Tarxien Rainbows vs Zebbug Rangers• Challenge League, Malta

#13.0:1.015:00Today0.7:2.3#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.28B365X5.00B36528.451XBMargin at best10.0%Books3Markets46Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 07:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.27	4.90	8.45	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.26	4.90	8.00	12.3%
Bet365	1.28	5.00	7.00	12.4%
Best of all books	1.28	5.00	8.45	10.0%
Average	1.27	4.93	7.82	11.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tarxien RainbowsZebbug Rangers

Last 10#1Table position#143.00Points per game1.0012Form pts · last 573.0Goals for · last 50.71.0Goals against · last 52.382Attack rating1870Defence rating3075Form rating2538H2H rating6291Goals model967Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:21 UTC

Tarxien Rainbows

6W 3D 1L · goals 22:15 · per match 2.2 for, 1.5 against

11 Oct	A	Pietà Hotspurs	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Attard	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Mgarr United	3-1	W
10 May	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-2	L
5 May	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	3-2	W
30 Apr	H	Sliema Wanderers	2-1	W
24 Apr	H	Birkirkara	0-0	D
19 Apr	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	3-3	D
14 Apr	H	Hibernians	3-2	W
11 Apr	H	Mosta	2-2	D

Zebbug Rangers

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

10 Oct	H	Swieqi United	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Naxxar Lions	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Fgura United	0-4	L
18 Apr	H	Marsa	1-1	D
11 Apr	A	Vittoriosa Stars	1-0	W
4 Apr	A	Gudja United	2-1	W
15 Mar	A	Zurrieq	3-3	D
8 Mar	H	Mgarr United	0-2	L
1 Mar	H	Mtarfa	6-0	W
21 Feb	A	Santa Lucía	1-1	D

Head to head

1Tarxien Rainbows wins

3draws

2Zebbug Rangers wins

6 meetings · goals 7:8 · last 6: 1W 3D 2L for Tarxien Rainbows

23 Nov 2024Challenge League	Challenge League	Tarxien Rainbows0-2Zebbug Rangers
10 Mar 2024Challenge League	Challenge League	Tarxien Rainbows3-1Zebbug Rangers
13 Dec 2023FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Tarxien Rainbows1-2Zebbug Rangers
25 Oct 2023Challenge League	Challenge League	Zebbug Rangers0-0Tarxien Rainbows
29 Jan 2022Challenge League	Challenge League	Tarxien Rainbows1-1Zebbug Rangers
25 Sep 2021Challenge League	Challenge League	Zebbug Rangers2-2Tarxien Rainbows

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Tarxien Rainbows sit 1st with 9 points from 3 games, while Zebbug Rangers are 14th with 3 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tarxien Rainbows	3	3	0	0	9:3	+6	9
2	Mgarr United	4	3	0	1	7:4	+3	9
3	Fgura United	4	2	2	0	8:1	+7	8
4	Naxxar Lions	3	2	0	1	8:6	+2	6
5	Victoria Hotspurs	3	2	0	1	5:4	+1	6
6	Pietà Hotspurs	4	2	0	2	8:8	0	6
7	Swieqi United	3	1	1	1	6:6	0	4
8	Melita	4	1	1	2	4:4	0	4
9	Sirens	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4
10	Vittoriosa Stars	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
11	Santa Lucía	4	0	4	0	2:2	0	4
12	Zurrieq	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
13	St. Andrews	4	1	1	2	2:6	-4	4
14	Zebbug Rangers	3	1	0	2	2:7	-5	3
15	Attard	3	0	2	1	4:6	-2	2
16	Gudja United	4	0	0	4	0:7	-7	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.27X18%4.93211%7.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.25 → 1.27 +1.6%X5.00 → 4.93 -1.4%28.38 → 7.82 -6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.52	2.24	10.4%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.24	10.4%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.54	2.28	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.78	9.9%
Best of all books	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Average	1.86	1.79	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tarxien Rainbows 45%Draw 45%Zebbug Rangers 10%

The statistical model rates Tarxien Rainbows at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Zebbug Rangers at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.27 | 4.93 | 7.82, which imply roughly 78.7% for a Tarxien Rainbows win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Tarxien Rainbows are 1st (9 pts, 9-3 goals), Zebbug Rangers 14th (3 pts, 2-7).

Over their last five matches, Tarxien Rainbows averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Zebbug Rangers averaged 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Tarxien Rainbows and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.27	4.93	7.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	3.11	1.10

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	6.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
1.72	2.54	7.19

2nd half

1	X	2
1.54	3.08	6.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.83	18.0	58.0
HT X	4.10	8.00	16.0
HT 2	19.5	19.0	13.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.28	15.8	3.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.0
1.5	1.12	5.00
2.5	1.54	2.28
3.5	2.33	1.51
4.5	3.92	1.18
5.5	8.00	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.36	2.69
2.75	1.65	2.00
3	1.83	1.79
3.25	2.07	1.61
3.75	2.66	1.37
4	3.34	1.24
4.25	3.58	1.21
5	6.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.70	1.36
-2	2.42	1.44
-1.75	2.04	1.64
-1.5	1.83	1.87
-1.25	1.63	2.06
-1	1.42	2.49

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.45	1.08
-3	4.80	1.11
-2.5	2.97	1.30
-0.75	1.33	2.83
-0.25	1.16	4.10
0	1.06	6.35

Next Challenge League matches

18 Oct	Naxxar Lions – Victoria Hotspurs
18 Oct	Vittoriosa Stars – Attard
18 Oct	Swieqi United – Sirens

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

17 Oct	Fgura United 0-0 Santa Lucía
17 Oct	Zurrieq 1-0 Gudja United
17 Oct	Melita 0-2 Pietà Hotspurs
17 Oct	St. Andrews 0-2 Mgarr United
11 Oct	Santa Lucía 1-1 Zurrieq
11 Oct	Gudja United 0-1 St. Andrews