Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#91.6:1.60-0FT01/11 · Estadio Christian Benitez, Guayaquil2.4:1.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.11PINX3.43PIN23.59PINMargin at best4.4%Books10Markets81Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.97	3.50	3.95	4.6%
Betano	1.98	3.35	3.75	7.0%
1xBet	1.93	3.38	3.88	7.2%
Bet365	1.91	3.40	3.80	8.1%
Dafabet	1.95	3.40	3.65	8.1%
Betfair	1.91	3.30	3.60	10.4%
Marathonbet	1.85	3.24	3.72	11.8%
William Hill	1.85	3.10	3.60	14.1%
SBO	1.92	3.08	3.29	14.9%
BetVictor	1.80	3.00	3.20	20.1%
Best of all books	1.98	3.50	3.95	4.4%
Average	1.91	3.27	3.64	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Guayaquil City FCLibertad

Last 10#9Table position#71.30Points per game1.3710Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 52.41.6Goals against · last 51.640Attack rating6050Defence rating5053Form rating4738H2H rating6258Goals model4245Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:11 UTC

Guayaquil City FC

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against

25 Oct	A	Emelec	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	Libertad	0-4	L
10 Oct	H	Emelec	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Leones del Norte	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Mushuc Runa SC	3-1	W
8 Sep	A	Orense SC	3-4	L
2 Sep	A	Deportivo Cuenca	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	LDU de Quito	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Tecnico Universitario	3-2	W
15 Aug	H	Libertad	2-2	D

Libertad

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

25 Oct	A	Leones del Norte	1-4	L
17 Oct	H	Guayaquil City FC	4-0	W
9 Oct	H	Leones del Norte	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Emelec	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Independiente del Valle	2-3	L
7 Sep	A	Deportivo Cuenca	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Emelec	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Aucas	0-1	L
25 Aug	H	Macara	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Guayaquil City FC	2-2	D

Head to head

1Guayaquil City FC wins

2draws

2Libertad wins

5 meetings · goals 4:8 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Guayaquil City FC

17 Oct 2026Liga Pro	Liga Pro	Libertad4-0Guayaquil City FC
15 Aug 2026Liga Pro	Liga Pro	Guayaquil City FC2-2Libertad
21 Apr 2026Liga Pro	Liga Pro	Libertad0-1Guayaquil City FC
10 Oct 2023Liga Pro	Liga Pro	Libertad1-0Guayaquil City FC
6 May 2023Liga Pro	Liga Pro	Guayaquil City FC1-1Libertad

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 2 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Guayaquil City FC sit 9th with 39 points from 30 games, while Libertad are 7th with 41 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	51:27	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	41:33	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	33:28	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	31:24	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	33:34	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	31:32	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	25:34	-9	39
11	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	25:37	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	36:47	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	28:42	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	19:31	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	17:42	-25	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.03X28%3.24227%3.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.91 → 2.03 +6.3%X3.22 → 3.24 +0.6%23.74 → 3.33 -11.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.94	1.89	4.5%
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
SBO	1.90	1.88	5.8%
Betano	1.91	1.85	6.4%
1xBet	1.90	1.84	7.0%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
BetVictor	1.67	1.66	20.1%
Best of all books	1.94	1.90	4.2%
Average	1.87	1.83	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
1xBet	1.73	1.97	8.6%
William Hill	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.94	9.3%
BetVictor	1.57	1.78	19.9%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.72	1.94	9.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guayaquil City FC 10%Draw 45%Libertad 45%

The statistical model rated Guayaquil City FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Libertad at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.03 | 3.24 | 3.33, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Guayaquil City FC are 9th (39 pts, 33-36 goals), Libertad 7th (41 pts, 33-34).

