	1.27	3.46
+2.25	1.22	3.73
+2.5	1.19	4.06
+2.75	1.12	5.23
+3	1.06	7.07
+3.5	1.03	7.77

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.12
7.5	1.16	4.20
8.5	1.30	3.08
9.5	1.56	2.26
10.5	1.94	1.80
11.5	2.42	1.49
12.5	3.16	1.29
13.5	4.00	1.17
14.5	4.77	1.08

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	4.92
8	1.17	3.52
9	1.41	2.62
9.25	1.44	2.43
9.75	1.60	2.10
10	1.74	1.99
10.25	1.80	1.86
10.75	2.06	1.68
11	2.22	1.59
11.25	2.32	1.51
12	2.78	1.33
13	3.55	1.17
14	4.60	1.09

Next Eerste Divisie matches

2 Nov	Jong Utrecht – Dordrecht
2 Nov	Heracles – FC OSS
2 Nov	Jong Ajax – Vitesse

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

1 Nov	Emmen 0-5 Den Bosch
31 Oct	MVV 1-2 VVV Venlo
30 Oct	Helmond Sport 3-2 FC Eindhoven
30 Oct	Roda 2-1 Jong AZ
30 Oct	Waalwijk 1-2 Almere City FC
30 Oct	FC Volendam 1-2 De Graafschap