Sumqayıt vs 
Safa Baku• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 23:03 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 3.54 | 4.29 | 8.4% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.45 | 4.40 | 8.9% |
| Dafabet | 1.70 | 3.45 | 4.40 | 10.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 3.38 | 4.62 | 10.8% |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.25 | 4.50 | 10.8% |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 11.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.50 | 11.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.38 | 4.50 | 12.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.76 | 3.54 | 4.62 | 6.7% |
| Average | 1.71 | 3.42 | 4.43 | 10.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC
Sumqayıt
3W 2D 5L · goals 26:17 · per match 2.6 for, 1.7 against
| 27 Oct | A | Kür-Araz | 11-0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Zira | 2-3 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Araz | 2-1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Qabala | 4-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Kapaz | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Şamaxı FK | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Turan | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Qarabag | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | Neftchi Baku | 1-3 | L |
| 22 May | H | Qarabag | 3-4 | L |
Safa Baku
2W 0D 8L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against
| 28 Oct | H | Ağstafa Gəncləri | 9-2 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Kapaz | 1-2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Şamaxı FK | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Turan | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Qarabag | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Sabah FA | 0-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Neftchi Baku | 1-4 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Imisli FK | 0-1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Qabala | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Zira | 0-2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Sumqayıt and Safa Baku on record.
Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 30 Oct 18:10 UTC
In the Premyer Liqa table, Sumqayıt sit 9th with 8 points from 8 games, while Safa Baku are 11th with 3 points from 9.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:4 | +16 | 20 |
| 2 | Neftchi Baku | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22:9 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | Turan | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Sumqayıt | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Qabala | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 7 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:17 | -12 | 3 |
| 12 | Araz | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 1.85 | 5.9% |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 1.90 | 6.1% |
| Betano | 1.87 | 1.80 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.93 | 1.90 | 4.4% |
| Average | 1.87 | 1.85 | 7.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 1.80 | 1.88 | 8.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 1.89 | 9.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 1.86 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.83 | 1.91 | 7.0% |
| Average | 1.80 | 1.87 | 9.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Sumqayıt at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Safa Baku at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.71 | 3.40 | 4.47, which imply roughly 58.5% for a Sumqayıt win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Sumqayıt are 9th (8 pts, 12-13 goals), Safa Baku 11th (3 pts, 5-17).
Over their last five matches, Sumqayıt averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Safa Baku averaged 0.6 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Sumqayıt.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | 3.42 | 4.43 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15 | 1.98 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.29 | 3.30 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.80 | 1.87 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 2.15 | 4.88 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 2.50 | 4.42 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.60 | 14.3 | 42.0 |
| HT X | 4.40 | 5.28 | 9.70 |
| HT 2 | 24.3 | 15.9 | 7.80 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | 9.70 | 2.73 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 8.40 |
| 1.5 | 1.27 | 3.30 |
| 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| 3.5 | 3.06 | 1.31 |
| 4.5 | 5.40 | 1.10 |
| 5.5 | 9.70 | 1.04 |
| 6.5 | 14.0 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 21.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.02 | 7.90 |
| 1 | 1.03 | 7.30 |
| 1.25 | 1.14 | 4.41 |
| 1.75 | 1.33 | 2.96 |
| 2 | 1.41 | 2.58 |
| 2.25 | 1.64 | 2.10 |
| 2.75 | 2.08 | 1.64 |
| 3 | 2.48 | 1.44 |
| 3.25 | 2.78 | 1.37 |
| 3.75 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 4 | 4.90 | 1.11 |
| 4.25 | 5.20 | 1.10 |
| 5 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.85 | 1.36 |
| -1.25 | 2.54 | 1.44 |
| -1 | 2.25 | 1.58 |
| -0.75 | 1.90 | 1.81 |
| -0.5 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
| -0.25 | 1.48 | 2.43 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.75 | 6.90 | 1.04 |
| -2.5 | 5.52 | 1.11 |
| -2.25 | 5.12 | 1.12 |
| -2 | 4.63 | 1.14 |
| -1.75 | 3.43 | 1.25 |
| 0 | 1.27 | 3.33 |
| +0.25 | 1.20 | 3.87 |
| +0.5 | 1.19 | 4.50 |
| +0.75 | 1.09 | 5.77 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 8.80 |
| +1.25 | 1.02 | 7.90 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 8.70 |
Next Premyer Liqa matches
| 31 Oct | Araz – Zira |
| 31 Oct | Qabala – Qarabag |
| 1 Nov | Şamaxı FK – Neftchi Baku |
| 1 Nov | Kapaz – Imisli FK |
Latest Premyer Liqa results
| 25 Oct | Sabah FA 0-0 Qarabag |
| 25 Oct | Imisli FK 2-1 Şamaxı FK |
| 24 Oct | Neftchi Baku 1-1 Turan |
| 24 Oct | Safa Baku 1-2 Kapaz |
| 23 Oct | Zira 3-2 Sumqayıt |
| 23 Oct | Araz 1-2 Qabala |