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Heracles vs Roda• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#12.6:0.819:0006/11 · Polman Stadion, Armello1.6:1.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.47BTNX4.90DAF26.25B365Margin at best4.4%Books9Markets59Rating71 · 30Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.464.906.205.0%
Betano1.474.556.006.7%
Pinnacle1.434.816.137.0%
Betfair1.444.756.007.2%
1xBet1.424.656.228.0%
Bet3651.424.506.258.6%
Marathonbet1.414.656.158.7%
BetVictor1.404.756.009.1%
William Hill1.444.405.809.4%
Best of all books1.474.906.254.4%
Average1.434.666.087.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HeraclesRoda
Last 10#1Table position#42.46Points per game1.9210Form pts · last 5132.6Goals for · last 51.60.8Goals against · last 51.462Attack rating3864Defence rating3652Form rating4893H2H rating779Goals model2171Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 00:01 UTC

Heracles

6W 2D 2L · goals 23:8 · per match 2.3 for, 0.8 against

2 NovHFC OSS2-0W
29 OctADe Treffers0-1L
23 OctANAC Breda1-1D
18 OctAMVV5-1W
9 OctHWaalwijk3-0W
2 OctAHelmond Sport2-2D
26 SepHVitesse2-0W
18 SepAAlmere City FC0-1L
11 SepHJong AZ3-2W
4 SepHDe Graafschap5-0W

Roda

6W 3D 1L · goals 13:8 · per match 1.3 for, 0.8 against

30 OctHJong AZ2-1W
27 OctHDe Graafschap1-0W
23 OctAAlmere City FC3-2W
19 OctAJong Utrecht2-1W
9 OctHJong PSV U211-1D
4 OctAVVV Venlo0-2L
26 SepHWaalwijk2-0W
18 SepAJong Ajax0-0D
12 SepHVitesse1-0W
6 SepAMVV1-1D

Head to head

9Heracles wins
4draws
4Roda wins

17 meetings · goals 34:29 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Heracles

14 Apr 2023Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieHeracles1-0Roda
11 Dec 2022Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieRoda1-3Heracles
18 Oct 2022KNVB BekerKNVB BekerRoda2-2Heracles
2 Mar 2018EredivisieEredivisieRoda0-3Heracles
23 Sep 2017EredivisieEredivisieHeracles2-1Roda
11 Feb 2017EredivisieEredivisieHeracles2-2Roda
7 Aug 2016EredivisieEredivisieRoda1-1Heracles
28 Feb 2016EredivisieEredivisieHeracles0-5Roda
8 Aug 2015EredivisieEredivisieRoda3-1Heracles
15 Mar 2014EredivisieEredivisieHeracles2-1Roda

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 4 Nov 00:10 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Heracles sit 1st with 32 points from 13 games, while Roda are 4th with 25 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Heracles13102139:14+2532
2VVV Venlo1391336:21+1528
3Almere City FC1381427:13+1425
4Roda1374217:12+525
5Emmen1381426:24+225
6NAC Breda1373325:20+524
7FC Volendam1361630:22+819
8Den Bosch1353523:21+218
9Vitesse1353517:18-118
10Jong AZ1352632:28+417
11MVV1352617:29-1217
12Waalwijk1337322:19+316
13Jong PSV U211344517:21-416
14De Graafschap1343617:27-1015
15FC OSS1341819:22-313
16Jong Ajax1334619:30-1113
17Helmond Sport1333723:28-512
18FC Eindhoven1332818:28-1011
19Dordrecht1332818:34-1611
20Jong Utrecht1331922:33-1110

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.43X20%4.66215%6.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

3 Nov 00:004 Nov 03:001 1.43X 4.662 6.08
11.43 → 1.43 0.0%X4.56 → 4.66 +2.2%26.19 → 6.08 -1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.482.606.0%
Betfair1.442.706.5%
Pinnacle1.442.676.9%
Betano1.452.607.4%
BetVictor1.402.708.5%
1xBet1.402.5610.5%
Marathonbet1.402.5610.5%
Best of all books1.482.704.6%
Average1.432.638.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.602.256.9%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.582.238.1%
Betano1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.582.208.7%
BetVictor1.552.259.0%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.582.238.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Heracles 45%Draw 45%Roda 10%

The statistical model rates Heracles at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Roda at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.43 | 4.66 | 6.08, which imply roughly 69.9% for a Heracles win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Heracles are 1st (32 pts, 39-14 goals), Roda 4th (25 pts, 17-12).

Over their last five matches, Heracles averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Roda averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Heracles or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.434.666.08

Double chance

1XX212
1.112.691.16

Draw no bet

12
1.164.73

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.582.23

1st half

1X2
1.862.615.58

2nd half

1X2
1.703.045.16

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.0416.344.0
HT X4.347.6014.0
HT 219.017.610.9

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3820.82.97

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.0
1.51.125.47
2.51.432.63
3.52.101.68
4.53.441.26
5.56.241.09
6.511.61.04
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0211.5
1.751.114.90
21.144.45
2.251.273.15
2.751.522.34
31.662.08
3.251.881.83
3.752.351.52
42.801.34
4.253.101.29
4.754.111.17
55.401.09
5.255.701.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.421.49
-1.52.131.64
-1.251.891.82
-11.672.13
-0.751.502.39
-0.51.442.74
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.701.06
-3.256.801.10
-36.071.09
-2.754.371.16
-2.53.611.23
-2.253.311.28
-23.001.33
-0.251.283.33
01.144.73
+0.251.125.27
+0.51.135.90
+0.751.037.50
+11.019.80
+1.51.0210.2

Next Eerste Divisie matches

6 NovJong AZ – Almere City FC
6 NovFC OSS – Waalwijk
6 NovVVV Venlo – Jong PSV U21
6 NovDordrecht – NAC Breda
6 NovFC Eindhoven – Jong Ajax
6 NovHelmond Sport – FC Volendam

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

2 NovHeracles 2-0 FC OSS
2 NovJong Ajax 1-1 Vitesse
2 NovJong PSV U21 0-2 NAC Breda
2 NovJong Utrecht 3-2 Dordrecht
1 NovEmmen 0-5 Den Bosch
31 OctMVV 1-2 VVV Venlo