OddsFilter
Live

Libertad vs Emelec• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#72.0:1.019:00Today · Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja1.2:1.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22BTNX3.35PIN23.50B365Margin at best3.5%Books10Markets76Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 02:41 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.193.353.404.9%
1xBet2.193.243.296.9%
Betfair2.203.303.207.0%
Betano2.223.153.307.1%
Bet3652.153.103.507.3%
Dafabet2.203.203.208.0%
Marathonbet2.093.103.1511.9%
William Hill2.103.003.1013.2%
SBO2.112.962.7817.1%
BetVictor2.002.902.8020.2%
Best of all books2.223.353.503.5%
Average2.153.133.1710.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LibertadEmelec
Last 10#7Table position#101.37Points per game1.3010Form pts · last 532.0Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.863Attack rating3864Defence rating3677Form rating2350H2H rating5072Goals model2863Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 03:01 UTC

Libertad

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

1 NovAGuayaquil City FC0-0D
25 OctALeones del Norte1-4L
17 OctHGuayaquil City FC4-0W
9 OctHLeones del Norte3-0W
20 SepAEmelec2-1W
13 SepHIndependiente del Valle2-3L
7 SepADeportivo Cuenca1-0W
4 SepHEmelec1-1D
30 AugAAucas0-1L
25 AugHMacara1-0W

Emelec

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

31 OctHLeones del Norte0-2L
25 OctHGuayaquil City FC0-1L
18 OctALeones del Norte3-1W
10 OctAGuayaquil City FC2-3L
20 SepHLibertad1-2L
13 SepAMacara0-1L
8 SepHManta FC1-0W
4 SepALibertad1-1D
30 AugHLeones del Norte2-1W
24 AugALDU de Quito0-2L

Head to head

2Libertad wins
5draws
2Emelec wins

9 meetings · goals 8:9 · last 9: 2W 5D 2L for Libertad

20 Sep 2026Liga ProLiga ProEmelec1-2Libertad
4 Sep 2026Liga ProLiga ProLibertad1-1Emelec
10 May 2026Liga ProLiga ProEmelec1-1Libertad
3 Aug 2025Liga ProLiga ProLibertad1-2Emelec
12 Apr 2025Liga ProLiga ProEmelec1-1Libertad
30 Nov 2024Liga ProLiga ProLibertad2-1Emelec
1 Jun 2024Liga ProLiga ProEmelec0-0Libertad
5 Aug 2023Liga ProLiga ProLibertad0-0Emelec
27 Feb 2023Liga ProLiga ProEmelec2-0Libertad

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 7 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Libertad sit 7th with 41 points from 30 games, while Emelec are 10th with 39 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independiente del Valle30242473:33+4074
2Universidad Catolica30149751:27+2451
3Macara30156941:33+851
4Aucas30148833:28+550
5LDU de Quito301371031:24+746
6Barcelona SC301111832:25+744
7Libertad301181133:34-141
8Leones del Norte301091131:32-139
9Guayaquil City FC301091133:36-339
10Emelec301091125:34-939
11Mushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338
12Deportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236
13Orense SC30961536:47-1133
14Tecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432
15Delfin SC30771619:31-1228
16Manta FC30561917:42-2521

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.14X29%3.13229%3.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Nov 03:007 Nov 04:401 2.14X 3.132 3.17
12.35 → 2.14 -8.9%X3.06 → 3.13 +2.3%22.90 → 3.17 +9.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.981.844.9%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betfair2.001.805.6%
Betano1.981.786.7%
1xBet1.941.816.8%
SBO2.021.747.0%
Marathonbet1.901.779.1%
BetVictor1.731.6119.9%
Best of all books2.021.843.9%
Average1.941.778.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.105.4%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
Betano1.722.008.1%
1xBet1.731.988.3%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.731.959.1%
BetVictor1.601.7519.6%
Best of all books1.752.104.8%
Average1.711.969.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Libertad 45%Draw 45%Emelec 10%

The statistical model rates Libertad at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Emelec at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.14 | 3.13 | 3.17, which imply roughly 46.7% for a Libertad win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Libertad are 7th (41 pts, 33-34 goals), Emelec 10th (39 pts, 25-34).

Over their last five matches, Libertad averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Emelec averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Libertad or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.143.133.17

Double chance

1XX212
1.311.601.30

Draw no bet

12
1.522.22

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.711.96

1st half

1X2
2.782.093.70

2nd half

1X2
2.502.373.35

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.5813.331.8
HT X5.274.826.94
HT 225.213.85.19

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.808.702.26

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.87
1.51.283.20
2.51.941.77
3.53.251.28
4.56.251.08
5.513.11.02
6.523.51.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.40
11.056.87
1.251.164.17
1.751.352.81
21.462.43
2.251.671.98
2.752.121.57
32.581.41
3.252.901.33
3.753.911.18
45.611.10
4.255.651.08
510.01.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.291.30
-0.752.451.45
-0.52.091.64
-0.251.831.86
01.532.28
+0.251.382.67
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.001.02
-27.351.04
-1.755.251.11
-1.54.011.20
-1.253.641.24
+0.51.323.33
+0.751.204.05
+11.095.96
+1.251.076.37
+1.51.076.63
+1.751.018.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.21
7.51.263.31
8.51.512.35
9.51.881.82
10.52.411.48
11.53.271.27
12.54.581.11
13.57.041.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.094.97
71.104.73
7.251.183.84
7.751.283.12
81.312.95
8.251.412.60
8.751.572.23
91.642.11
9.251.751.96
9.751.971.75
102.041.70
10.252.241.57
10.752.571.42
112.871.33
11.253.021.30
11.753.581.21
124.201.14
12.254.381.13
12.755.361.07
136.601.03
13.256.821.02

Next Liga Pro matches

7 NovLeones del Norte – Guayaquil City FC
8 NovMacara – Universidad Catolica
8 NovDeportivo Cuenca – Orense SC
8 NovAucas – Independiente del Valle
8 NovBarcelona SC – LDU de Quito
9 NovMushuc Runa SC – Delfin SC

All Liga Pro fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Pro results

3 NovMushuc Runa SC 2-3 Manta FC
2 NovOrense SC 1-1 Tecnico Universitario
1 NovGuayaquil City FC 0-0 Libertad
1 NovIndependiente del Valle 2-0 LDU de Quito
1 NovUniversidad Catolica 1-2 Aucas
31 OctMacara 3-0 Barcelona SC