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Melita vs Pietà Hotspurs• Challenge League, Malta

#81.3:0.70-2FT17/102.0:2.7#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.10B365X3.50WH23.281XBMargin at best6.7%Books4Markets39Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 11:34 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.023.243.2810.9%
Bet3652.103.502.8011.9%
Marathonbet2.003.243.2012.1%
William Hill1.913.503.1013.2%
Best of all books2.103.503.286.7%
Average2.013.373.1011.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MelitaPietà Hotspurs
Last 10#8Table position#61.00Points per game1.507Form pts · last 571.3Goals for · last 52.00.7Goals against · last 52.740Attack rating6080Defence rating2057Form rating4380H2H rating2045Goals model5563Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:21 UTC

Melita

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

11 OctAAttard0-0D
19 SepHMgarr United1-2L
13 SepAGudja United3-0W
3 MayHBirzebbuga0-3L
25 AprHXewkija Tigers3-1W
19 AprABalzan FC0-2L
11 AprHFgura United0-1L
4 AprASwieqi United0-5L
17 MarAPietà Hotspurs1-0W
14 MarHSt. Andrews3-0W

Pietà Hotspurs

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:16 · per match 2.0 for, 1.6 against

11 OctHTarxien Rainbows1-3L
18 SepASwieqi United2-3L
12 SepHNaxxar Lions3-2W
19 AprHSt. Andrews2-2D
12 AprASirens4-3W
4 AprAFgura United4-0W
17 MarHMelita0-1L
14 MarABirzebbuga2-2D
8 MarHMelita1-0W
4 MarASwieqi United1-0W

Head to head

4Melita wins
1draws
5Pietà Hotspurs wins

10 meetings · goals 13:19 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Melita

17 Mar 2026Challenge CupChallenge CupPietà Hotspurs0-1Melita
8 Mar 2026Challenge LeagueChallenge LeaguePietà Hotspurs1-0Melita
30 Nov 2025Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueMelita3-1Pietà Hotspurs
27 Apr 2024Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueMelita5-1Pietà Hotspurs
9 Mar 2024Challenge LeagueChallenge LeaguePietà Hotspurs0-1Melita
24 Sep 2023Challenge LeagueChallenge LeaguePietà Hotspurs2-2Melita
10 Feb 2018Challenge LeagueChallenge LeaguePietà Hotspurs3-0Melita
29 Sep 2017Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueMelita0-5Pietà Hotspurs
28 Apr 2017Challenge LeagueChallenge LeaguePietà Hotspurs3-0Melita
8 Jan 2017Challenge LeagueChallenge LeagueMelita1-3Pietà Hotspurs

Challenge League tableFirst Divisionupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Melita sit 8th with 4 points from 4 games, while Pietà Hotspurs are 6th with 6 points from 4.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tarxien Rainbows33009:3+69
2Mgarr United43017:4+39
3Fgura United42208:1+78
4Naxxar Lions32018:6+26
5Victoria Hotspurs32015:4+16
6Pietà Hotspurs42028:806
7Swieqi United31116:604
8Melita41124:404
9Sirens31114:404
10Vittoriosa Stars31112:204
11Santa Lucía40402:204
12Zurrieq41123:4-14
13St. Andrews41122:6-44
14Zebbug Rangers31022:7-53
15Attard30214:6-22
16Gudja United40040:7-70

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.01X27%3.37229%3.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 15:1017 Oct 11:401 2.01X 3.372 3.10
12.13 → 2.01 -5.6%X3.45 → 3.37 -2.3%22.80 → 3.10 +10.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.672.156.4%
1xBet1.582.189.2%
Marathonbet1.582.189.2%
Pinnacle1.562.209.6%
Best of all books1.672.205.3%
Average1.602.188.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.502.388.7%
1xBet1.492.399.0%
Marathonbet1.492.349.8%
Best of all books1.502.398.5%
Average1.492.379.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Melita 45%Draw 45%Pietà Hotspurs 10%

The statistical model rated Melita at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Pietà Hotspurs at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 3.37 | 3.10, which imply roughly 49.8% for a Melita win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Melita are 8th (4 pts, 4-4 goals), Pietà Hotspurs 6th (6 pts, 8-8).

Over their last five matches, Melita averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Pietà Hotspurs averaged 2 scored and 2.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Melita or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.013.373.10

Double chance

1XX212
1.281.641.24

Draw no bet

12
1.672.10

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.492.37

1st half

1X2
2.592.223.60

2nd half

1X2
2.302.583.32

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.3513.524.5
HT X5.756.257.25
HT 221.014.04.67

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7513.32.15

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0313.0
1.51.154.30
2.51.602.18
3.52.361.47
4.54.151.16
5.58.001.06
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.183.88
21.233.42
2.251.412.59
2.751.711.97
31.911.75
3.252.151.58
3.752.751.35
43.501.22

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.771.35
-0.752.251.53
-0.51.941.78
-0.251.791.91
01.482.38
+0.251.362.72
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.001.04
-26.251.06
-1.53.501.22
-1.253.121.28
+0.751.183.92
+11.085.65
+1.51.056.45

Next Challenge League matches

18 OctNaxxar Lions – Victoria Hotspurs
18 OctVittoriosa Stars – Attard
18 OctTarxien Rainbows – Zebbug Rangers
18 OctSwieqi United – Sirens

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

17 OctFgura United 0-0 Santa Lucía
17 OctZurrieq 1-0 Gudja United
17 OctSt. Andrews 0-2 Mgarr United
11 OctSanta Lucía 1-1 Zurrieq
11 OctGudja United 0-1 St. Andrews
11 OctAttard 0-0 Melita