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Zurrieq vs Gudja United• Challenge League, Malta

#120.7:1.31-0FTToday0.0:2.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05WHX3.40B36523.101XBMargin at best10.5%Books4Markets40Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 11:34 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.033.403.1010.9%
Marathonbet2.013.403.0212.3%
Bet3652.003.403.0012.7%
William Hill2.053.302.9013.6%
Best of all books2.053.403.1010.5%
Average2.023.383.0112.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ZurrieqGudja United
Last 10#12Table position#161.00Points per game0.004Form pts · last 560.7Goals for · last 50.01.3Goals against · last 52.0100Attack rating060Defence rating40100Form rating067H2H rating33100Goals model067Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC

Zurrieq

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

11 OctASanta Lucía1-1D
19 SepHVictoria Hotspurs1-2L
12 SepASirens0-1L
18 AprHMgarr United4-2W
12 AprASanta Lucía0-3L
1 AprHMarsa2-1W
15 MarHZebbug Rangers3-3D
7 MarAMtarfa2-0W
4 MarHNaxxar Lions1-2L
28 FebAVittoriosa Stars1-2L

Gudja United

4W 1D 5L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

11 OctHSt. Andrews0-1L
19 SepAVittoriosa Stars0-2L
13 SepHMelita0-3L
18 AprAVittoriosa Stars3-2W
12 AprAMgarr United2-0W
4 AprHZebbug Rangers1-2L
19 MarHXewkija Tigers2-3L
15 MarHMtarfa3-0W
8 MarAMarsa3-3D
3 MarHVittoriosa Stars2-1W

Head to head

2Zurrieq wins
0draws
1Gudja United wins

3 meetings · goals 6:2 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Zurrieq

21 Feb 2026Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueGudja United0-3Zurrieq
13 Dec 2025Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueGudja United1-0Zurrieq
19 Oct 2024Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueGudja United1-3Zurrieq

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Zurrieq sit 12th with 4 points from 4 games, while Gudja United are 16th with 0 points from 4.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tarxien Rainbows33009:3+69
2Mgarr United43017:4+39
3Fgura United42208:1+78
4Naxxar Lions32018:6+26
5Victoria Hotspurs32015:4+16
6Pietà Hotspurs42028:806
7Swieqi United31116:604
8Melita41124:404
9Sirens31114:404
10Vittoriosa Stars31112:204
11Santa Lucía40402:204
12Zurrieq41123:4-14
13St. Andrews41122:6-44
14Zebbug Rangers31022:7-53
15Attard30214:6-22
16Gudja United40040:7-70

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.02X26%3.38230%3.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 15:1017 Oct 11:401 2.02X 3.382 3.01
12.00 → 2.02 +1.0%X3.37 → 3.38 +0.3%23.09 → 3.01 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Pinnacle1.652.098.5%
1xBet1.682.029.0%
Marathonbet1.682.029.0%
Best of all books1.852.091.9%
Average1.712.027.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.572.209.1%
William Hill1.572.209.1%
Marathonbet1.572.1610.0%
Best of all books1.572.209.1%
Average1.572.199.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Zurrieq 50%Draw 50%Gudja United 0%

The statistical model rated Zurrieq at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Gudja United at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.02 | 3.38 | 3.01, which imply roughly 49.5% for a Zurrieq win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Zurrieq are 12th (4 pts, 3-4 goals), Gudja United 16th (0 pts, 0-7).

Over their last five matches, Zurrieq averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Gudja United averaged 0 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Zurrieq and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.023.383.01

Double chance

1XX212
1.301.641.23

Draw no bet

12
1.532.38

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.572.19

1st half

1X2
2.582.233.60

2nd half

1X2
2.412.513.26

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.2512.527.5
HT X5.505.757.25
HT 221.515.05.00

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7212.52.17

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0312.0
1.51.183.86
2.51.722.02
3.52.641.38
4.54.951.11
5.59.501.05
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.00
1.751.233.42
21.283.10
2.251.482.38
2.751.831.82
32.111.60
3.252.371.47
3.753.201.26
44.251.15

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.941.31
-0.752.331.49
-0.52.041.68
-0.251.791.91
01.532.28
+0.251.392.60
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.801.02
-27.101.04
-1.53.761.19
-1.253.341.24
+0.51.322.95
+0.751.203.72
+11.095.40
+1.51.066.35