Qabala vs 
Qarabag• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 23:03 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 7.43 | 4.69 | 1.36 | 8.3% |
| Betano | 6.70 | 4.40 | 1.40 | 9.1% |
| Dafabet | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.36 | 10.0% |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.20 | 1.36 | 10.7% |
| 1xBet | 7.90 | 4.33 | 1.33 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.20 | 1.36 | 11.6% |
| Marathonbet | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.32 | 12.2% |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 4.33 | 1.33 | 12.6% |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 4.60 | 1.30 | 12.9% |
| Best of all books | 7.90 | 4.69 | 1.40 | 5.4% |
| Average | 7.23 | 4.40 | 1.35 | 10.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 18:01 UTC
Qabala
3W 1D 6L · goals 8:16 · per match 0.8 for, 1.6 against
| 27 Oct | H | Mingəçevir | 3-0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Araz | 2-1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Sabah FA | 0-4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Sumqayıt | 1-4 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Neftchi Baku | 0-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Kapaz | 0-1 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Imisli FK | 2-1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Şamaxı FK | 0-0 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Safa Baku | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Turan | 0-1 | L |
Qarabag
6W 3D 1L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against
| 25 Oct | A | Sabah FA | 0-0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Neftchi Baku | 3-3 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Imisli FK | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Safa Baku | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Zira | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Araz | 3-2 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Sumqayıt | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Aug | H | Twente | 1-4 | L |
| 20 Aug | A | Twente | 1-0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Şamaxı FK | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
65 meetings · goals 46:114 · last 10: 0W 2D 8L for Qabala
| 9 May 2026Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qabala1-1Qarabag |
| 21 Dec 2025Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qabala1-2Qarabag |
| 26 Sep 2025Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qarabag2-0Qabala |
| 4 Dec 2024Cup | Cup | Qabala0-2Qarabag |
| 20 Apr 2024Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qarabag2-2Qabala |
| 28 Feb 2024Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qabala0-4Qarabag |
| 4 Dec 2023Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qarabag3-0Qabala |
| 25 Sep 2023Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qabala1-2Qarabag |
| 8 May 2023Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qarabag3-0Qabala |
| 5 Mar 2023Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qabala1-3Qarabag |
Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 30 Oct 18:10 UTC
In the Premyer Liqa table, Qabala sit 10th with 7 points from 9 games, while Qarabag are 3rd with 18 points from 8.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:4 | +16 | 20 |
| 2 | Neftchi Baku | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22:9 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | Turan | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Sumqayıt | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Qabala | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 7 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:17 | -12 | 3 |
| 12 | Araz | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 2.13 | 6.5% |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 2.10 | 8.2% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 2.02 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 2.00 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 2.00 | 10.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.63 | 1.97 | 12.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 2.15 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.66 | 2.05 | 8.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.00 | 1.75 | 7.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 7.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 1.75 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.93 | 1.75 | 9.0% |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 1.75 | 9.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 1.72 | 10.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 1.73 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.92 | 1.75 | 9.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Qabala at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Qarabag at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.23 | 4.40 | 1.35, which imply roughly 22.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Qabala are 10th (7 pts, 5-16 goals), Qarabag 3rd (18 pts, 14-7).
Over their last five matches, Qabala averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Qarabag averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Qarabag.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 7.23 | 4.40 | 1.35 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.84 | 1.05 | 1.15 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 5.30 | 1.12 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.92 | 1.75 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.85 | 2.35 | 1.83 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.23 | 2.81 | 1.67 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 13.0 | 19.2 | 22.2 |
| HT X | 14.9 | 6.64 | 3.92 |
| HT 2 | 58.0 | 18.1 | 1.93 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.46 | 13.1 | 1.33 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 12.6 |
| 1.5 | 1.20 | 4.01 |
| 2.5 | 1.66 | 2.05 |
| 3.5 | 2.69 | 1.41 |
| 4.5 | 4.83 | 1.14 |
| 5.5 | 8.75 | 1.04 |
| 6.5 | 12.0 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 17.0 | – |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.04 | 9.00 |
| 1.25 | 1.09 | 5.30 |
| 1.75 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| 2 | 1.29 | 3.09 |
| 2.25 | 1.48 | 2.36 |
| 2.75 | 1.82 | 1.83 |
| 3 | 2.08 | 1.63 |
| 3.25 | 2.34 | 1.49 |
| 3.75 | 3.01 | 1.31 |
| 4 | 4.10 | 1.16 |
| 4.25 | 4.45 | 1.14 |
| 4.75 | 6.00 | 1.06 |
| 5 | 8.40 | 1.01 |
| 5.25 | 6.55 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.75 | 2.57 | 1.42 |
| +1 | 2.25 | 1.55 |
| +1.25 | 1.90 | 1.79 |
| +1.5 | 1.68 | 2.03 |
| +1.75 | 1.52 | 2.31 |
| +2 | 1.36 | 2.87 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 6.63 | 1.07 |
| 0 | 5.97 | 1.09 |
| +0.25 | 3.75 | 1.22 |
| +0.5 | 3.01 | 1.36 |
| +2.25 | 1.31 | 3.09 |
| +2.5 | 1.24 | 3.50 |
| +2.75 | 1.16 | 4.36 |
| +3 | 1.08 | 6.12 |
| +3.25 | 1.07 | 6.47 |
| +3.5 | 1.07 | 6.50 |
| +4 | 1.01 | 9.70 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.03 | 6.60 |
| 6.5 | 1.17 | 3.86 |
| 7.5 | 1.40 | 2.61 |
| 8.5 | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| 9.5 | 2.21 | 1.58 |
| 10.5 | 2.96 | 1.31 |
| 11.5 | 4.26 | 1.14 |
| 12.5 | 6.58 | 1.03 |
7 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.04 | 6.01 |
| 7 | 1.22 | 3.44 |
| 8 | 1.52 | 2.32 |
| 9 | 1.99 | 1.77 |
| 10 | 2.66 | 1.39 |
| 11 | 3.88 | 1.17 |
| 12 | 6.14 | 1.04 |
Next Premyer Liqa matches
| 31 Oct | Araz – Zira |
| 1 Nov | Şamaxı FK – Neftchi Baku |
| 1 Nov | Kapaz – Imisli FK |
| 2 Nov | Sumqayıt – Safa Baku |
Latest Premyer Liqa results
| 25 Oct | Sabah FA 0-0 Qarabag |
| 25 Oct | Imisli FK 2-1 Şamaxı FK |
| 24 Oct | Neftchi Baku 1-1 Turan |
| 24 Oct | Safa Baku 1-2 Kapaz |
| 23 Oct | Zira 3-2 Sumqayıt |
| 23 Oct | Araz 1-2 Qabala |