Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#71.6:1.411:00Tomorrow · Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi2.0:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.50B365X3.97PIN21.60BTNMargin at best5.9%Books9Markets55Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 00:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	4.90	3.90	1.60	8.5%
Pinnacle	5.25	4.00	1.55	8.6%
Dafabet	5.00	3.90	1.55	10.2%
Betfair	5.00	3.80	1.55	10.8%
1xBet	5.43	3.68	1.53	10.9%
Bet365	5.50	3.60	1.53	11.3%
William Hill	5.00	3.60	1.57	11.5%
Marathonbet	5.30	3.68	1.51	12.3%
BetVictor	5.25	3.75	1.50	12.4%
Best of all books	5.50	4.00	1.60	5.7%
Average	5.18	3.77	1.54	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Şamaxı FKNeftchi Baku

Last 10#7Table position#21.44Points per game2.0010Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 51.244Attack rating5646Defence rating5447Form rating5315H2H rating8544Goals model5637Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 18:01 UTC

Şamaxı FK

4W 4D 2L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

28 Oct	A	Hypers Guba	5-1	W
25 Oct	A	Imisli FK	1-2	L
16 Oct	H	Safa Baku	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Zira	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Araz	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Sumqayıt	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Kapaz	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Qabala	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Turan	0-0	D
17 Aug	A	Qarabag	1-3	L

Neftchi Baku

6W 3D 1L · goals 23:9 · per match 2.3 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	H	Turan	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Qarabag	3-3	D
9 Oct	H	Sabah FA	0-0	D
18 Sep	A	Qabala	3-0	W
11 Sep	A	Imisli FK	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Safa Baku	4-1	W
30 Aug	A	Zira	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Araz	5-0	W
16 Aug	A	Sumqayıt	3-1	W
30 Jul	A	Dinamo Minsk	1-0	W

Head to head

3Şamaxı FK wins

6draws

21Neftchi Baku wins

30 meetings · goals 21:55 · last 10: 0W 5D 5L for Şamaxı FK

10 May 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Neftchi Baku3-0Şamaxı FK
28 Feb 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK2-2Neftchi Baku
16 Aug 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Neftchi Baku1-1Şamaxı FK
7 Apr 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK0-2Neftchi Baku
31 Jan 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Neftchi Baku1-0Şamaxı FK
8 Nov 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Neftchi Baku2-2Şamaxı FK
31 Aug 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK0-0Neftchi Baku
14 May 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Neftchi Baku1-1Şamaxı FK
12 Mar 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK0-1Neftchi Baku
23 Dec 2022Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Neftchi Baku3-0Şamaxı FK

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 30 Oct 18:10 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Şamaxı FK sit 7th with 13 points from 9 games, while Neftchi Baku are 2nd with 18 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sabah FA	9	6	2	1	20:4	+16	20
2	Neftchi Baku	9	5	3	1	22:9	+13	18
3	Qarabag	8	5	3	0	14:7	+7	18
4	Turan	10	5	3	2	11:8	+3	18
5	Zira	9	4	3	2	12:12	0	15
6	Kapaz	8	4	2	2	9:9	0	14
7	Şamaxı FK	9	3	4	2	13:11	+2	13
8	Imisli FK	9	3	1	5	9:14	-5	10
9	Sumqayıt	8	2	2	4	12:13	-1	8
10	Qabala	9	2	1	6	5:16	-11	7
11	Safa Baku	9	1	0	8	5:17	-12	3
12	Araz	9	0	2	7	7:19	-12	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg118%5.15X24%3.75258%1.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.76	2.01	6.6%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
BetVictor	1.69	1.89	12.1%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.75	1.97	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Betano	1.78	1.88	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.86	9.9%
BetVictor	1.73	1.85	11.9%
Best of all books	1.83	2.00	4.6%
Average	1.78	1.89	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Şamaxı FK 10%Draw 45%Neftchi Baku 45%

The statistical model rates Şamaxı FK at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Neftchi Baku at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.15 | 3.75 | 1.55, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Şamaxı FK are 7th (13 pts, 13-11 goals), Neftchi Baku 2nd (18 pts, 22-9).

Over their last five matches, Şamaxı FK averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Neftchi Baku averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Neftchi Baku and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.18	3.77	1.54

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.24	1.11	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
3.90	1.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
5.32	2.23	2.09

2nd half

1	X	2
4.99	2.61	1.88

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	9.17	16.1	22.2
HT X	11.1	5.74	4.22
HT 2	46.0	15.6	2.31

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.94	11.5	1.46

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.4
1.5	1.22	3.79
2.5	1.75	1.97
3.5	2.88	1.36
4.5	5.34	1.12
5.5	9.70	1.05
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.20
1.25	1.10	5.10
1.75	1.25	3.29
2	1.34	2.89
2.25	1.54	2.25
2.75	1.93	1.74
3	2.25	1.53
3.25	2.53	1.42
3.75	3.43	1.23
4	4.60	1.13
4.25	5.00	1.11
4.75	6.85	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.87	1.36
+0.5	2.34	1.52
+0.75	2.03	1.67
+1	1.77	1.93
+1.25	1.57	2.20
+1.5	1.45	2.47

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	9.50	1.01
-0.75	7.20	1.03
-0.5	5.75	1.14
-0.25	4.80	1.14
0	4.20	1.17
+1.75	1.33	3.03
+2	1.19	3.97
+2.25	1.16	4.38
+2.5	1.14	4.73
+2.75	1.08	6.13
+3	1.06	7.50
+3.5	1.04	9.00

Next Premyer Liqa matches

31 Oct	Araz – Zira
31 Oct	Qabala – Qarabag
1 Nov	Kapaz – Imisli FK
2 Nov	Sumqayıt – Safa Baku

All Premyer Liqa fixtures and the table

Latest Premyer Liqa results

25 Oct	Sabah FA 0-0 Qarabag
25 Oct	Imisli FK 2-1 Şamaxı FK
24 Oct	Neftchi Baku 1-1 Turan
24 Oct	Safa Baku 1-2 Kapaz
23 Oct	Zira 3-2 Sumqayıt
23 Oct	Araz 1-2 Qabala