Zira vs Qabala• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#61.4:1.414:30Tomorrow · Zira Stadium, Zira0.6:2.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65BTNX3.61PIN25.661XBMargin at best6.0%Books9Markets50Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 09:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.58	3.72	5.43	8.6%
Betano	1.62	3.65	5.00	9.1%
Betfair	1.65	3.50	5.00	9.2%
Dafabet	1.61	3.60	5.00	9.9%
1xBet	1.57	3.40	5.60	11.0%
Bet365	1.57	3.50	5.25	11.3%
William Hill	1.60	3.40	5.00	11.9%
BetVictor	1.57	3.50	5.00	12.3%
Marathonbet	1.55	3.40	5.45	12.3%
Best of all books	1.65	3.72	5.60	5.3%
Average	1.59	3.52	5.19	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ZiraQabala

Last 10#6Table position#101.60Points per game0.807Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 52.470Attack rating3063Defence rating3760Form rating40100H2H rating081Goals model1973Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 03:01 UTC

Zira

3W 5D 2L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

31 Oct	A	Araz	2-2	D
27 Oct	A	Səbail	2-2	D
23 Oct	H	Sumqayıt	3-2	W
18 Oct	A	Kapaz	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Şamaxı FK	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Turan	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Qarabag	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Sabah FA	0-5	L
30 Aug	H	Neftchi Baku	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Imisli FK	3-1	W

Qabala

3W 2D 5L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Qarabag	0-0	D
27 Oct	H	Mingəçevir	3-0	W
23 Oct	A	Araz	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Sabah FA	0-4	L
10 Oct	A	Sumqayıt	1-4	L
18 Sep	H	Neftchi Baku	0-3	L
12 Sep	A	Kapaz	0-1	L
4 Sep	H	Imisli FK	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Şamaxı FK	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Safa Baku	0-1	L

Head to head

13Zira wins

15draws

14Qabala wins

42 meetings · goals 43:49 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Zira

3 May 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira1-0Qabala
22 Nov 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira1-0Qabala
25 Aug 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Qabala1-2Zira
24 Apr 2024Cup	Cup	Qabala0-2Zira
7 Apr 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira4-0Qabala
3 Apr 2024Cup	Cup	Zira2-1Qabala
4 Feb 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Qabala1-1Zira
12 Nov 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira1-0Qabala
2 Sep 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Qabala1-0Zira
7 Apr 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Qabala2-1Zira

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Zira sit 6th with 16 points from 10 games, while Qabala are 10th with 8 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi Baku	10	6	3	1	25:11	+14	21
2	Sabah FA	9	6	2	1	20:4	+16	20
3	Qarabag	9	5	4	0	14:7	+7	19
4	Turan	10	5	3	2	11:8	+3	18
5	Kapaz	9	5	2	2	10:9	+1	17
6	Zira	10	4	4	2	14:14	0	16
7	Şamaxı FK	10	3	4	3	15:14	+1	13
8	Imisli FK	10	3	1	6	9:15	-6	10
9	Sumqayıt	9	2	3	4	13:14	-1	9
10	Qabala	10	2	2	6	5:16	-11	8
11	Safa Baku	10	1	1	8	6:18	-12	4
12	Araz	10	0	3	7	9:21	-12	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.60X26%3.47217%5.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.64 → 1.60 -2.4%X3.39 → 3.47 +2.4%24.93 → 5.19 +5.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.93	1.85	5.9%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betfair	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
BetVictor	1.86	1.72	11.9%
Best of all books	2.05	1.85	2.8%
Average	1.96	1.76	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.91	1.78	8.5%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.72	10.0%
BetVictor	1.85	1.73	11.9%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.92	1.76	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Zira 50%Draw 50%Qabala 0%

The statistical model rates Zira at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Qabala at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 3.47 | 5.19, which imply roughly 62.5% for a Zira win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Zira are 6th (16 pts, 14-14 goals), Qabala 10th (8 pts, 5-16).

Over their last five matches, Zira averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Qabala averaged 0.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Zira or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.59	3.52	5.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.13	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
2.17	2.10	5.53

2nd half

1	X	2
1.95	2.47	5.08

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.45	15.7	52.3
HT X	4.11	4.88	10.8
HT 2	25.8	16.1	9.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	8.75	3.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.37
1.5	1.30	3.17
2.5	1.96	1.76
3.5	3.37	1.27
4.5	6.68	1.07
5.5	12.7	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.90
1	1.03	7.20
1.25	1.15	4.21
1.75	1.36	2.74
2	1.46	2.41
2.25	1.69	1.99
2.75	2.17	1.58
3	2.61	1.40
3.25	2.98	1.32
3.75	4.16	1.16
4	5.80	1.07
4.25	6.20	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.67	1.41
-1.25	2.34	1.50
-1	2.04	1.68
-0.75	1.73	1.95
-0.5	1.56	2.26
-0.25	1.37	2.73

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.00	1.06
-2.5	5.37	1.11
-2.25	4.93	1.13
-2	4.47	1.15
-1.75	3.24	1.29
0	1.19	4.10
+0.25	1.14	4.72
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.03	7.50
+1	1.01	9.50

Next Premyer Liqa matches

6 Nov	Neftchi Baku – Kapaz
7 Nov	Safa Baku – Araz
8 Nov	Imisli FK – Sumqayıt
8 Nov	Sabah FA – Şamaxı FK

All Premyer Liqa fixtures and the table

Latest Premyer Liqa results

2 Nov	Sumqayıt 1-1 Safa Baku
1 Nov	Kapaz 1-0 Imisli FK
1 Nov	Şamaxı FK 2-3 Neftchi Baku
31 Oct	Qabala 0-0 Qarabag
31 Oct	Araz 2-2 Zira
25 Oct	Sabah FA 0-0 Qarabag