Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#21.8:0.813:3008/11 · Bank Respublika Arena1.8:1.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.25WHX5.79PIN210.11XBMargin at best7.2%Books6Markets65Rating68 · 33Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 05:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.23	5.79	9.45	9.2%
William Hill	1.25	5.00	10.0	10.0%
Dafabet	1.23	5.60	8.60	10.8%
1xBet	1.22	5.25	10.1	10.9%
Bet365	1.22	5.00	10.0	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.21	5.25	9.50	12.2%
Best of all books	1.25	5.79	10.1	7.2%
Average	1.23	5.32	9.61	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sabah FAŞamaxı FK

Last 10#2Table position#72.22Points per game1.304Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 51.850Attack rating5069Defence rating3153Form rating4771H2H rating2989Goals model1168Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

Sabah FA

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

4 Nov	A	Viking	1-4	L
30 Oct	A	Turan	2-3	L
25 Oct	H	Qarabag	0-0	D
20 Oct	H	Borussia Dortmund	1-2	L
17 Oct	A	Qabala	4-0	W
13 Oct	H	Slavia Praha	2-0	W
9 Oct	A	Neftchi Baku	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Imisli FK	3-1	W
14 Sep	A	Safa Baku	3-0	W
10 Sep	A	Manchester United	0-4	L

Şamaxı FK

4W 4D 2L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	H	Neftchi Baku	2-3	L
28 Oct	A	Hypers Guba	5-1	W
25 Oct	A	Imisli FK	1-2	L
16 Oct	H	Safa Baku	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Zira	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Araz	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Sumqayıt	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Kapaz	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Qabala	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Turan	0-0	D

Head to head

9Sabah FA wins

8draws

8Şamaxı FK wins

25 meetings · goals 29:27 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Sabah FA

3 May 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK0-3Sabah FA
23 Nov 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sabah FA0-0Şamaxı FK
24 Aug 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK1-2Sabah FA
9 May 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sabah FA3-1Şamaxı FK
9 Mar 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK1-0Sabah FA
22 Dec 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK3-1Sabah FA
4 Aug 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sabah FA2-2Şamaxı FK
29 Apr 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sabah FA1-0Şamaxı FK
25 Feb 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK2-1Sabah FA
3 Dec 2022Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sabah FA1-1Şamaxı FK

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Sabah FA sit 2nd with 20 points from 9 games, while Şamaxı FK are 7th with 13 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi Baku	10	6	3	1	25:11	+14	21
2	Sabah FA	9	6	2	1	20:4	+16	20
3	Qarabag	9	5	4	0	14:7	+7	19
4	Turan	10	5	3	2	11:8	+3	18
5	Kapaz	9	5	2	2	10:9	+1	17
6	Zira	10	4	4	2	14:14	0	16
7	Şamaxı FK	10	3	4	3	15:14	+1	13
8	Imisli FK	10	3	1	6	9:15	-6	10
9	Sumqayıt	9	2	3	4	13:14	-1	9
10	Qabala	10	2	2	6	5:16	-11	8
11	Safa Baku	10	1	1	8	6:18	-12	4
12	Araz	10	0	3	7	9:21	-12	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg174%1.23X17%5.3229%9.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.42	2.67	7.9%
1xBet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.67	6.9%
Average	1.43	2.55	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.79	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.91	6.4%
Average	1.83	1.84	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sabah FA 45%Draw 45%Şamaxı FK 10%

The statistical model rates Sabah FA at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Şamaxı FK at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.23 | 5.32 | 9.61, which imply roughly 81.3% for a Sabah FA win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Sabah FA are 2nd (20 pts, 20-4 goals), Şamaxı FK 7th (13 pts, 15-14).

Over their last five matches, Sabah FA averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Şamaxı FK averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sabah FA or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.23	5.32	9.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	3.50	1.10

Draw no bet

1	2
1.07	8.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
1.63	2.68	8.18

2nd half

1	X	2
1.48	3.26	7.81

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.68	21.7	57.3
HT X	3.90	8.47	21.0
HT 2	21.0	22.3	18.4

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.25	18.0	3.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.3
1.5	1.11	5.13
2.5	1.43	2.55
3.5	2.10	1.66
4.5	3.39	1.25
5.5	5.90	1.08
6.5	9.00	1.04
7.5	13.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.5
1.75	1.13	4.55
2	1.16	4.15
2.25	1.31	2.98
2.75	1.52	2.31
3	1.66	2.04
3.25	1.88	1.81
3.75	2.36	1.49
4	2.85	1.34
4.25	3.09	1.28
4.75	4.06	1.17
5	5.30	1.09
5.25	5.55	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.58	1.43
-2.25	2.32	1.53
-2	2.08	1.66
-1.75	1.83	1.88
-1.5	1.68	2.06
-1.25	1.50	2.38

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.00	1.02
-4	7.40	1.03
-3.75	5.58	1.10
-3.5	4.47	1.16
-3.25	4.15	1.18
-3	3.86	1.20
-2.75	3.02	1.32
-1	1.33	3.00
-0.75	1.27	3.28
-0.5	1.25	3.80
-0.25	1.13	4.88
0	1.03	7.60

Next Premyer Liqa matches

6 Nov	Neftchi Baku – Kapaz
7 Nov	Safa Baku – Araz
7 Nov	Zira – Qabala
8 Nov	Imisli FK – Sumqayıt

All Premyer Liqa fixtures and the table

Latest Premyer Liqa results

2 Nov	Sumqayıt 1-1 Safa Baku
1 Nov	Kapaz 1-0 Imisli FK
1 Nov	Şamaxı FK 2-3 Neftchi Baku
31 Oct	Qabala 0-0 Qarabag
31 Oct	Araz 2-2 Zira
25 Oct	Sabah FA 0-0 Qarabag