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Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#11.6:1.02-0FT01/11 · Estadio Banco De Guayaquil, Quito1.4:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90PINX3.85BTN24.55BTNMargin at best0.6%Books10Markets89Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.873.754.502.4%
Pinnacle1.863.754.114.8%
1xBet1.853.643.927.0%
Bet3651.753.604.507.1%
Dafabet1.793.604.108.0%
Betfair1.753.503.9011.4%
Marathonbet1.773.483.7511.9%
William Hill1.803.303.7512.5%
SBO1.733.313.7414.8%
BetVictor1.673.133.5020.4%
Best of all books1.873.754.502.4%
Average1.783.513.989.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Independiente del ValleLDU de Quito
Last 10#1Table position#52.47Points per game1.5310Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.253Attack rating4755Defence rating4556Form rating4438H2H rating6256Goals model4450Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 03:10 UTC

Independiente del Valle

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

29 OctADelfin SC3-0W
23 OctHUniversidad Catolica0-0D
17 OctAMacara0-1L
10 OctHAucas2-1W
25 SepAGualaceo SC2-0W
18 SepAFlamengo1-1D
13 SepALibertad3-2W
11 SepHFlamengo0-2L
5 SepHMacara3-1W
3 SepABarcelona SC1-2L

LDU de Quito

4W 4D 2L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

30 OctAUniversidad Catolica2-2D
24 OctHMacara1-2L
17 OctAAucas1-1D
11 OctHBarcelona SC2-1W
20 SepHUniversidad Catolica2-1W
16 SepHPalmeiras3-2W
13 SepHDeportivo Cuenca1-1D
9 SepAPalmeiras0-1L
5 SepATecnico Universitario3-1W
2 SepHMushuc Runa SC0-0D

Head to head

8Independiente del Valle wins
15draws
13LDU de Quito wins

36 meetings · goals 41:48 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Independiente del Valle

8 Aug 2026Liga ProLiga ProLDU de Quito0-2Independiente del Valle
19 Apr 2026Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle0-2LDU de Quito
10 Dec 2025Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle0-0LDU de Quito
29 Nov 2025Liga ProLiga ProLDU de Quito2-1Independiente del Valle
22 Jun 2025Liga ProLiga ProLDU de Quito1-1Independiente del Valle
23 Feb 2025Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle1-1LDU de Quito
14 Dec 2024Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle1-0LDU de Quito
7 Dec 2024Liga ProLiga ProLDU de Quito3-0Independiente del Valle
9 Nov 2024Liga ProLiga ProLDU de Quito2-1Independiente del Valle
18 May 2024Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle1-1LDU de Quito

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 2 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Independiente del Valle sit 1st with 74 points from 30 games, while LDU de Quito are 5th with 46 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independiente del Valle30242473:33+4074
2Universidad Catolica30149751:27+2451
3Macara30156941:33+851
4Aucas30148833:28+550
5LDU de Quito301371031:24+746
6Barcelona SC301111832:25+744
7Libertad301181133:34-141
8Leones del Norte301091131:32-139
9Guayaquil City FC301091133:36-339
10Emelec301091125:34-939
11Mushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338
12Deportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236
13Orense SC30961536:47-1133
14Tecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432
15Delfin SC30771619:31-1228
16Manta FC30561917:42-2521

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.87X27%3.44225%3.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:011 Nov 01:501 1.78X 3.512 3.96
11.78 → 1.78 0.0%X3.53 → 3.51 -0.6%24.01 → 3.96 -1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.842.014.1%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betano1.801.986.1%
SBO1.801.986.1%
1xBet1.791.966.9%
Betfair1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.761.928.9%
BetVictor1.611.7319.9%
Best of all books1.842.014.1%
Average1.771.948.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.056.6%
Betano1.702.057.6%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.682.048.5%
Marathonbet1.682.019.3%
William Hill1.672.009.9%
BetVictor1.551.8020.1%
Best of all books1.732.056.6%
Average1.681.999.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Independiente del Valle 10%Draw 45%LDU de Quito 45%

The statistical model rated Independiente del Valle at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and LDU de Quito at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.44 | 3.70, which imply roughly 29.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Independiente del Valle are 1st (74 pts, 73-33 goals), LDU de Quito 5th (46 pts, 31-24).

Over their last five matches, Independiente del Valle averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; LDU de Quito averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or LDU de Quito.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Independiente del Valle

4-3-3

Coach: Joaquín Papa

Goalkeeper

  • 1A. Quintana

Defence

  • 14M. Carabajal
  • 5R. Schunke
  • 13Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
  • 15G. Cortéz

Midfield

  • 16R. Briones
  • 6J. Alcívar
  • 10J. Sornoza

Attack

  • 52Y. Vásquez
  • 9C. González
  • 18Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios
Substitutes (11)
  • 50J. Cuero
  • 23Juan Viacava
  • 33Andy René Velasco García
  • 17A. Rodríguez
  • 99D. Reasco
  • 28H. Quintana
  • 70M. Peralta
  • 8Y. Ochoa
  • 32J. Méndez
  • 19L. Loor
  • 4J. Espinoza

LDU de Quito

Coach: Gustavo Álvarez

Match Statistics

Independiente del ValleLDU de Quito
1.02Expected Goals0.61
289Passes accurate240
8Shots insidebox6
10Shots outsidebox7
3Blocked Shots2
16Free Kicks6
7Shots on Goal1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
8Shots off Goal10
1Offsides3
337Total passes302
18Total Shots13
4Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards2
7Fouls17
0Red Cards0
53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.783.513.98

Double chance

1XX212
1.201.891.22

Draw no bet

12
1.332.88

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.681.99

1st half

1X2
2.352.194.27

2nd half

1X2
2.122.543.99

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7714.037.4
HT X4.665.578.76
HT 221.714.36.70

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5812.32.49

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.68
1.51.233.63
2.51.771.94
3.52.871.35
4.55.331.12
5.510.81.03
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.80
1.251.114.95
1.751.273.21
21.352.75
2.251.552.17
2.751.941.70
32.281.52
3.252.581.44
3.753.501.23
44.871.13
4.255.011.11
4.756.801.04
58.951.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.761.36
-12.441.47
-0.752.011.70
-0.51.771.92
-0.251.562.21
01.342.87
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.41.01
-311.51.01
-2.757.701.03
-2.56.471.07
-2.255.951.07
-25.631.10
-1.753.951.21
-1.53.261.30
+0.251.283.36
+0.51.253.97
+0.751.134.96
+11.037.83
+1.251.028.00
+1.51.018.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.026.95
7.51.154.11
8.51.342.90
9.51.602.17
10.52.011.72
11.52.591.42
12.53.521.24
13.55.101.08
14.56.401.03
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.026.68
71.036.41
7.251.094.99
7.751.163.96
81.183.76
8.251.263.20
8.751.382.68
91.432.53
9.251.532.30
9.751.712.02
101.821.92
10.251.901.80
10.752.141.62
112.321.52
11.252.451.46
11.752.831.34
123.201.26
12.253.361.24
12.754.001.16
134.721.10
13.254.911.09
13.754.961.09
146.001.05
14.256.201.04

Next Liga Pro matches

2 NovOrense SC – Tecnico Universitario
3 NovMushuc Runa SC – Manta FC

All Liga Pro fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Pro results

1 NovGuayaquil City FC 0-0 Libertad
1 NovUniversidad Catolica 1-2 Aucas
31 OctMacara 3-0 Barcelona SC
31 OctEmelec 0-2 Leones del Norte
31 OctDelfin SC 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca
26 OctTecnico Universitario 3-0 Mushuc Runa SC