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Qarabag vs Turan• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#31.2:0.60-0LiveToday · Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku1.2:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.70BFR24.571XBMargin at best6.1%Books10Markets73Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.723.664.328.6%
Betano1.753.604.208.7%
Betfair1.673.704.3310.0%
Dafabet1.693.604.3010.2%
1xBet1.673.444.5710.8%
William Hill1.703.304.5011.3%
Bet3651.653.504.5011.4%
BetVictor1.653.504.4011.9%
Marathonbet1.653.444.4512.1%
SBO1.653.374.0415.0%
Best of all books1.753.704.576.1%
Average1.683.514.3610.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

QarabagTuran
Last 10#3Table position#42.11Points per game1.809Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.20.6Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5057Defence rating4347Form rating5380H2H rating2063Goals model3761Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 18:01 UTC

Qarabag

5W 4D 1L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

31 OctAQabala0-0D
25 OctASabah FA0-0D
17 OctHNeftchi Baku3-3D
11 OctAImisli FK2-0W
18 SepHSafa Baku1-0W
13 SepAZira1-1D
6 SepHAraz3-2W
31 AugASumqayıt1-0W
27 AugHTwente1-4L
20 AugATwente1-0W

Turan

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

30 OctHSabah FA3-2W
24 OctANeftchi Baku1-1D
18 OctAImisli FK0-1L
11 OctASafa Baku1-0W
3 OctHFenerbahçe0-2L
19 SepHZira1-0W
13 SepAAraz2-2D
6 SepHSumqayıt2-1W
30 AugAKapaz0-1L
23 AugHŞamaxı FK0-0D

Head to head

14Qarabag wins
3draws
2Turan wins

19 meetings · goals 39:17 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Qarabag

4 May 2026Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaQarabag2-1Turan
1 Feb 2026Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaQarabag1-0Turan
17 Oct 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaTuran1-2Qarabag
28 Mar 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaTuran1-4Qarabag
26 Jan 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaQarabag1-2Turan
1 Nov 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaTuran0-0Qarabag
24 Aug 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaQarabag0-1Turan
17 May 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaQarabag4-3Turan
17 Mar 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaTuran1-3Qarabag
20 Oct 2023Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaTuran2-2Qarabag

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Qarabag sit 3rd with 19 points from 9 games, while Turan are 4th with 18 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Neftchi Baku1063125:11+1421
2Sabah FA962120:4+1620
3Qarabag954014:7+719
4Turan1053211:8+318
5Kapaz952210:9+117
6Zira1044214:14016
7Şamaxı FK1034315:14+113
8Imisli FK103169:15-610
9Sumqayıt923413:14-19
10Qabala102265:16-118
11Safa Baku101186:18-124
12Araz100379:21-123

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.68X26%3.51221%4.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 18:006 Nov 12:101 1.68X 3.512 4.36
11.55 → 1.68 +8.4%X3.71 → 3.51 -5.4%25.15 → 4.36 -15.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Pinnacle1.811.985.8%
SBO1.841.945.9%
Betano1.821.907.6%
Betfair1.751.958.4%
1xBet1.781.899.1%
Marathonbet1.781.899.1%
BetVictor1.731.8511.9%
Best of all books1.851.984.6%
Average1.791.927.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.751.958.4%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Betano1.751.939.0%
1xBet1.721.969.2%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.721.9310.0%
BetVictor1.701.9011.5%
Best of all books1.831.965.7%
Average1.751.929.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Qarabag 45%Draw 45%Turan 10%

The statistical model rates Qarabag at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Turan at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.51 | 4.36, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Qarabag win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Qarabag are 3rd (19 pts, 14-7 goals), Turan 4th (18 pts, 11-8).

Over their last five matches, Qarabag averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Turan averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Qarabag or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.683.514.36

Double chance

1XX212
1.152.011.23

Draw no bet

12
1.283.27

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.751.92

1st half

1X2
2.212.194.79

2nd half

1X2
2.032.514.43

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.5914.442.3
HT X4.425.469.43
HT 222.614.87.39

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5011.42.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.17
1.51.233.62
2.51.801.92
3.52.981.33
4.55.491.10
5.510.71.03
6.515.01.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.78
11.018.90
1.251.114.95
1.751.283.20
21.362.76
2.251.562.19
2.751.971.70
32.301.50
3.252.631.40
3.753.511.23
44.801.11
4.255.211.10
4.757.201.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.801.36
-1.252.521.43
-12.161.62
-0.751.881.82
-0.51.682.05
-0.251.462.44
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.501.01
-38.851.03
-2.757.401.05
-2.55.781.09
-2.255.351.11
-24.851.13
-1.753.401.26
01.273.32
+0.251.203.91
+0.51.204.40
+0.751.095.93
+11.038.30
+1.51.029.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.046.09
6.51.065.64
7.51.213.52
8.51.702.13
9.51.791.93
10.52.251.56
11.52.981.31
12.54.221.14
13.56.391.03
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.52
71.085.14
81.273.15
91.582.21
102.011.71
112.691.38
123.871.17
135.971.05

Next Premyer Liqa matches

6 NovNeftchi Baku – Kapaz
7 NovSafa Baku – Araz
7 NovZira – Qabala
8 NovImisli FK – Sumqayıt
8 NovSabah FA – Şamaxı FK

All Premyer Liqa fixtures and the table

Latest Premyer Liqa results

2 NovSumqayıt 1-1 Safa Baku
1 NovKapaz 1-0 Imisli FK
1 NovŞamaxı FK 2-3 Neftchi Baku
31 OctQabala 0-0 Qarabag
31 OctAraz 2-2 Zira
25 OctSabah FA 0-0 Qarabag