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Swieqi United vs Sirens• Challenge League, Malta

#82.0:2.03-2FTToday1.3:1.3#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65B365X3.90WH24.721XBMargin at best7.4%Books4Markets43Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 14:24 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.593.724.7211.0%
Bet3651.653.904.0011.2%
Marathonbet1.573.724.6512.1%
William Hill1.573.904.3312.4%
Best of all books1.653.904.727.4%
Average1.603.814.4211.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Swieqi UnitedSirens
Last 10#8Table position#101.33Points per game1.336Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 51.32.0Goals against · last 51.360Attack rating4040Defence rating6050Form rating5029H2H rating7164Goals model3644Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:21 UTC

Swieqi United

4W 4D 2L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

10 OctAZebbug Rangers0-1L
18 SepHPietà Hotspurs3-2W
12 SepAAttard3-3D
23 AprHBirzebbuga1-1D
19 AprHFgura United1-1D
11 AprASt. Andrews1-0W
4 AprHMelita5-0W
14 MarABalzan FC2-1W
8 MarHBirzebbuga2-2D
4 MarHPietà Hotspurs0-1L

Sirens

3W 1D 6L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against

10 OctHNaxxar Lions2-3L
19 SepAFgura United1-1D
12 SepHZurrieq1-0W
19 AprABirzebbuga2-3L
12 AprHPietà Hotspurs3-4L
6 AprHBalzan FC0-1L
15 MarHFgura United3-2W
7 MarASt. Andrews3-0W
1 MarASwieqi United0-2L
22 FebAMelita0-2L

Head to head

1Swieqi United wins
1draws
3Sirens wins

5 meetings · goals 3:10 · last 5: 1W 1D 3L for Swieqi United

1 Mar 2026Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueSwieqi United2-0Sirens
14 Dec 2025Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueSirens1-1Swieqi United
23 Nov 2024Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueSirens3-0Swieqi United
26 Apr 2019Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueSirens1-0Swieqi United
16 Jan 2019Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueSwieqi United0-5Sirens

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 18 Oct 18:20 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Swieqi United sit 8th with 4 points from 3 games, while Sirens are 10th with 4 points from 3.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tarxien Rainbows440011:4+712
2Naxxar Lions43019:6+39
3Mgarr United43017:4+39
4Fgura United42208:1+78
5Pietà Hotspurs42028:806
6Victoria Hotspurs42025:506
7Vittoriosa Stars41214:405
8Swieqi United31116:604
9Melita41124:404
10Sirens31114:404
11Santa Lucía40402:204
12Zurrieq41123:4-14
13St. Andrews41122:6-44
14Attard40316:8-23
15Zebbug Rangers41033:9-63
16Gudja United40040:7-70

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.61X24%3.79221%4.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 03:4018 Oct 15:401 1.60X 3.812 4.43
11.71 → 1.60 -6.4%X3.77 → 3.81 +1.1%23.83 → 4.43 +15.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.622.256.2%
Pinnacle1.462.439.6%
1xBet1.482.3310.5%
Marathonbet1.482.3310.5%
Best of all books1.622.432.9%
Average1.512.339.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.532.308.8%
1xBet1.532.299.0%
Marathonbet1.522.279.8%
Best of all books1.532.308.8%
Average1.532.299.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Swieqi United 10%Draw 45%Sirens 45%

The statistical model rated Swieqi United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sirens at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.79 | 4.36, which imply roughly 26.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Swieqi United are 8th (4 pts, 6-6 goals), Sirens 10th (4 pts, 4-4).

Over their last five matches, Swieqi United averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Sirens averaged 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sirens.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.603.814.43

Double chance

1XX212
1.152.061.18

Draw no bet

12
1.363.00

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.532.29

1st half

1X2
2.122.344.57

2nd half

1X2
1.892.764.33

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.5114.030.0
HT X4.757.009.50
HT 218.015.06.75

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5215.32.52

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.0
1.51.164.25
2.51.512.34
3.52.191.58
4.53.581.21
5.56.501.08
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.193.80
21.183.83
2.251.332.82
2.751.582.14
31.741.91
3.251.961.72
3.752.471.43
43.021.30
4.253.281.25
55.731.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.461.44
-1.252.221.55
-11.971.72
-0.751.751.93
-0.51.572.19
-0.251.402.57
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.54.331.14
-23.701.20
-1.752.891.32
01.223.50
+0.251.173.95
+11.018.50

Latest Challenge League results

18 OctTarxien Rainbows 2-1 Zebbug Rangers
18 OctVittoriosa Stars 2-2 Attard
18 OctNaxxar Lions 1-0 Victoria Hotspurs
17 OctFgura United 0-0 Santa Lucía
17 OctZurrieq 1-0 Gudja United
17 OctMelita 0-2 Pietà Hotspurs