Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#81.6:1.621:30Today · Jaime Teran Olympic Stadium, Atuntaqui1.0:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.72BTNX3.90PIN26.00B365Margin at best0.4%Books10Markets84Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.72	3.75	5.70	2.4%
Pinnacle	1.66	3.90	5.28	4.8%
Bet365	1.65	3.50	6.00	5.8%
1xBet	1.65	3.66	5.23	7.0%
Betfair	1.65	3.75	5.00	7.3%
Dafabet	1.66	3.55	5.20	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.58	3.50	5.00	11.9%
William Hill	1.62	3.40	4.60	12.9%
SBO	1.60	3.33	4.50	14.8%
BetVictor	1.53	3.20	4.20	20.4%
Best of all books	1.72	3.90	6.00	0.4%
Average	1.63	3.55	5.07	9.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Leones del NorteGuayaquil City FC

Last 10#8Table position#91.30Points per game1.307Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.462Attack rating3847Defence rating5347Form rating5336H2H rating6460Goals model4049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 03:01 UTC

Leones del Norte

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	A	Emelec	2-0	W
25 Oct	H	Libertad	4-1	W
18 Oct	H	Emelec	1-3	L
9 Oct	A	Libertad	0-3	L
19 Sep	A	Guayaquil City FC	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Tecnico Universitario	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Mushuc Runa SC	1-1	D
3 Sep	H	Orense SC	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Emelec	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Independiente del Valle	2-3	L

Guayaquil City FC

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:16 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against

1 Nov	H	Libertad	0-0	D
25 Oct	A	Emelec	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	Libertad	0-4	L
10 Oct	H	Emelec	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Leones del Norte	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Mushuc Runa SC	3-1	W
8 Sep	A	Orense SC	3-4	L
2 Sep	A	Deportivo Cuenca	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	LDU de Quito	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Tecnico Universitario	3-2	W

Head to head

3Leones del Norte wins

6draws

2Guayaquil City FC wins

11 meetings · goals 7:7 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Leones del Norte

19 Sep 2026Liga Pro	Liga Pro	Guayaquil City FC1-1Leones del Norte
23 Jul 2026Liga Pro	Liga Pro	Leones del Norte1-1Guayaquil City FC
23 Mar 2026Liga Pro	Liga Pro	Guayaquil City FC0-0Leones del Norte
29 Oct 2025Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Leones del Norte0-0Guayaquil City FC
27 Aug 2025Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Guayaquil City FC2-1Leones del Norte
23 Jul 2025Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Leones del Norte2-1Guayaquil City FC
15 May 2025Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Guayaquil City FC0-1Leones del Norte
18 Oct 2024Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Guayaquil City FC2-0Leones del Norte
29 Aug 2024Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Leones del Norte1-0Guayaquil City FC
30 May 2024Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	Leones del Norte0-0Guayaquil City FC

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 7 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Leones del Norte sit 8th with 39 points from 30 games, while Guayaquil City FC are 9th with 39 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	51:27	+24	51
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	41:33	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	33:28	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	31:24	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	33:34	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	31:32	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	25:34	-9	39
11	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	25:37	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	36:47	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	28:42	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	19:31	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	17:42	-25	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.63X26%3.55218%5.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.74 → 1.63 -6.3%X3.34 → 3.55 +6.3%24.49 → 5.07 +12.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.95	1.88	4.5%
Betfair	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.98	1.80	6.1%
1xBet	1.94	1.81	6.8%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
BetVictor	1.71	1.63	19.8%
Best of all books	2.10	1.88	0.8%
Average	1.94	1.77	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Betano	1.88	1.82	8.1%
1xBet	1.88	1.81	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.78	9.4%
William Hill	1.85	1.75	11.2%
BetVictor	1.70	1.65	19.4%
Best of all books	2.10	1.82	2.6%
Average	1.90	1.75	9.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Leones del Norte 45%Draw 45%Guayaquil City FC 10%

The statistical model rates Leones del Norte at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Guayaquil City FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.63 | 3.55 | 5.07, which imply roughly 61.3% for a Leones del Norte win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Leones del Norte are 8th (39 pts, 31-32 goals), Guayaquil City FC 9th (39 pts, 33-36).

Over their last five matches, Leones del Norte averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Guayaquil City FC averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Leones del Norte or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.63	3.55	5.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.12	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.47

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.75

1st half

1	X	2
2.21	2.13	5.35

2nd half

1	X	2
2.01	2.44	4.76

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.49	15.5	49.5
HT X	4.25	5.18	10.4
HT 2	24.6	15.9	8.63

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	9.50	2.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.25
1.5	1.29	3.20
2.5	1.94	1.77
3.5	3.32	1.27
4.5	6.47	1.08
5.5	13.0	1.02
6.5	23.5	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.68
1	1.02	8.78
1.25	1.14	4.41
1.75	1.36	2.69
2	1.45	2.47
2.25	1.68	1.99
2.75	2.11	1.59
3	2.57	1.42
3.25	2.95	1.32
3.75	4.11	1.17
4	6.03	1.08
4.25	6.10	1.06
5	9.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.82	1.39
-1.25	2.41	1.46
-1	2.11	1.63
-0.75	1.80	1.90
-0.5	1.61	2.15
-0.25	1.40	2.61

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.9	1.01
-3	9.90	1.02
-2.75	7.50	1.03
-2.5	5.94	1.10
-2.25	5.31	1.12
-2	4.95	1.14
-1.75	3.45	1.27
0	1.22	3.95
+0.25	1.17	4.48
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.07	6.63
+1	1.03	9.20
+1.5	1.02	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.21
6.5	1.24	3.50
7.5	1.48	2.44
8.5	1.89	1.83
9.5	2.42	1.49
10.5	3.33	1.26
11.5	4.51	1.12
12.5	7.07	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.05	5.92
6	1.06	5.64
6.25	1.13	4.39
6.75	1.22	3.48
7	1.25	3.28
7.25	1.35	2.81
7.75	1.50	2.37
8	1.68	2.13
8.25	1.69	2.05
8.75	1.90	1.81
9	1.95	1.77
9.25	2.16	1.61
9.75	2.49	1.45
10	2.78	1.36
10.25	2.94	1.32
10.75	3.50	1.22
11	4.12	1.15
11.25	4.32	1.13
11.75	5.31	1.07
12	6.61	1.03
12.25	6.84	1.02

Next Liga Pro matches

7 Nov	Libertad – Emelec
8 Nov	Macara – Universidad Catolica
8 Nov	Deportivo Cuenca – Orense SC
8 Nov	Aucas – Independiente del Valle
8 Nov	Barcelona SC – LDU de Quito
9 Nov	Mushuc Runa SC – Delfin SC

All Liga Pro fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Pro results

3 Nov	Mushuc Runa SC 2-3 Manta FC
2 Nov	Orense SC 1-1 Tecnico Universitario
1 Nov	Guayaquil City FC 0-0 Libertad
1 Nov	Independiente del Valle 2-0 LDU de Quito
1 Nov	Universidad Catolica 1-2 Aucas
31 Oct	Macara 3-0 Barcelona SC