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MVV vs VVV Venlo• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#101.2:2.415:30Tomorrow · De Geusselt, Maastricht3.0:1.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.30PINX3.95DAF22.03DAFMargin at best4.9%Books9Markets56Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 04:34 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.303.952.034.9%
Bet3653.254.002.005.8%
Pinnacle3.303.921.986.3%
Betano3.253.852.006.7%
Betfair3.203.902.006.9%
1xBet3.223.921.957.8%
BetVictor3.203.901.958.2%
Marathonbet3.203.921.938.6%
William Hill3.203.602.009.0%
Best of all books3.304.002.034.6%
Average3.243.881.987.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MVVVVV Venlo
Last 10#10Table position#21.42Points per game2.081Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 53.02.4Goals against · last 51.829Attack rating7143Defence rating5729Form rating7171H2H rating2924Goals model7645Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 22:10 UTC

MVV

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:27 · per match 1.0 for, 2.7 against

28 OctHExcelsior0-3L
23 OctADen Bosch2-2D
18 OctHHeracles1-5L
9 OctANAC Breda0-1L
3 OctAFC OSS1-4L
26 SepHHelmond Sport2-0W
18 SepAWaalwijk1-6L
11 SepHAlmere City FC0-4L
6 SepHRoda1-1D
28 AugAJong AZ2-1W

VVV Venlo

6W 1D 3L · goals 27:17 · per match 2.7 for, 1.7 against

28 OctHVitesse0-2L
24 OctADordrecht4-2W
16 OctHJong AZ4-4D
9 OctAJong Ajax3-0W
4 OctHRoda2-0W
26 SepAFC Volendam2-3L
18 SepAJong Utrecht3-1W
11 SepHFC OSS3-1W
4 SepAHelmond Sport2-4L
30 AugHEmmen4-0W

Head to head

4MVV wins
1draws
7VVV Venlo wins

12 meetings · goals 12:17 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for MVV

13 Mar 2026Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieMVV2-1VVV Venlo
21 Sep 2025Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieVVV Venlo1-0MVV
9 Feb 2025Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieVVV Venlo0-0MVV
13 Oct 2024Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieMVV2-0VVV Venlo
10 May 2024Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieMVV2-0VVV Venlo
13 Aug 2023Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieVVV Venlo1-3MVV
3 Mar 2023Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieMVV0-1VVV Venlo
11 Dec 2022Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieVVV Venlo2-1MVV
4 Feb 2022Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieMVV0-5VVV Venlo
9 Oct 2021Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieVVV Venlo2-0MVV

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, MVV sit 10th with 17 points from 12 games, while VVV Venlo are 2nd with 25 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Heracles1292137:14+2329
2VVV Venlo1281334:20+1425
3Emmen1281326:19+725
4Almere City FC1271425:12+1322
5Roda1264215:11+422
6NAC Breda1263323:20+321
7FC Volendam1261529:20+919
8Jong AZ1252531:26+517
9Vitesse1252516:17-117
10MVV1252516:27-1117
11Waalwijk1237221:17+416
12Jong PSV U211244417:19-216
13Den Bosch1243518:21-315
14FC OSS1241719:20-113
15Jong Ajax1233618:29-1112
16De Graafschap1233615:26-1112
17FC Eindhoven1232716:25-911
18Dordrecht1232716:31-1511
19Helmond Sport1223720:26-69
20Jong Utrecht1221919:31-127

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.22X24%3.88247%1.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

28 Oct 00:0129 Oct 06:001 3.22X 3.882 1.97
13.17 → 3.22 +1.6%X3.76 → 3.88 +3.2%22.02 → 1.97 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.452.676.4%
Bet3651.442.706.5%
Betfair1.442.706.5%
Betano1.422.727.2%
BetVictor1.402.757.8%
1xBet1.362.6910.7%
Marathonbet1.362.6910.7%
Best of all books1.452.755.3%
Average1.412.707.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.402.886.2%
William Hill1.402.807.1%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
1xBet1.382.818.1%
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
Betano1.392.758.3%
Marathonbet1.382.768.7%
Best of all books1.442.884.2%
Average1.392.797.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

MVV 10%Draw 45%VVV Venlo 45%

The statistical model rates MVV at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and VVV Venlo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.22 | 3.88 | 1.97, which imply roughly 25.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: MVV are 10th (17 pts, 16-27 goals), VVV Venlo 2nd (25 pts, 34-20).

Over their last five matches, MVV averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; VVV Venlo averaged 3 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : VVV Venlo and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.243.881.98

Double chance

1XX212
1.771.311.23

Draw no bet

12
2.431.50

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.392.79

1st half

1X2
3.522.472.42

2nd half

1X2
3.222.862.23

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.1413.318.4
HT X7.967.045.58
HT 224.813.13.01

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1323.51.66

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.2
1.51.115.71
2.51.412.70
3.52.061.71
4.53.321.29
5.56.031.10
6.511.81.04
7.524.51.01
8.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0212.0
1.751.105.10
21.124.70
2.251.253.29
2.751.492.41
31.612.17
3.251.831.89
3.752.271.56
42.571.43
4.252.851.34
4.753.751.19
54.851.11
5.255.151.10
68.901.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.771.39
02.451.50
+0.252.031.71
+0.51.811.96
+0.751.612.19
+11.422.64
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.511.01.02
-210.51.01
-1.757.401.03
-1.55.961.09
-1.255.601.10
-15.231.12
-0.753.791.23
-0.53.191.34
+1.251.352.94
+1.51.283.33
+1.751.193.94
+21.115.40
+2.251.126.25
+2.51.086.18
+31.0510.5
+3.51.0310.0

Next Eerste Divisie matches

30 OctHelmond Sport – FC Eindhoven
30 OctFC Volendam – De Graafschap
30 OctWaalwijk – Almere City FC
30 OctRoda – Jong AZ
1 NovEmmen – Den Bosch
2 NovHeracles – FC OSS

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

24 OctDordrecht 2-4 VVV Venlo
23 OctAlmere City FC 2-3 Roda
23 OctVitesse 0-2 Emmen
23 OctFC Volendam 6-2 Jong Utrecht
23 OctFC Eindhoven 1-2 Jong PSV U21
23 OctNAC Breda 1-1 Heracles