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Universidad Catolica vs Aucas• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#20.8:1.01-2FT01/11 · Olimpico Atahualpa, Quito0.6:1.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22BTNX3.30BTN23.65BTNMargin at best2.7%Books10Markets90Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.223.303.652.7%
Pinnacle2.173.253.614.6%
1xBet2.093.223.567.0%
Bet3652.203.103.407.1%
Dafabet2.113.253.358.0%
Betfair2.053.203.3010.3%
Marathonbet2.003.083.4011.9%
William Hill2.052.903.3013.6%
SBO2.013.053.0715.1%
BetVictor1.932.903.0019.6%
Best of all books2.223.303.652.7%
Average2.083.123.369.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Universidad CatolicaAucas
Last 10#2Table position#41.70Points per game1.673Form pts · last 520.8Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 51.857Attack rating4364Defence rating3671Form rating2950H2H rating5063Goals model3761Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 03:10 UTC

Universidad Catolica

3W 5D 2L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

30 OctHLDU de Quito2-2D
23 OctAIndependiente del Valle0-0D
18 OctABarcelona SC1-1D
11 OctHMacara0-1L
20 SepALDU de Quito1-2L
15 SepHOrense SC2-1W
10 SepAAstillero FC (Ecu)1-0W
6 SepADelfin SC1-0W
3 SepHAucas1-1D
29 AugAIndependiente del Valle2-2D

Aucas

2W 4D 4L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

25 OctHBarcelona SC0-4L
17 OctHLDU de Quito1-1D
10 OctAIndependiente del Valle1-2L
19 SepHMacara1-2L
12 SepAManta FC0-0D
7 SepHBarcelona SC1-1D
3 SepAUniversidad Catolica1-1D
30 AugHLibertad1-0W
26 AugALDU de Quito0-1L
23 AugADelfin SC1-0W

Head to head

7Universidad Catolica wins
8draws
8Aucas wins

23 meetings · goals 38:38 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Universidad Catolica

3 Sep 2026Liga ProLiga ProUniversidad Catolica1-1Aucas
9 May 2026Liga ProLiga ProAucas2-1Universidad Catolica
3 Aug 2025Liga ProLiga ProUniversidad Catolica6-2Aucas
16 Apr 2025Liga ProLiga ProAucas2-1Universidad Catolica
7 Mar 2025CONMEBOL SudamericanaCONMEBOL SudamericanaUniversidad Catolica0-0Aucas
9 Nov 2024Liga ProLiga ProUniversidad Catolica3-2Aucas
19 May 2024Liga ProLiga ProAucas2-2Universidad Catolica
17 Aug 2023Liga ProLiga ProUniversidad Catolica2-2Aucas
19 Mar 2023Liga ProLiga ProAucas4-1Universidad Catolica
5 Sep 2022Liga ProLiga ProUniversidad Catolica1-2Aucas

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 2 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Universidad Catolica sit 2nd with 51 points from 30 games, while Aucas are 4th with 50 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independiente del Valle30242473:33+4074
2Universidad Catolica30149751:27+2451
3Macara30156941:33+851
4Aucas30148833:28+550
5LDU de Quito301371031:24+746
6Barcelona SC301111832:25+744
7Libertad301181133:34-141
8Leones del Norte301091131:32-139
9Guayaquil City FC301091133:36-339
10Emelec301091125:34-939
11Mushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338
12Deportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236
13Orense SC30961536:47-1133
14Tecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432
15Delfin SC30771619:31-1228
16Manta FC30561917:42-2521

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.08X29%3.13227%3.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:011 Nov 15:011 2.08X 3.132 3.36
11.80 → 2.08 +15.6%X3.35 → 3.13 -6.6%24.10 → 3.36 -18.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.051.804.3%
Bet3652.051.755.9%
Betano2.001.786.2%
1xBet2.001.766.8%
Betfair1.951.758.4%
Marathonbet1.961.729.2%
BetVictor1.761.5820.1%
Best of all books2.051.804.3%
Average1.971.738.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.801.956.8%
Betano1.751.987.6%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
1xBet1.771.928.6%
Marathonbet1.771.899.4%
William Hill1.751.919.5%
BetVictor1.621.7319.5%
Best of all books1.801.986.1%
Average1.751.909.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Universidad Catolica 45%Draw 45%Aucas 10%

The statistical model rated Universidad Catolica at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Aucas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.08 | 3.13 | 3.36, which imply roughly 48.1% for a Universidad Catolica win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Universidad Catolica are 2nd (51 pts, 51-27 goals), Aucas 4th (50 pts, 33-28).