Over their last five matches, Guayaquil City FC averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Libertad averaged 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Libertad.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Guayaquil City FC

4-1-3-2

Coach: P. Gavilánez

Goalkeeper

1G. Napa

Defence

17J. Ayovi
3Y. Rodríguez
4E. Ladines
6R. Arias

Midfield

23M. Bolaños
14D. Arroyo
80P. González
70P. Mancilla

Attack

21D. Dorregaray
11E. Mero

Substitutes (12)

28J. Vivar
33R. Caicedo
7J. Caicedo
20S. Laurino
19A. Naula
16J. Ordóñez
9M. Palma
12Rodrigo Ramiro Perea Salazar
30J. Pinos
29J. Quiñónez
15K. Sambonino
51E. Cabezas

Libertad

5-4-1

Coach: Jorge Célico

Goalkeeper

12D. Cabezas

Defence

17E. Patta
6B. Caicedo
5C. Gruezo
19O. Quiñónez
20J. Rodríguez

Midfield

70Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
80X. Pineda
30J. Bravo
10G. Cortéz

Attack

9E. Caicedo

Substitutes (9)

63C. Valencia
7Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quiñónez
25M. Lucas
23J. Guisamano
49D. Coronel
33A. Chére
8Stick Carlos Castro Palma
11H. Batalla
52A. Bao

Match Statistics

Guayaquil City FCLibertad

0.65Expected Goals0.45

578Passes accurate276

8Shots insidebox4

5Shots outsidebox9

3Blocked Shots4

13Free Kicks11

2Shots on Goal2

2Goalkeeper Saves2

8Shots off Goal7

3Offsides1

654Total passes341

13Total Shots13

1Yellow Cards3

7Corner Kicks2

0Red Cards0

11Fouls14

65%Ball Possession35%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.91	3.28	3.64

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.79	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.38	2.59

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
2.47	2.12	4.15

2nd half

1	X	2
2.25	2.44	3.80

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.02	13.7	35.8
HT X	4.83	5.17	8.15
HT 2	23.5	14.4	6.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.66	9.90	2.45

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.60
1.5	1.27	3.32
2.5	1.87	1.84
3.5	3.12	1.30
4.5	5.90	1.09
5.5	11.8	1.03
6.5	21.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.30
1	1.03	7.73
1.25	1.14	4.46
1.75	1.32	2.94
2	1.42	2.54
2.25	1.62	2.04
2.75	2.06	1.62
3	2.47	1.45
3.25	2.81	1.35
3.75	3.81	1.19
4	5.38	1.11
4.25	5.50	1.08
5	9.50	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.18	1.32
-1	2.70	1.39
-0.75	2.15	1.59
-0.5	1.91	1.80
-0.25	1.63	2.07
0	1.39	2.67

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.90	1.04
-2.25	6.67	1.07
-2	6.31	1.08
-1.75	4.34	1.17
-1.5	3.54	1.25
+0.25	1.31	3.20
+0.5	1.27	3.72
+0.75	1.16	4.64
+1	1.05	7.48
+1.25	1.02	7.90
+1.5	1.01	8.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.11	4.69
7.5	1.28	3.20
8.5	1.55	2.30
9.5	1.89	1.80
10.5	2.49	1.46
11.5	3.38	1.26
12.5	5.09	1.08
13.5	6.03	1.04

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.10
6.25	1.07	5.35
6.75	1.12	4.50
7	1.14	4.26
7.25	1.22	3.52
7.75	1.33	2.89
8	1.37	2.72
8.25	1.47	2.43
8.75	1.65	2.10
9	1.84	1.89
9.25	1.85	1.85
9.75	2.08	1.66
10	2.26	1.55
10.25	2.39	1.49
10.75	2.77	1.36
11	3.14	1.28
11.25	3.30	1.25
11.75	3.95	1.16
12	4.70	1.11
12.25	4.89	1.09
12.75	5.87	1.05
13	7.33	1.01
13.25	5.83	1.05

Next Liga Pro matches

2 Nov	Orense SC – Tecnico Universitario
3 Nov	Mushuc Runa SC – Manta FC

All Liga Pro fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Pro results

1 Nov	Independiente del Valle 2-0 LDU de Quito
1 Nov	Universidad Catolica 1-2 Aucas
31 Oct	Macara 3-0 Barcelona SC
31 Oct	Emelec 0-2 Leones del Norte
31 Oct	Delfin SC 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca
26 Oct	Tecnico Universitario 3-0 Mushuc Runa SC