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Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#12.0:1.216:00Today · Palms Sports Arena, Baku1.4:0.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.40BTNX4.71PIN27.391XBMargin at best6.2%Books9Markets73Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 14:10 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.384.716.868.3%
Betano1.404.456.509.3%
1xBet1.344.407.3910.9%
Bet3651.364.506.5011.1%
BetVictor1.334.507.0011.7%
Marathonbet1.334.407.0012.2%
Betfair1.334.606.5012.3%
William Hill1.364.206.5012.7%
SBO1.364.136.0914.2%
Best of all books1.404.717.396.2%
Average1.354.436.7011.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Neftchi BakuKapaz
Last 10#1Table position#52.10Points per game1.899Form pts · last 5132.0Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 50.659Attack rating4133Defence rating6745Form rating5571H2H rating2975Goals model2559Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 18:01 UTC

Neftchi Baku

6W 3D 1L · goals 25:11 · per match 2.5 for, 1.1 against

1 NovAŞamaxı FK3-2W
24 OctHTuran1-1D
17 OctAQarabag3-3D
9 OctHSabah FA0-0D
18 SepAQabala3-0W
11 SepAImisli FK3-2W
5 SepHSafa Baku4-1W
30 AugAZira0-1L
23 AugHAraz5-0W
16 AugASumqayıt3-1W

Kapaz

6W 2D 2L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

1 NovHImisli FK1-0W
28 OctHBaku Sportinq3-1W
24 OctASafa Baku2-1W
18 OctHZira1-1D
9 OctAAraz2-0W
20 SepHSumqayıt1-1D
12 SepHQabala1-0W
4 SepHŞamaxı FK1-4L
30 AugHTuran1-0W
15 AugASabah FA0-2L

Head to head

20Neftchi Baku wins
8draws
6Kapaz wins

34 meetings · goals 63:32 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Neftchi Baku

23 May 2026Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaKapaz0-1Neftchi Baku
15 Feb 2026Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaKapaz1-3Neftchi Baku
1 Nov 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaNeftchi Baku5-1Kapaz
4 May 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaNeftchi Baku2-2Kapaz
5 Mar 2025Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaKapaz1-0Neftchi Baku
28 Feb 2025CupCupNeftchi Baku1-0Kapaz
5 Feb 2025CupCupKapaz0-2Neftchi Baku
15 Dec 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaNeftchi Baku2-1Kapaz
4 Oct 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaKapaz4-3Neftchi Baku
10 May 2024Premyer LiqaPremyer LiqaNeftchi Baku5-1Kapaz

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Neftchi Baku sit 1st with 21 points from 10 games, while Kapaz are 5th with 17 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Neftchi Baku1063125:11+1421
2Sabah FA962120:4+1620
3Qarabag954014:7+719
4Turan1053211:8+318
5Kapaz952210:9+117
6Zira1044214:14016
7Şamaxı FK1034315:14+113
8Imisli FK103169:15-610
9Sumqayıt923413:14-19
10Qabala102265:16-118
11Safa Baku101186:18-124
12Araz100379:21-123

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.35X20%4.43213%6.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 18:006 Nov 15:001 1.35X 4.432 6.70
11.29 → 1.35 +4.7%X4.68 → 4.43 -5.3%28.47 → 6.70 -20.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Pinnacle1.552.347.3%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
Betano1.552.259.0%
1xBet1.542.279.0%
Marathonbet1.542.279.0%
BetVictor1.522.1612.1%
Best of all books1.572.356.2%
Average1.552.278.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.751.958.4%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Betano1.751.939.0%
1xBet1.761.919.2%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.761.8810.0%
BetVictor1.701.8712.3%
Best of all books1.831.955.9%
Average1.761.909.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Neftchi Baku 45%Draw 45%Kapaz 10%

The statistical model rates Neftchi Baku at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kapaz at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.35 | 4.43 | 6.70, which imply roughly 74.1% for a Neftchi Baku win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Neftchi Baku are 1st (21 pts, 25-11 goals), Kapaz 5th (17 pts, 10-9).

Over their last five matches, Neftchi Baku averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Kapaz averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Neftchi Baku or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.354.436.70

Double chance

1XX212
1.062.781.14

Draw no bet

12
1.135.03

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.90

1st half

1X2
1.832.416.31

2nd half

1X2
1.662.905.98

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.9317.150.6
HT X4.107.0414.3
HT 220.618.512.3

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3215.33.40

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0114.4
1.51.154.51
2.51.552.27
3.52.341.51
4.54.081.19
5.57.281.05
6.510.81.02
7.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.90
1.251.066.15
1.751.174.06
21.243.50
2.251.402.62
2.751.692.01
31.861.80
3.252.101.62
3.752.761.37
43.341.24
4.253.711.20
4.754.951.11
56.701.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.801.36
-1.752.301.52
-1.52.021.69
-1.251.811.90
-11.572.21
-0.751.432.54
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.351.07
-3.256.271.07
-35.901.09
-2.754.271.17
-2.53.411.25
-2.253.111.31
-0.51.382.90
-0.251.233.62
01.105.62
+0.251.086.18
+0.51.106.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.036.32
6.51.193.74
7.51.432.54
8.51.801.95
9.52.261.55
10.53.061.29
11.54.431.12
12.56.921.02
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.75
71.243.32
81.562.25
92.011.71
102.741.36
114.061.16
126.471.03

Next Premyer Liqa matches

7 NovSafa Baku – Araz
7 NovZira – Qabala
8 NovImisli FK – Sumqayıt
8 NovSabah FA – Şamaxı FK

All Premyer Liqa fixtures and the table

Latest Premyer Liqa results

2 NovSumqayıt 1-1 Safa Baku
1 NovKapaz 1-0 Imisli FK
1 NovŞamaxı FK 2-3 Neftchi Baku
31 OctQabala 0-0 Qarabag
31 OctAraz 2-2 Zira
25 OctSabah FA 0-0 Qarabag