Araz vs Zira• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#121.0:2.011:00Today · Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi1.2:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.95BTNX3.38PIN22.34PINMargin at best6.2%Books8Markets65Rating46 · 55Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 23:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.95	3.25	2.25	9.1%
Betfair	2.88	3.25	2.25	9.9%
Dafabet	2.90	3.25	2.23	10.1%
Bet365	2.75	3.20	2.30	11.1%
Pinnacle	2.57	3.38	2.34	11.2%
1xBet	2.62	3.24	2.32	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.62	3.24	2.32	12.1%
William Hill	2.70	3.10	2.30	12.8%
Best of all books	2.95	3.38	2.34	6.2%
Average	2.75	3.24	2.29	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ArazZira

Last 10#12Table position#50.22Points per game1.673Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 51.245Attack rating5538Defence rating6314Form rating8650H2H rating5071Goals model2946Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 18:01 UTC

Araz

1W 2D 7L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

27 Oct	A	Şimal	6-0	W
23 Oct	H	Qabala	1-2	L
16 Oct	A	Sumqayıt	1-2	L
9 Oct	H	Kapaz	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Şamaxı FK	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Turan	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Qarabag	2-3	L
31 Aug	H	Sabah FA	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	Neftchi Baku	0-5	L
15 Aug	H	Imisli FK	0-0	D

Zira

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

27 Oct	A	Səbail	2-2	D
23 Oct	H	Sumqayıt	3-2	W
18 Oct	A	Kapaz	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Şamaxı FK	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Turan	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Qarabag	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Sabah FA	0-5	L
30 Aug	H	Neftchi Baku	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Imisli FK	3-1	W
16 Aug	H	Safa Baku	2-0	W

Head to head

6Araz wins

3draws

4Zira wins

13 meetings · goals 11:10 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Araz

23 May 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Araz3-2Zira
27 Feb 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Araz0-1Zira
19 Aug 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira1-1Araz
25 May 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Araz0-1Zira
28 Feb 2025Cup	Cup	Zira0-2Araz
6 Feb 2025Cup	Cup	Araz1-0Zira
18 Jan 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira1-0Araz
6 Nov 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira0-1Araz
26 Oct 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Araz1-1Zira
29 Apr 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira0-1Araz

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 30 Oct 18:10 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Araz sit 12th with 2 points from 9 games, while Zira are 5th with 15 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sabah FA	9	6	2	1	20:4	+16	20
2	Neftchi Baku	9	5	3	1	22:9	+13	18
3	Qarabag	8	5	3	0	14:7	+7	18
4	Turan	10	5	3	2	11:8	+3	18
5	Zira	9	4	3	2	12:12	0	15
6	Kapaz	8	4	2	2	9:9	0	14
7	Şamaxı FK	9	3	4	2	13:11	+2	13
8	Imisli FK	9	3	1	5	9:14	-5	10
9	Sumqayıt	8	2	2	4	12:13	-1	8
10	Qabala	9	2	1	6	5:16	-11	7
11	Safa Baku	9	1	0	8	5:17	-12	3
12	Araz	9	0	2	7	7:19	-12	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.75X28%3.24239%2.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.71 → 2.75 -25.9%X3.36 → 3.24 -3.6%21.86 → 2.29 +23.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.86	1.86	7.5%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betano	1.87	1.83	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.86	1.85	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Betano	1.67	2.02	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.01	10.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.15	2.1%
Average	1.69	2.03	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Araz 10%Draw 45%Zira 45%

The statistical model rates Araz at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Zira at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.75 | 3.24 | 2.29, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Araz are 12th (2 pts, 7-19 goals), Zira 5th (15 pts, 12-12).

Over their last five matches, Araz averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Zira averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Zira.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.75	3.24	2.29

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.56	1.33	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.29	1.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
3.35	2.13	2.89

2nd half

1	X	2
3.18	2.42	2.57

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.82	13.8	25.8
HT X	6.84	5.09	5.44
HT 2	29.8	13.8	3.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.20	10.9	1.77

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.27
1.5	1.27	3.38
2.5	1.86	1.85
3.5	3.13	1.31
4.5	5.78	1.10
5.5	11.7	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.80
1	1.01	8.30
1.25	1.13	4.61
1.75	1.30	3.03
2	1.39	2.63
2.25	1.62	2.11
2.75	2.07	1.63
3	2.48	1.43
3.25	2.81	1.35
3.75	3.80	1.19
4	5.20	1.10
4.25	5.55	1.08
4.75	6.85	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.69	1.42
-0.25	2.32	1.53
0	2.00	1.73
+0.25	1.69	2.02
+0.5	1.58	2.25
+0.75	1.39	2.72

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.30	1.03
-1.5	5.67	1.09
-1.25	5.29	1.11
-1	4.82	1.14
-0.75	3.26	1.28
+1	1.23	3.68
+1.25	1.21	3.91
+1.5	1.15	4.60
+1.75	1.09	6.02
+2	1.05	7.57
+2.25	1.05	7.57
+2.5	1.05	8.03
+2.75	1.02	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.10	4.83
6.5	1.30	3.02
7.5	1.61	2.16
8.5	2.02	1.73
9.5	2.70	1.38
10.5	3.85	1.18
11.5	5.94	1.05

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.13	4.32
7	1.39	2.67
8	1.80	1.96
9	2.40	1.48
10	3.48	1.22
11	5.50	1.06

Next Premyer Liqa matches

31 Oct	Qabala – Qarabag
1 Nov	Şamaxı FK – Neftchi Baku
1 Nov	Kapaz – Imisli FK
2 Nov	Sumqayıt – Safa Baku

All Premyer Liqa fixtures and the table

Latest Premyer Liqa results

25 Oct	Sabah FA 0-0 Qarabag
25 Oct	Imisli FK 2-1 Şamaxı FK
24 Oct	Neftchi Baku 1-1 Turan
24 Oct	Safa Baku 1-2 Kapaz
23 Oct	Zira 3-2 Sumqayıt
23 Oct	Araz 1-2 Qabala