Over their last five matches, Universidad Catolica averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Aucas averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Universidad Catolica or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Universidad Catolica

4-2-3-1

Coach: D. Martínez

Goalkeeper

  • 1Lucas Cueva Gordillo

Defence

  • 24Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
  • 33L. Cangá
  • 3Jose García
  • 15L. Moreno

Midfield

  • 10F. Martínez
  • 23Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos
  • 9A. Londoño
  • 14Jhostin David Mina Herrera
  • 26Foad Eid

Attack

  • 11J. Evans
Substitutes (12)
  • 32M. Alonso
  • 5J. Cacciabue
  • 8D. Clavijo
  • 28M. Díaz
  • 17R. Troya
  • 19M. Sevillano
  • 18B. Palacios
  • 30E. Mejía
  • 37C. Medina
  • 12J. Lara
  • 7J. Fajardo
  • 29G. Anangonó

Aucas

5-3-2

Coach: N. Araujo

Goalkeeper

  • 13Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez

Defence

  • 16L. Gustavino
  • 37A. Zova
  • 5Thiago
  • 2S. Morales
  • 31B. Carabalí

Midfield

  • 21P. Guzmán
  • 6A. Spina
  • 18Andrés David Mena Montenegro

Attack

  • 9R. Monti Azpiazu
  • 10A. Preciado
Substitutes (9)
  • 34M. Carcelén
  • 29Luis Aldair Arroyo Cabeza
  • 7J. Andrade
  • 1I. Chaves
  • 20D. Espinosa
  • 63A. Garcia
  • 30B. Oyola
  • 57M. Vera
  • 17C. Zambrano

Match Statistics

Universidad CatolicaAucas
0.51Expected Goals0.81
441Passes accurate337
5Shots insidebox5
7Shots outsidebox6
1Blocked Shots2
14Free Kicks13
6Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves5
5Shots off Goal5
2Offsides2
509Total passes398
1Red Cards1
12Total Shots11
2Yellow Cards1
4Corner Kicks3
14Fouls14
56%Ball Possession44%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.083.133.36

Double chance

1XX212
1.271.661.30

Draw no bet

12
1.492.31

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.751.90

1st half

1X2
2.672.064.03

2nd half

1X2
2.392.373.73

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.3513.634.6
HT X5.054.757.39
HT 226.514.45.75

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.768.802.32

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.98
1.51.303.12
2.51.971.73
3.53.371.26
4.56.671.07
5.513.31.02
6.526.81.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.90
11.047.27
1.251.154.21
1.751.362.67
21.482.37
2.251.731.94
2.752.191.54
32.691.39
3.253.071.29
3.754.261.15
46.501.07
4.256.401.05
4.757.651.02
510.51.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.981.33
-0.752.381.48
-0.52.011.72
-0.251.771.91
01.482.39
+0.251.342.84
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.91.01
-310.91.01
-2.758.801.01
-2.58.001.04
-2.257.481.05
-27.131.06
-1.754.801.16
-1.53.881.22
-1.253.581.26
+0.51.303.51
+0.751.174.46
+11.067.03
+1.251.057.33
+1.51.028.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.104.82
7.51.283.23
8.51.532.31
9.51.911.81
10.52.371.52
11.53.351.26
12.54.441.16
13.56.451.03
14.57.241.01
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.114.58
71.134.35
7.251.213.58
7.751.322.93
81.362.76
8.251.462.46
8.751.632.13
91.761.97
9.251.831.87
9.752.061.68
102.061.74
10.252.351.50
10.752.731.37
113.081.29
11.253.241.26
11.753.871.17
124.601.11
12.254.781.10
12.755.831.05
137.261.01
13.256.241.04
13.755.881.05
147.261.01
14.257.031.02

Next Liga Pro matches

2 NovOrense SC – Tecnico Universitario
3 NovMushuc Runa SC – Manta FC

All Liga Pro fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Pro results

1 NovGuayaquil City FC 0-0 Libertad
1 NovIndependiente del Valle 2-0 LDU de Quito
31 OctMacara 3-0 Barcelona SC
31 OctEmelec 0-2 Leones del Norte
31 OctDelfin SC 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca
26 OctTecnico Universitario 3-0 Mushuc Runa SC