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Aucas vs Independiente del Valle• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#41.0:2.018:45Tomorrow · Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito1.4:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.30BTNX3.51PIN22.20BTNMargin at best4.2%Books10Markets77Rating27 · 73Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 08:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.133.512.196.1%
Bet3653.253.252.207.0%
Betano3.303.202.207.0%
1xBet3.163.382.187.1%
Betfair3.103.402.207.1%
Dafabet3.203.352.138.0%
Marathonbet3.023.242.0911.8%
William Hill2.903.102.1014.4%
SBO2.833.012.0617.1%
BetVictor2.802.902.0020.2%
Best of all books3.303.512.204.2%
Average3.073.232.1410.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AucasIndependiente del Valle
Last 10#4Table position#11.67Points per game2.474Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 50.842Attack rating5829Defence rating7129Form rating717H2H rating9326Goals model7427Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:04 UTC

Aucas

2W 4D 4L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against

1 NovAUniversidad Catolica2-1W
25 OctHBarcelona SC0-4L
17 OctHLDU de Quito1-1D
10 OctAIndependiente del Valle1-2L
19 SepHMacara1-2L
12 SepAManta FC0-0D
7 SepHBarcelona SC1-1D
3 SepAUniversidad Catolica1-1D
30 AugHLibertad1-0W
26 AugALDU de Quito0-1L

Independiente del Valle

6W 2D 2L · goals 15:7 · per match 1.5 for, 0.7 against

6 NovHDelfin SC2-0W
1 NovHLDU de Quito2-0W
29 OctADelfin SC3-0W
23 OctHUniversidad Catolica0-0D
17 OctAMacara0-1L
10 OctHAucas2-1W
25 SepAGualaceo SC2-0W
18 SepAFlamengo1-1D
13 SepALibertad3-2W
11 SepHFlamengo0-2L

Head to head

5Aucas wins
5draws
14Independiente del Valle wins

24 meetings · goals 27:40 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Aucas

10 Oct 2026Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle2-1Aucas
16 Jul 2026Liga ProLiga ProAucas0-3Independiente del Valle
14 Mar 2026Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle2-2Aucas
19 Jul 2025Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle2-1Aucas
28 Mar 2025Liga ProLiga ProAucas1-2Independiente del Valle
1 Sep 2024Liga ProLiga ProAucas0-2Independiente del Valle
24 Mar 2024Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle1-1Aucas
11 Nov 2023Liga ProLiga ProAucas2-0Independiente del Valle
2 Jun 2023Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle2-0Aucas
11 Feb 2023Supercopa de EcuadorSupercopa de EcuadorIndependiente del Valle3-0Aucas

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 7 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Aucas sit 4th with 50 points from 30 games, while Independiente del Valle are 1st with 74 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independiente del Valle30242473:33+4074
2Universidad Catolica30149751:27+2451
3Macara30156941:33+851
4Aucas30148833:28+550
5LDU de Quito301371031:24+746
6Barcelona SC301111832:25+744
7Libertad301181133:34-141
8Leones del Norte301091131:32-139
9Guayaquil City FC301091133:36-339
10Emelec301091125:34-939
11Mushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338
12Deportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236
13Orense SC30961536:47-1133
14Tecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432
15Delfin SC30771619:31-1228
16Manta FC30561917:42-2521

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.08X28%3.26243%2.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.931.885.0%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
SBO1.931.836.5%
1xBet1.881.867.0%
Betano1.911.837.0%
Marathonbet1.851.829.0%
BetVictor1.691.6420.1%
Best of all books1.951.884.5%
Average1.881.828.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.105.4%
Betano1.702.057.6%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.692.038.4%
William Hill1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.692.009.2%
BetVictor1.551.8020.1%
Best of all books1.732.105.4%
Average1.682.009.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aucas 10%Draw 45%Independiente del Valle 45%

The statistical model rates Aucas at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Independiente del Valle at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.08 | 3.26 | 2.14, which imply roughly 30.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Aucas are 4th (50 pts, 33-28 goals), Independiente del Valle 1st (74 pts, 73-33).

Over their last five matches, Aucas averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Independiente del Valle averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Independiente del Valle.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.073.232.13

Double chance

1XX212
1.621.311.28

Draw no bet

12
2.211.53

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.682.00

1st half

1X2
3.682.122.71

2nd half

1X2
3.362.412.46

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.1713.924.2
HT X6.995.095.37
HT 230.313.53.47

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.239.351.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.40
1.51.273.29
2.51.881.82
3.53.091.30
4.55.741.09
5.512.51.03
6.523.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.20
11.037.65
1.251.144.46
1.751.322.95
21.422.53
2.251.632.04
2.752.051.61
32.471.44
3.252.761.36
3.753.751.19
45.061.11
4.255.351.09
59.601.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.111.36
-0.252.581.40
02.231.55
+0.251.841.84
+0.51.632.11
+0.751.452.45
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.201.02
-1.56.431.07
-1.256.011.09
-15.621.11
-0.753.811.22
+11.303.28
+1.251.243.62
+1.51.194.02
+1.751.115.28
+21.037.39
+2.51.028.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.017.28
6.51.124.49
7.51.342.91
8.51.642.12
9.52.071.67
10.52.721.38
11.53.791.20
12.55.401.07
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.98
61.017.32
6.251.065.49
6.751.144.26
71.164.04
7.251.243.36
7.751.362.77
81.402.61
8.251.512.34
8.751.692.04
91.821.92
9.251.901.80
9.752.151.62
102.341.51
10.252.481.45
10.752.891.33
113.291.25
11.253.461.22
11.754.171.14
125.001.09
12.255.201.08

Next Liga Pro matches

7 NovLibertad – Emelec
7 NovLeones del Norte – Guayaquil City FC
8 NovMacara – Universidad Catolica
8 NovDeportivo Cuenca – Orense SC
8 NovBarcelona SC – LDU de Quito
9 NovMushuc Runa SC – Delfin SC

All Liga Pro fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Pro results

3 NovMushuc Runa SC 2-3 Manta FC
2 NovOrense SC 1-1 Tecnico Universitario
1 NovGuayaquil City FC 0-0 Libertad
1 NovIndependiente del Valle 2-0 LDU de Quito
1 NovUniversidad Catolica 1-2 Aucas
31 OctMacara 3-0 Barcelona SC