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Jong Ajax vs Vitesse• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#161.2:2.619:00Today · Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam0.6:1.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.861XBX4.06PIN22.28DAFMargin at best3.5%Books10Markets71Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 08:29 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.824.062.254.5%
Dafabet2.803.902.285.2%
Bet3652.753.902.256.4%
Betano2.753.852.256.8%
1xBet2.863.882.127.9%
Betfair2.753.802.208.1%
BetVictor2.753.902.158.5%
Marathonbet2.843.882.108.6%
William Hill2.753.702.208.8%
SBO2.753.591.9715.0%
Best of all books2.864.062.283.5%
Average2.783.852.187.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Jong AjaxVitesse
Last 10#16Table position#81.00Points per game1.425Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 50.62.6Goals against · last 51.667Attack rating3338Defence rating6256Form rating4450H2H rating5032Goals model6847Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:10 UTC

Jong Ajax

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:21 · per match 1.3 for, 2.1 against

23 OctAFC OSS3-3D
19 OctHDe Graafschap2-1W
9 OctHVVV Venlo0-3L
18 SepHRoda0-0D
14 SepAJong Utrecht1-6L
11 SepHWaalwijk0-2L
4 SepAAlmere City FC1-0W
31 AugAJong PSV U211-1D
28 AugHHelmond Sport3-2W
22 AugANAC Breda2-3L

Vitesse

5W 1D 4L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

28 OctAVVV Venlo2-0W
23 OctHEmmen0-2L
16 OctAFC Eindhoven1-0W
9 OctAFC Volendam0-2L
3 OctHNAC Breda2-2D
26 SepAHeracles0-2L
19 SepHJong PSV U213-1W
12 SepARoda0-1L
4 SepHFC OSS2-1W
28 AugADen Bosch4-1W

Head to head

1Jong Ajax wins
2draws
1Vitesse wins

4 meetings · goals 6:9 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Jong Ajax

6 Apr 2026Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieVitesse6-1Jong Ajax
1 Dec 2025Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong Ajax2-0Vitesse
14 Apr 2025Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieJong Ajax1-1Vitesse
21 Sep 2024Eerste DivisieEerste DivisieVitesse2-2Jong Ajax

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 1 Nov 17:40 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Jong Ajax sit 16th with 12 points from 12 games, while Vitesse are 8th with 17 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Heracles1292137:14+2329
2VVV Venlo1391336:21+1528
3Emmen1281326:19+725
4Almere City FC1381427:13+1425
5Roda1374217:12+525
6NAC Breda1263323:20+321
7FC Volendam1361630:22+819
8Vitesse1252516:17-117
9Jong AZ1352632:28+417
10MVV1352617:29-1217
11Jong PSV U211244417:19-216
12Waalwijk1337322:19+316
13Den Bosch1243518:21-315
14De Graafschap1343617:27-1015
15FC OSS1241719:20-113
16Jong Ajax1233618:29-1112
17Helmond Sport1333723:28-512
18Dordrecht1232716:31-1511
19FC Eindhoven1332818:28-1011
20Jong Utrecht1221919:31-127

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.78X24%3.85243%2.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Oct 00:012 Nov 09:301 2.78X 3.852 2.18
12.99 → 2.78 -7.0%X3.99 → 3.85 -3.5%22.04 → 2.18 +6.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.373.075.6%
Bet3651.363.105.8%
Betfair1.363.105.8%
Betano1.363.006.9%
BetVictor1.333.107.4%
1xBet1.322.8810.5%
Marathonbet1.322.8810.5%
Best of all books1.373.105.3%
Average1.353.027.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.333.256.0%
Bet3651.363.006.9%
Betano1.333.058.0%
William Hill1.362.908.0%
1xBet1.333.048.1%
BetVictor1.303.208.2%
Marathonbet1.332.988.7%
Best of all books1.363.254.3%
Average1.333.067.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jong Ajax 10%Draw 45%Vitesse 45%

The statistical model rates Jong Ajax at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Vitesse at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.78 | 3.85 | 2.18, which imply roughly 26% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Jong Ajax are 16th (12 pts, 18-29 goals), Vitesse 8th (17 pts, 16-17).

Over their last five matches, Jong Ajax averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Vitesse averaged 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Vitesse.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.783.852.18

Double chance

1XX212
1.651.391.23

Draw no bet

12
2.111.66

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.333.06

1st half

1X2
3.142.552.56

2nd half

1X2
2.932.892.37

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.5312.818.3
HT X7.477.195.95
HT 221.512.73.30

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0126.51.73

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0120.0
1.51.096.48
2.51.353.02
3.51.891.86
4.53.021.35
5.55.241.13
6.59.851.06
7.517.41.02
8.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0213.0
1.751.085.65
21.105.20
2.251.213.59
2.751.382.64
31.512.40
3.251.692.04
3.752.091.67
42.411.50
4.252.611.40
4.753.351.25
54.301.15
5.254.551.13
67.801.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.771.44
-0.252.401.50
02.111.65
+0.251.841.89
+0.51.652.19
+0.751.502.43
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.751.02
-29.001.01
-1.756.631.07
-1.55.061.13
-1.254.651.14
-14.281.17
-0.753.271.29
+11.363.02
+1.251.293.28
+1.51.233.66
+1.751.164.43
+21.086.10
+2.251.086.17
+2.51.066.90
+31.066.80
+3.51.039.95

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.144.50
8.51.293.15
9.51.532.31
10.51.921.82
11.52.391.51
12.53.111.30
13.53.801.19
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
9.251.432.46
9.751.552.23
101.752.01
10.251.751.96
10.751.941.73
112.241.60
11.252.191.55
11.752.521.41

Next Eerste Divisie matches

2 NovJong Utrecht – Dordrecht
2 NovHeracles – FC OSS
2 NovJong PSV U21 – NAC Breda

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

1 NovEmmen 0-5 Den Bosch
31 OctMVV 1-2 VVV Venlo
30 OctHelmond Sport 3-2 FC Eindhoven
30 OctRoda 2-1 Jong AZ
30 OctWaalwijk 1-2 Almere City FC
30 OctFC Volendam 1-2 De Graafschap